Realized P&L (30d)
+$166
Unrealized P&L
-$53
Hit rate
73.8%
Resolved (30d)
33
Trades (30d)
736
14,059 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$659
$17.4K lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$433
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-12 07:38
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 197 days
Categories
Politics
55% 38% -$609
Other
44% 34% -$298
Crypto
1% 40% +$75
Sports
0% 33% -$3
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
80 active days in 12wk • peak 229 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Israel strike 6 countries in 2026? Yes +2,374 $64 3¢ $76 +$12 11-08 18:15
Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026? No +293 $72 16¢ $47 -$24 11-08 18:15
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027? Yes +2,112 -$5 1¢ $29 +$33 11-08 10:12
Will Israel strike 10 countries in 2026? Yes +2,784 $8 1¢ $24 +$16 09-01 18:31
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22? No +225 $28 11¢ $24 -$4 11-10 01:52
Will Israel strike 8 countries in 2026? Yes +3,133 $24 1¢ $22 -$2 11-01 14:51
Will Israel strike 7 countries in 2026? Yes +1,717 $19 1¢ $18 -$1 11-08 18:15
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? Yes +1,125 $44 2¢ $17 -$27 11-10 20:46
Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026? Yes +181 -$12 8¢ $15 +$27 11-01 14:51
Will Israel strike 9 countries in 2026? Yes +3,811 $23 0¢ $13 -$10 08-23 17:56
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of December? Yes +400 $26 3¢ $13 -$13 11-11 01:20
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December? Yes +875 $41 1¢ $12 -$29 10-23 20:51
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? Yes +250 $22 4¢ $11 -$10 11-10 03:47
Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027? Yes +293 $22 4¢ $11 -$12 08-27 14:20
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? Yes +400 -$49 3¢ $11 +$60 08-23 13:54
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? Yes +138 $11 7¢ $9 -$2 11-11 05:00
Will Israel annex any territory by December 31? Yes +420 $25 2¢ $8 -$17 08-15 20:11
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 18? No +175 $13 4¢ $8 -$5 11-10 22:42
New pandemic in 2026? Yes +500 $44 2¢ $8 -$37 09-11 13:37
Iran full airspace closure by November 30, 2026? Yes +100 $12 8¢ $8 -$4 11-10 19:02
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? No +200 $11 3¢ $7 -$5 11-10 02:52
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 20? No +112 $8 6¢ $7 -$1 11-10 22:55
Will Iran target Qatar by December 31, 2026? Yes +25 $4 26¢ $6 +$3 11-11 09:52
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027? Yes +125 $5 5¢ $6 +$1 11-02 14:11
Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by November 30, 2026? Yes +50 $5 10¢ $5 $0 11-10 13:40
Israel military action against Syria by November 30, 2026? Yes +40 $4 13¢ $5 +$1 11-09 19:33
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 13? No +250 $7 2¢ $4 -$3 11-09 23:45
Will Hezbollah target Israel by November 30, 2026? Yes +25 $3 13¢ $3 +$0 11-11 15:51
Iran nuclear test before 2027? Yes +150 $4 2¢ $3 -$1 11-02 20:43
Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 November 9-15? Yes +100 $3 3¢ $3 +$0 11-10 00:00