Realized P&L (30d)
-$2.92K
Unrealized P&L
-$119
Hit rate
2.3%
Resolved (30d)
1,238
Trades (30d)
4,571
34,814 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$78.0K
$621.1K lifetime
Avg / trade
$18
Open exposure
$35
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-07
last 11-05 02:55
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 164 days
Categories
Other
59% 8% -$9,224
Politics
25% 4% -$3,743
Crypto
9% 46% -$177
Sports
3% 11% -$327
Tech
3% 2% -$442
Pop-Culture
1% 0% -$28
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 743 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Ricardo Ruiz Velasco be arrested in 2026? No +20 $19 84¢ $17 -$2 10-25 02:57
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480? Yes +50 $65 9¢ $4 -$61 09-30 20:09
Hyperbeat FDV above $50M one day after launch? Yes +50 $13 6¢ $3 -$11 11-05 02:55
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? Yes +50 $10 5¢ $2 -$7 11-04 12:56
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes +50 $4 3¢ $1 -$2 11-04 03:14
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 MLS Golden Boot? No +50 $3 2¢ $1 -$2 10-29 02:53
Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch? Yes +50 $4 2¢ $1 -$3 11-04 10:29
Will Trump meet with Yoon Suk Yeol in 2026? Yes +50 $3 2¢ $1 -$2 10-27 20:55
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? Yes +25 $3 4¢ $1 -$2 11-03 23:56
Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027? Yes +50 $5 2¢ $1 -$5 11-04 19:32
Abstract FDV above $800M one day after launch? Yes +50 $4 2¢ $1 -$3 11-03 20:37
Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice? Yes +20 $1 4¢ $1 $0 11-04 16:22
Cilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026? Yes +20 $1 3¢ $1 $0 11-04 16:13
Will ANSEM flip PUMP by December 31, 2026? Yes +20 $3 2¢ $0 -$3 11-03 14:39
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Russia? No +0 $0 100¢ $0 $0 07-03 06:02
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain? No +0 $0 88¢ $0 $0 08-06 11:55
Will a team from LEC (Europe / EMEA) win LoL Worlds 2026? No +0 $0 99¢ $0 $0 07-09 10:19
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027? No +0 $0 97¢ $0 $0 10-31 18:06
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? No +0 $1 97¢ $0 -$1 07-04 09:38
Natural Disaster in 2026? No +0 $1 97¢ $0 -$1 10-16 03:50
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? No +0 $2 76¢ $0 -$2 08-31 14:04
Will Axel Kicillof win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? No +0 $2 70¢ $0 -$2 07-31 20:38
Will no listed leader be out before 2027? No +0 $0 44¢ $0 $0 07-09 15:05
Will Bayern Munich be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion? No +0 $4 12¢ $0 -$4 07-09 14:49
Bank of Mexico decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting? Yes +0 $0 22¢ $0 +$0 10-08 14:57
Will Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? Yes +0 $0 16¢ $0 $0 09-17 20:31
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026? Yes +0 $1 4¢ $0 -$1 07-09 22:36
Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be at least $2.5T? Yes +0 $0 8¢ $0 +$0 10-23 16:48
Metamask FDV above $3B one day after launch? Yes +0 $3 4¢ $0 -$3 10-15 15:37
Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027? Yes +0 $1 6¢ $0 -$1 07-29 09:33