Realized P&L (30d)
+$261
Unrealized P&L
-$35
Hit rate
74.0%
Resolved (30d)
36
Trades (30d)
739
14,066 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$662
$17.4K lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$446
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-14 16:12
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 199 days
Categories
Politics
55% 38% -$611
Other
44% 34% -$298
Crypto
1% 50% +$172
Sports
0% 33% -$3
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
79 active days in 12wk • peak 229 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Israel strike 6 countries in 2026? Yes +2,374 $64 3¢ $76 +$12 11-08 18:15
Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026? No +295 $72 16¢ $47 -$25 11-13 17:36
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027? Yes +2,112 -$5 1¢ $30 +$35 11-08 10:12
Will Israel strike 8 countries in 2026? Yes +3,133 $24 1¢ $28 +$4 11-01 14:51
Will Israel strike 10 countries in 2026? Yes +2,784 $8 1¢ $25 +$17 09-01 18:31
Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026? Yes +181 -$12 12¢ $22 +$34 11-01 14:51
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? Yes +1,125 $44 2¢ $21 -$23 11-10 20:46
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22? No +225 $28 8¢ $19 -$9 11-10 01:52
Will Israel strike 7 countries in 2026? Yes +1,717 $19 1¢ $18 -$1 11-08 18:15
Will Israel annex any territory by December 31? Yes +420 $25 3¢ $13 -$11 08-15 20:11
Will Israel strike 9 countries in 2026? Yes +3,811 $23 0¢ $13 -$10 08-23 17:56
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? Yes +138 $11 10¢ $13 +$2 11-11 05:00
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of December? Yes +400 $26 3¢ $13 -$14 11-11 01:20
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December? Yes +875 $41 1¢ $12 -$29 10-23 20:51
Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027? Yes +293 $22 4¢ $11 -$12 08-27 14:20
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? Yes +400 -$49 3¢ $11 +$60 08-23 13:54
Iran full airspace closure by November 30, 2026? Yes +100 $12 11¢ $11 -$1 11-10 19:02
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? Yes +250 $22 4¢ $10 -$12 11-10 03:47
Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by November 30, 2026? Yes +50 $5 16¢ $8 +$3 11-10 13:40
New pandemic in 2026? Yes +500 $44 2¢ $8 -$37 09-11 13:37
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027? Yes +125 $5 5¢ $6 +$1 11-02 14:11
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 18? No +175 $13 3¢ $5 -$8 11-10 22:42
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 20? No +112 $8 4¢ $5 -$3 11-10 22:55
Will Iran target Qatar by December 31, 2026? Yes +25 $4 18¢ $5 +$1 11-11 09:52
Israel military action against Syria by November 30, 2026? Yes +40 $4 8¢ $3 -$1 11-09 19:33
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? No +200 $11 2¢ $3 -$8 11-10 02:52
Will Iran target the United Arab Emirates by November 30, 2026? Yes +8 $1 40¢ $3 +$2 11-10 16:05
Iran nuclear test before 2027? Yes +150 $4 2¢ $3 -$1 11-02 20:43
Iran Nuke before 2027? Yes +175 $4 2¢ $3 -$1 11-13 03:19
Israel military action against Iraq by November 30, 2026? Yes +25 $3 11¢ $3 $0 11-11 12:19