Legal-Patriot — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$890

Unrealized P&L

+$90

Hit rate

51.7%

Resolved

805

Trades

13,419

lifetime

Volume

$16.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$549

28 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-27 17:23

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 189 days

Categories

Politics

55% 38% -$596

Other

44% 33% -$368

Crypto

0% 50% +$76

Sports

0% 33% -$3

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

77 active days in 12wk • peak 62 trades/day

Open positions (28) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Israel strike 6 countries in 2026?	Yes	+2,349	$63	3¢	$79	+$15	10-06 08:51
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	Yes	+4,500	$43	2¢	$72	+$29	10-16 03:41
Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?	No	+174	$58	34¢	$58	+$1	09-16 22:31
Will Israel annex any territory by December 31?	Yes	+420	$25	11¢	$45	+$20	08-15 20:11
Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?	Yes	+168	-$12	21¢	$35	+$47	10-05 18:42
Will Israel strike 10 countries in 2026?	Yes	+2,784	$8	1¢	$25	+$17	09-01 18:31
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	Yes	+150	$16	14¢	$20	+$4	09-28 06:53
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?	Yes	+750	$38	3¢	$20	-$18	10-22 12:40
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of December?	Yes	+250	$20	8¢	$19	-$1	10-26 07:34
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December?	Yes	+875	$41	2¢	$18	-$23	10-23 20:51
New pandemic in 2026?	Yes	+500	$44	3¢	$17	-$27	09-11 13:37
Will Israel strike 7 countries in 2026?	Yes	+1,492	$18	1¢	$17	-$1	10-23 20:30
Will Israel strike 9 countries in 2026?	Yes	+3,811	$23	0¢	$17	-$6	08-23 17:56
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,000 by end of December?	Yes	+1,000	$44	2¢	$17	-$28	09-28 07:34
Will Israel strike 8 countries in 2026?	Yes	+2,682	$23	1¢	$15	-$8	10-25 13:22
Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027?	Yes	+293	$22	5¢	$15	-$8	08-27 14:20
Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026?	Yes	+350	$14	4¢	$14	+$0	10-27 07:23
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	Yes	+400	-$49	3¢	$14	+$63	08-23 13:54
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	+138	$12	6¢	$9	-$3	10-26 19:41
Natural Disaster in 2026?	Yes	+50	$2	12¢	$6	+$4	07-28 11:28
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?	Yes	+50	$5	12¢	$6	+$1	09-22 13:00
Will Israel strike 12 countries in 2026?	Yes	+1,434	$1	0¢	$4	+$2	10-10 13:43
Will Israel strike 11 countries in 2026?	Yes	+1,485	$5	0¢	$2	-$2	08-15 05:20
Iran Nuke before 2027?	Yes	+50	$2	4¢	$2	+$0	10-13 21:24
Will Israel strike 13 countries in 2026?	Yes	+1,592	-$8	0¢	$2	+$10	10-10 12:07
Will Germany recognize Palestine before 2027?	Yes	+25	$1	5¢	$1	+$0	06-21 12:19
Iran nuclear test before 2027?	Yes	+25	$1	4¢	$1	+$0	08-13 00:29
Will there be 20 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?	Yes	+4	$0	6¢	$0	+$0	06-25 06:12

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
usisrael strike on fordow nuclear facility by march 15	16	$372	624	624	+0	No	+$5	03-10 08:32
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	8	$336	200	200	-0	Yes	+$29	06-21 12:02
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	35	$174	962	1,053	-91	No	+$38	06-20 16:49
will the number of israel rocket alerts since operation lions roar be at least 20000 by march 20 423	8	$168	300	300	+0	No	+$0	03-20 06:57
us evacuates beirut embassy by march 31	9	$156	133	273	-140	No	+$122	03-03 13:54
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 10, 2026?	81	$152	4,416	6,253	-1,837	No	+$33	04-10 21:49
Will Sadegh Larijani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	58	$151	5,813	5,629	+184	No	+$35	03-08 19:37
will iran announce a new supreme leader on march 8 2026	26	$150	647	547	+100	No	+$67	03-08 09:32
Military action against Iran continues through April 30, 2026?	323	$149	41,673	0	+41,673	No	-$149	04-12 20:30
Will Muhammad Mirbaqiri be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	242	$129	12,490	2,192	+10,298	No	-$30	03-08 17:25
Israel closes its airspace by September 30?	19	$127	400	150	+250	Yes	+$108	09-17 04:30
will the number of us flights delayed on march 29 be less than 6000	6	$126	150	18	+132	Yes	+$38	03-29 22:39
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	10	$125	140	160	-20	Yes	+$32	03-02 20:34
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	11	$121	3,450	450	+3,000	Yes	+$28	03-08 22:33
will iran strike cyprus in march	6	$118	200	200	+0	No	+$6	03-02 07:13
Will Hashem Hosseini Bushehri be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	230	$118	15,605	1,000	+14,605	No	-$64	03-08 17:46
Will Mohsen Araki be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	461	$113	38,567	5,780	+32,787	No	-$53	03-08 20:55
cl up or down on march 23 2026	5	$110	100	100	+0	Down	+$38	03-23 06:45
Will there be more than 13 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	4	$108	100	100	+0	Yes	+$91	10-26 03:05
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	24	$108	1,820	123	+1,697	Yes	-$34	04-21 17:58
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?	28	$107	637	725	-87	No	+$9	04-29 04:09
Israel closes its airspace by May 8?	67	$105	2,200	2,775	-575	No	+$11	05-08 20:18
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by March 31?	4	$101	1,400	0	+1,400	No	-$101	03-28 07:29
israel strike on damascus by march 31 2026	25	$99	564	534	+30	No	+$22	03-22 08:32
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	3	$98	100	100	+0	No	+$70	03-14 18:13
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	23	$97	2,475	0	+2,475	Yes	-$97	04-21 20:34
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?	12	$95	162	162	+0	No	+$18	09-16 17:46
Israel military action on Damascus by April 30, 2026?	21	$93	334	234	+100	No	+$45	05-01 03:50
Will Ali Larijani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	5	$91	1,106	1,106	+0	No	-$18	03-03 19:42
will israel strike greater beirut on march 9 2026	10	$90	500	500	+0	Yes	+$30	03-08 21:16

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 17:23:33	Will there be 13 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	8	3¢	$0	0xb8fba8…
10-27 07:23:48	Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	75	3¢	$2	0xdc0232…
10-26 21:24:05	Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	75	4¢	$3	0xf802e6…
10-26 19:41:59	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	50	7¢	$4	0x693ca3…
10-26 16:53:54	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	0	9¢	$0	0x389edb…
10-26 16:53:29	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	10	9¢	$1	0x6b6b6c…
10-26 07:34:57	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of December?	Yes	BUY	50	5¢	$2	0x7becb6…
10-26 03:50:18	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	50	9¢	$4	0xb2fce7…
10-26 03:05:51	Will there be more than 13 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x849fe7…
10-25 21:22:29	Will there be 13 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	SELL	45	0¢	$0	0x4343e4…
10-25 19:14:56	Will UKMTO publish fewer than 8 notices between October 19-October 25?	No	SELL	25	5¢	$1	0x8f790e…
10-25 17:56:12	Will UKMTO publish fewer than 8 notices between October 19-October 25?	No	BUY	25	5¢	$1	0x02cd4c…
10-25 13:22:59	Will Israel strike 8 countries in 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0x22c143…
10-25 03:44:35	Will there be 3 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	13	40¢	$5	0x1201d0…
10-25 03:39:06	Will there be 3 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xb9ffa3…
10-25 03:35:36	Will there be 3 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0xfbc879…
10-25 03:33:45	Will there be 3 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xfb6b31…
10-24 21:19:12	Will Iran target an Arab country by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x02a05a…
10-24 19:47:29	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	No	SELL	18	1¢	$0	0x0731aa…
10-24 19:24:45	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	No	SELL	167	1¢	$1	0xab0f5c…
10-24 19:19:53	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	No	SELL	21	1¢	$0	0x171bb5…
10-24 19:18:47	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	No	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x1b5960…
10-24 19:17:39	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	No	SELL	8	1¢	$0	0x022bec…
10-24 19:16:32	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	No	SELL	8	1¢	$0	0xc2c240…
10-24 19:15:23	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	No	SELL	8	1¢	$0	0xde1fea…
10-24 19:14:15	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	No	SELL	8	1¢	$0	0xac69fa…
10-24 19:13:08	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	No	SELL	8	1¢	$0	0x337645…
10-24 17:19:48	Will there be 13 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	SELL	1	2¢	$0	0x5ed186…
10-24 17:19:03	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	No	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xfe4a12…
10-24 15:45:17	Will there be 12 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	30	1¢	$0	0xf40d3c…
10-24 15:45:15	Will there be 12 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	52	1¢	$1	0x61f361…
10-24 14:57:36	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	No	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x0e9844…
10-24 09:03:00	Will there be 12 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0x482d35…
10-24 09:02:59	Will there be 12 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xae04d1…
10-24 05:09:57	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	No	BUY	25	3¢	$1	0xfdf2b4…
10-24 02:57:30	Will there be 13 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0xc1e4d3…
10-24 02:56:30	Will there be 13 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	2	3¢	$0	0xd7d8ec…
10-24 02:56:30	Will there be 12 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0xaad8ad…
10-24 02:56:29	Will there be more than 13 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	25	3¢	$1	0x8eaa49…
10-24 02:56:29	Will there be 12 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	7	3¢	$0	0x810040…
10-24 02:52:17	Will there be 2 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	SELL	8	6¢	$0	0xbb306d…
10-24 02:48:44	Will there be more than 13 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	22	11¢	$2	0xef51b2…
10-24 02:48:11	Will there be 12 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	15	11¢	$2	0xf6cca1…
10-24 02:47:42	Will there be 13 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0x42cfb8…
10-24 02:47:17	Will there be more than 13 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	53	10¢	$5	0xb31648…
10-24 01:28:29	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	No	BUY	75	2¢	$2	0xed42c7…
10-24 00:57:12	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	No	BUY	50	3¢	$2	0x62587e…
10-23 20:51:57	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December?	Yes	BUY	39	2¢	$1	0x3af44b…
10-23 20:30:29	Will Israel strike 7 countries in 2026?	Yes	BUY	91	1¢	$1	0x81c7f5…
10-23 20:02:54	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	No	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xde269d…
10-23 09:17:56	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December?	Yes	BUY	0	2¢	$0	0x61e6a9…
10-22 12:40:56	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?	Yes	BUY	200	3¢	$6	0x32a421…
10-22 12:30:08	Will 15% to 24% of Winter Wheat acreage be in D1-D4 drought this week?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x7a11b1…
10-22 08:26:30	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of December?	Yes	BUY	25	6¢	$2	0xa2ca0e…
10-21 23:29:00	Will the biggest earthquake on October 21, 2026 be 6.1 or more?	Yes	BUY	25	3¢	$1	0xc6a491…
10-21 19:40:23	Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xaa3d12…
10-21 19:34:41	Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	5¢	$1	0x3cff05…
10-21 12:09:51	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of December?	Yes	BUY	38	7¢	$3	0xd49030…
10-21 11:38:17	Will there be 2 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	8	4¢	$0	0xf01b71…
10-21 05:53:15	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?	Yes	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0x81dd2c…
10-20 21:33:27	Will Iran target an Arab country by October 22, 2026?	No	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xe640d8…
10-20 19:12:35	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	9	12¢	$1	0x0149eb…
10-20 14:54:06	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	7	12¢	$1	0x4f4ce1…
10-20 11:39:44	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	6	13¢	$1	0x12e3a7…
10-20 08:29:16	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0x8cf0b5…
10-20 07:50:02	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of December?	Yes	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0xfe11ee…
10-20 04:38:06	Will Iran target an Arab country by October 22, 2026?	No	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x501ead…
10-20 04:04:47	Will Iran target an Arab country by October 22, 2026?	No	BUY	6	10¢	$1	0xdfa543…
10-19 13:50:17	Will 15% to 24% of Hogs inventory be in D1-D4 drought this week?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x42e60d…
10-19 13:50:14	Will 15% to 24% of Hogs inventory be in D1-D4 drought this week?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x2dd6d6…
10-19 13:50:11	Will 15% to 24% of Hogs inventory be in D1-D4 drought this week?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x1f8f83…
10-19 13:50:02	Will 15% to 24% of Hogs inventory be in D1-D4 drought this week?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xf0b1c3…
10-19 13:49:59	Will 15% to 24% of Hogs inventory be in D1-D4 drought this week?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x381dce…
10-19 13:49:50	Will 15% to 24% of Hogs inventory be in D1-D4 drought this week?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xf8f095…
10-19 13:49:47	Will 15% to 24% of Hogs inventory be in D1-D4 drought this week?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x513a88…
10-18 19:18:00	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?	No	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0x4ac91e…
10-17 21:56:29	Will Israel strike 8 countries in 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0x08262a…
10-17 13:05:33	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0xf58040…
10-17 10:21:47	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?	No	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x09d15e…
10-16 20:25:29	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 17?	No	SELL	112	4¢	$5	0x1d941a…
10-16 20:24:23	Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in Italy by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	39	1¢	$0	0x5dbcfc…
10-16 20:23:38	Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in Italy by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	1¢	$0	0x0570d0…
10-16 20:23:15	Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in Italy by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	1¢	$0	0x3f76e8…
10-16 10:56:06	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xa7c652…
10-16 06:27:34	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 17?	No	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x3860a9…
10-16 04:23:24	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 17?	No	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xf2e106…
10-16 03:41:03	10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	Yes	SELL	520	1¢	$7	0x24b72c…
10-16 03:14:28	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of December?	Yes	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0xfcf2b2…
10-16 02:34:00	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 17?	No	BUY	38	3¢	$1	0x1b019b…
10-16 02:12:45	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 17?	No	BUY	38	4¢	$2	0x516d5c…
10-15 15:56:58	10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0x9e3b3e…
10-15 13:25:31	10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	Yes	SELL	55	1¢	$1	0xe8e5c3…
10-13 21:24:16	Iran Nuke before 2027?	Yes	BUY	50	3¢	$2	0x72dc60…
10-13 18:26:31	10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	Yes	SELL	23	1¢	$0	0x39fa6c…
10-12 07:04:08	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December?	Yes	BUY	25	3¢	$1	0x93075c…
10-11 12:18:00	10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0xb53715…
10-11 11:02:05	Will there be more than 13 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0x72386e…
10-11 10:52:05	Will there be more than 13 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	20	16¢	$3	0xeb0b98…
10-10 16:13:21	Will there be more than 13 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	25	36¢	$9	0x54bb9f…
10-10 13:43:52	Will Israel strike 12 countries in 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	1¢	$0	0x7d282b…