Realized P&L
-$4
Unrealized P&L
+$43
Hit rate
48.4%
Resolved
7
Trades
10,144
lifetime
Volume
$12.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$83
26 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-10 00:16
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Politics
58% 50% +$26
Other
41% 33% $-30
Crypto
1%
Sports
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 459 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026? Yes +150 $7 $10 +$3 06-04 07:38
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December? Yes +125 $6 $8 +$3 06-08 22:14
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,800 by end of June? Yes +225 $9 $8 $-1 06-10 02:38
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of June? Yes +287 $8 $7 $-1 06-09 16:09
Israel military action on Damascus by June 30, 2026? Yes +79 $-30 $5 +$35 06-08 22:28
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,000 by end of December? Yes +63 $4 $4 +$1 06-07 17:51
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,500 by end of June? Yes +2,663 $7 $4 $-3 06-08 12:08
Megaquake by June 30? Yes +50 $3 $4 +$1 06-04 22:07
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by June 30? Yes +125 $4 $4 $-1 05-30 13:14
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of June? Yes +574 $3 $3 +$0 06-07 21:50
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,100 by end of June? Yes +150 $2 $3 +$1 06-07 21:50
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June? Yes +106 $5 $3 $-2 06-05 20:23
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June? Yes +212 $5 $3 $-2 06-10 02:02
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,000 by end of June? Yes -2,072 $-4 $-3 +$1 06-10 04:49
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,200 by end of June? Yes +150 $3 $2 $-1 06-07 21:50
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June? Yes +170 $4 $2 $-2 06-07 21:08
Will Israel annex any territory by December 31? Yes +12 $2 14¢ $2 +$0 06-08 06:45
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,300 by end of June? Yes +117 $1 $2 +$1 06-06 19:09
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027? Yes +30 $1 $1 $-0 06-09 14:02
Will Israel annex Gaza territory by June 30 2026? Yes +115 $2 $1 $-0 06-06 11:49
Will Israel annex any territory by June 30? Yes +46 $1 $1 +$0 06-04 21:10
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June? Yes +100 $1 $1 +$0 06-09 09:04
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June? Yes +75 $1 $1 +$0 06-08 15:46
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,400 by end of June? Yes +25 $0 $0 $-0 06-04 19:33
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,700 by end of June? Yes +25 $0 $0 +$0 06-07 21:50
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30? Yes +1 $-11 12¢ $0 +$11 06-08 10:10