Realized P&L (7d)
+$33
Unrealized P&L
+$16
Hit rate
86.1%
Resolved (7d)
11
Trades (7d)
165
13,606 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$52
$17.1K lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$413
29 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-05 06:42
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 194 days
Categories
Politics
55% 38% -$609
Other
45% 34% -$340
Crypto
0% 50% +$76
Sports
0% 33% -$3
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
79 active days in 12wk • peak 146 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Israel strike 6 countries in 2026? Yes +2,349 $63 3¢ $75 +$12 10-06 08:51
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027? Yes +3,712 $27 1¢ $52 +$25 11-04 15:19
Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026? No +174 $58 21¢ $37 -$20 09-16 22:31
Will Israel strike 8 countries in 2026? Yes +3,133 $24 1¢ $34 +$11 11-01 14:51
Will Israel strike 10 countries in 2026? Yes +2,784 $8 1¢ $25 +$17 09-01 18:31
Will Israel strike 7 countries in 2026? Yes +1,679 $19 1¢ $19 +$0 11-01 14:50
Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026? Yes +181 -$12 10¢ $19 +$31 11-01 14:51
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of December? Yes +300 $22 6¢ $17 -$5 11-05 02:38
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? Yes +750 $38 2¢ $16 -$22 10-22 12:40
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? Yes +175 $18 8¢ $15 -$3 11-05 00:35
Will Israel strike 9 countries in 2026? Yes +3,811 $23 0¢ $13 -$10 08-23 17:56
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December? Yes +875 $41 1¢ $13 -$29 10-23 20:51
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? Yes +400 -$49 3¢ $11 +$60 08-23 13:54
Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027? Yes +293 $22 3¢ $10 -$13 08-27 14:20
New pandemic in 2026? Yes +500 $44 2¢ $9 -$35 09-11 13:37
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027? Yes +125 $5 7¢ $9 +$4 11-02 14:11
Will Israel annex any territory by December 31? Yes +420 $25 2¢ $8 -$16 08-15 20:11
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by December 31, 2026? Yes — +45 $3 15¢ $7 +$4 09-10 01:21
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? Yes +100 $9 7¢ $7 -$2 11-05 06:42
Iran nuclear test before 2027? Yes +150 $4 2¢ $4 $0 11-02 20:43
Will Israel strike 13 countries in 2026? Yes +1,592 -$8 0¢ $2 +$10 10-10 12:07
Natural Disaster in 2026? Yes +50 $2 5¢ $2 +$0 07-28 11:28
Will Israel strike 11 countries in 2026? Yes +1,485 $5 0¢ $2 -$2 08-15 05:20
Will Israel strike 12 countries in 2026? Yes +1,434 $1 0¢ $2 +$1 10-10 13:43
Iran Nuke before 2027? Yes +50 $2 3¢ $1 $0 10-13 21:24
Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in Oman by December 31, 2026? Yes — +57 $1 2¢ $1 $0 09-24 10:20
Will Germany recognize Palestine before 2027? Yes +25 $1 4¢ $1 +$0 06-21 12:19
Will Mahmoud Abbas be the next leader out before 2027? Yes +50 $0 1¢ $1 +$0 08-12 18:19
Will there be 20 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? Yes +4 $0 5¢ $0 +$0 06-25 06:12