Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20cf…a689d2 Create alert
whale bot cold 6L streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L (90d)
-$9.50K
Unrealized P&L
-$180
Hit rate
3.2%
Resolved (90d)
3,873
Trades (90d)
19,985
35,046 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$385.0K
$623.1K lifetime
Avg / trade
$18
Open exposure
$238
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-07
last 11-06 11:53
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 165 days
Categories
Other
59% 8% -$9,295
Politics
25% 4% -$3,774
Crypto
9% 46% -$177
Sports
3% 11% -$327
Tech
3% 2% -$442
Pop-Culture
1% 0% -$28
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 743 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Kraken be first to list tokenized stocks in the US? No +50 $51 84¢ $42 -$9 11-06 04:43
Will the Popular initiative ‘Yes to fair federal taxation for married couples – To finally put an end to marriage discrimination!’ be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote? No +50 $44 63¢ $32 -$12 10-22 07:12
Will California experience a 7.0 or above magnitude earthquake in 2026? No +20 $22 85¢ $17 -$5 11-06 05:13
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $7.00 and $7.50 on December 31, 2026? No +20 $18 83¢ $17 -$2 11-06 01:54
Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.25% before 2027? No +20 $17 82¢ $16 -$1 11-06 09:31
Will The Black Ball win Best Original Score at the 99th Academy Awards? No +20 $20 81¢ $16 -$4 11-06 05:19
Will PDC win the third most seats in the 2027 Salvadoran legislative election? No +20 $16 74¢ $15 -$1 11-06 10:53
Will Tom Homan leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes +50 $10 18¢ $9 -$1 11-06 05:31
Will the Christian Democrats (KD) be in the next Swedish government? No — +20 $18 42¢ $8 -$10 11-06 11:53
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480? Yes +50 $65 12¢ $6 -$59 09-30 20:09
Will "Club Kid" be nominated for Best Film Editing at the 99th Academy Awards? Yes +50 $8 12¢ $6 -$2 11-06 06:23
Will the Malaysian House of Representatives be dissolved by December 31, 2026? Yes +50 $7 10¢ $5 -$2 11-06 03:13
Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering? No +50 $56 9¢ $5 -$51 10-26 13:04
Will Keria win Worlds 2026 Finals MVP? Yes +50 $4 8¢ $4 +$0 11-06 05:52
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30, 2027? Yes +20 $4 20¢ $4 $0 11-06 07:36
Brazil's top courts strike down oil export tax by December 31, 2027? Yes +20 $4 19¢ $4 $0 11-06 01:35
Will Labour Party win the popular vote in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election by 5-10%? Yes +50 $4 7¢ $3 -$1 11-04 20:24
Will Tim Walz announce a Presidential run before 2028? Yes +40 $3 7¢ $3 $0 11-06 04:24
French election called by December 31, 2026? Yes +50 $5 5¢ $3 -$2 11-03 15:16
Reya FDV above $300M one day after launch? Yes +50 $5 5¢ $3 -$2 11-06 08:37
Will Jon Stewart announce a Presidential run before 2028? Yes +20 $3 12¢ $2 $0 11-06 04:21
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes +50 $5 5¢ $2 -$3 11-06 05:15
Will François Hollande advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? Yes +50 $3 4¢ $2 -$1 11-05 09:30
Ink FDV above $2B one day after launch? Yes +50 $5 4¢ $2 -$3 11-05 22:12
Will Yaël Braun-Pivet announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026? Yes +50 $5 4¢ $2 -$2 11-05 16:03
Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.00 and $2.50 on December 31, 2026? Yes +20 $4 10¢ $2 -$2 11-06 04:46
Will the Philadelphia 76ers make the 2027 NBA Playoffs? No +20 $2 10¢ $2 $0 11-06 03:56
Will Ondřej Tichý be the next Mayor of Pardubice? No +34 $3 5¢ $2 -$1 11-05 09:32
Will "Babydoll — Dominic Fike" be the top song for 2026? Yes +20 $3 9¢ $2 -$1 11-06 08:36
Will Loyiso Masuku be the next mayor of Johannesburg? Yes +50 $4 3¢ $2 -$2 11-05 03:19