Realized P&L
-$4
Unrealized P&L
+$31
Hit rate
48.4%
Resolved
7
Trades
10,686
lifetime
Volume
$13.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$136
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-30 06:45
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Politics
59% 50% +$26
Other
40% 33% $-30
Crypto
1%
Sports
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 459 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No -125 $-14 18¢ $-22 $-8 06-17 14:15
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027? Yes +635 $9 $21 +$12 06-25 11:56
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December? Yes +250 $12 $16 +$4 06-29 06:07
Megaquake by June 30? Yes +821 $11 $15 +$4 06-30 13:05
New pandemic in 2026? Yes +125 $12 10¢ $12 $-0 06-30 16:02
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,000 by end of December? Yes +166 $8 $9 +$1 06-29 11:15
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? Yes +80 $5 10¢ $8 +$2 06-17 03:41
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? Yes +75 $6 $6 +$0 06-30 05:37
Israel military action on Damascus by June 30, 2026? Yes +912 $-25 $5 +$30 06-23 20:23
Will Israel annex any territory by December 31? Yes +35 $4 10¢ $3 $-0 06-27 20:27
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30? Yes +1,251 $-1 $3 +$4 06-29 22:58
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,500 by end of June? Yes -2,337 $-3 $-2 +$1 06-22 08:54
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,000 by end of June? Yes -2,325 $-4 $-2 +$2 06-10 06:32
Will Israel annex any territory by June 30? Yes +451 $4 $1 $-3 06-20 13:50
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,800 by end of June? Yes +1,256 $3 $1 $-2 06-23 21:07
Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027? Yes +12 $1 10¢ $1 $-0 06-29 08:11
Will Germany recognize Palestine before 2027? Yes +25 $1 $1 +$0 06-21 12:19
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? Yes +425 $-2 $1 +$3 06-28 17:19
Will Israel annex Gaza territory by June 30 2026? Yes +265 $2 $1 $-1 06-20 08:57
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of June? Yes -926 $-4 $-1 +$3 06-11 22:54
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June? Yes -900 $-7 $-1 +$6 06-10 06:47
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026? Yes +225 $10 $1 $-9 06-14 14:17
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June? Yes +425 $2 $0 $-2 06-17 22:05
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June? Yes +356 $7 $0 $-7 06-15 22:16
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,200 by end of June? Yes -350 $-1 $-0 +$0 06-20 01:58
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,700 by end of June? Yes -299 $-2 $-0 +$2 06-18 05:19
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June? Yes +245 $5 $0 $-4 06-13 15:12
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June? Yes +212 $5 $0 $-5 06-10 02:02
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by June 30? Yes +125 $4 $0 $-4 05-30 13:14
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,900 by end of June? Yes +125 $2 $0 $-1 06-17 03:43