Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20cf…a689d2 Create alert
whale bot cold 6L streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L (30d)
-$2.84K
Unrealized P&L
-$163
Hit rate
2.4%
Resolved (30d)
1,268
Trades (30d)
4,823
35,512 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$80.1K
$629.5K lifetime
Avg / trade
$18
Open exposure
$310
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-07
last 11-07 11:52
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 166 days
Categories
Other
59% 8% -$9,339
Politics
25% 4% -$3,835
Crypto
9% 46% -$177
Tech
3% 2% -$442
Sports
3% 11% -$327
Pop-Culture
1% 0% -$28
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 743 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Pacifica FDV above $100M one day after launch? No +50 $47 85¢ $42 -$4 11-07 06:33
Will "Dollhouse Elephant" be nominated for Best Animated Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards? No +50 $44 74¢ $37 -$6 11-07 03:43
Will Papertrade launch a token by September 30, 2027? Yes -50 -$41 33¢ $-17 +$25 10-06 20:07
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OR-06 House election by 10%-15%? No +20 $18 81¢ $16 -$2 11-07 00:33
Will Axel Kicillof win the most votes in the first round of the 2027 Argentina presidential election? No +20 $17 81¢ $16 -$1 11-07 02:17
Will Demon1 play for Cloud9 in 2027? No +20 $17 80¢ $16 -$1 11-06 19:35
Will The Black Ball win Best Original Score at the 99th Academy Awards? No +20 $20 77¢ $15 -$4 11-06 05:19
Will Josh Allen have 3,849.5+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? Yes +20 $14 73¢ $15 +$0 11-07 13:10
Will Anthropic be the #3 AI Lab at the end of November 2026 (Style Control On)? No +20 $17 71¢ $14 -$3 11-06 18:45
Will J.D. Vance attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? No +20 $17 70¢ $14 -$3 11-07 02:13
Will Meta be the #2 AI lab at the end of November 2026? No +20 $16 66¢ $13 -$3 11-06 18:45
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-03 House election by 55%-60%? No +20 $19 61¢ $12 -$7 11-07 00:31
Will Majid Takht-Ravanchi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? No +20 $17 60¢ $12 -$5 11-07 03:49
Will Revolut launch a USD stablecoin in 2026? Yes +50 $26 22¢ $11 -$15 11-06 15:31
Will Wu Hsiu-hua win the next Taitung County Magistrate election? No +50 $12 18¢ $9 -$3 11-07 02:22
Will Russia enter Kharkiv by December 31, 2027? Yes +50 $9 16¢ $8 -$1 11-06 22:07
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480? Yes +50 $65 11¢ $5 -$60 09-30 20:09
Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering? No +50 $56 9¢ $4 -$51 10-26 13:04
Will LASK reach the 2027 UEFA Champions League Round of 16? Yes +20 $5 21¢ $4 -$1 11-07 08:09
Will Brock Purdy have 3,299.5+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? No +20 $4 18¢ $4 $0 11-07 02:18
Will the Washington Commanders make the 2027 NFL Playoffs? Yes +20 $4 16¢ $3 $0 11-07 03:23
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine by June 30, 2027? Yes +20 $4 16¢ $3 -$1 11-06 21:29
Święczkowski reinstated as Constitutional Tribunal President by December 31, 2026? Yes +20 $3 12¢ $2 -$1 11-06 22:41
Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be between 25% and 29.9%? Yes +20 $3 12¢ $2 -$1 11-07 11:28
Will Raphael Warnock announce a Presidential run before 2027? Yes +20 $2 12¢ $2 +$0 11-06 22:56
Will Pete Buttigieg announce a Presidential run before 2028? No +50 $8 4¢ $2 -$5 11-06 21:35
French election called by December 31, 2026? Yes +50 $5 4¢ $2 -$3 11-03 15:16
Will Yaël Braun-Pivet announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026? Yes +50 $5 4¢ $2 -$2 11-05 16:03
Will US gas hit $4.40 (High) in November? Yes +40 $2 5¢ $2 $0 11-06 06:58
Ink FDV above $2B one day after launch? Yes +50 $5 4¢ $2 -$3 11-05 22:12