Realized P&L
-$4
Unrealized P&L
-$2
Hit rate
48.4%
Resolved
7
Trades
10,894
lifetime
Volume
$13.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$208
13 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-21 16:58
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Politics
59% 50% +$26
Other
41% 33% $-30
Crypto
1%
Sports
0%
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 84 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No -125 $-14 46¢ $-58 $-44 06-17 14:15
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? Yes +312 $14 $24 +$10 07-06 12:59
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027? Yes +885 $10 $19 +$8 07-05 23:33
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? Yes +200 $15 $18 +$3 07-06 10:28
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December? Yes +325 $16 $18 +$2 07-08 05:12
New pandemic in 2026? Yes +275 $22 $18 $-4 07-07 14:55
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,000 by end of December? Yes +497 $20 $16 $-4 07-05 05:04
Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027? Yes +175 $14 $13 $-1 07-09 21:16
Will Israel annex any territory by December 31? Yes +129 $10 10¢ $12 +$2 07-05 13:51
Joseph Aoun out as President of Lebanon by December 31? Yes +75 $3 $5 +$2 07-03 18:20
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? Yes -56 $-28 $-5 +$23 07-03 21:40
Will Germany recognize Palestine before 2027? Yes +25 $1 $1 +$1 06-21 12:19
Will the US federal government take a stake in Anthropic PBC? Yes -5 $-1 16¢ $-1 $-0 07-14 01:06