Will The Weeknd have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?
open
Total volume
$275
Trades
22
Unique wallets
14
Liquidity
$314
Latest YES mid
28¢
Latest NO mid
72¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-28
last 07-23 16:20
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 5 | $37 | $17 | +$20 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 4 | $21 | $43 | $22 |
| 🐟 Fish | 3 | $18 | $95 | $77 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 2 | $1 | $2 | $1 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | $28 | $10 | +$19 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | $14 | — | +$14 |
| Below median | 1 | — | $43 | $43 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | $21 | $88 | $67 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 2 | $13 | $7 | +$6 |
| unranked | 3 | $1 | $10 | $9 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vivacious-Fondue 0x51b1…7865 | No | +158 | $88 | $88 | 2 | 07-23 16:20 |
| Forsaken-Meridian 0x91d7…0dfc | Yes | +97 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 07-17 03:16 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +49 | $21 | $21 | 1 | 07-23 16:20 |
| Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | +40 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 07-23 16:20 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +36 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 07-22 03:00 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | +30 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 07-23 16:20 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +23 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 07-23 16:20 |
| Dense-Exhibition 0xeff0…4f19 | Yes | +6 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-28 22:44 |
| Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | +1 | $3 | $12 | 2 | 07-18 16:47 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-23 16:20:40 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 23 | 46¢ | $10 | 0x49fa36… |
| 07-23 16:20:40 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 49 | 42¢ | $21 | 0x49fa36… |
| 07-23 16:20:40 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 40 | 45¢ | $18 | 0x49fa36… |
| 07-23 16:20:40 | (anonymous) 0x783e…5a19 | No | SELL | 8 | 56¢ | $5 | 0x49fa36… |
| 07-23 16:20:40 | Vivacious-Fondue 0x51b1…7865 | No | BUY | 150 | 56¢ | $84 | 0x49fa36… |
| 07-23 16:20:40 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 30 | 46¢ | $14 | 0x49fa36… |
| 07-22 03:00:09 | Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20…89d2 | No | SELL | 44 | 27¢ | $12 | 0xa5a4a8… |
| 07-22 03:00:09 | (anonymous) 0x783e…5a19 | No | BUY | 8 | 28¢ | $2 | 0xa5a4a8… |
| 07-22 03:00:09 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 36 | 27¢ | $10 | 0xa5a4a8… |
| 07-18 16:47:30 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | SELL | 8 | 53¢ | $4 | 0x1e6a3b… |
| 07-18 16:47:30 | Vivacious-Fondue 0x51b1…7865 | No | BUY | 8 | 53¢ | $4 | 0x1e6a3b… |
| 07-17 03:19:31 | Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20…89d2 | No | SELL | 6 | 85¢ | $5 | 0x42e0c8… |
| 07-17 03:19:31 | Joyful-Monsoon 0x0b34…ffc3 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 15¢ | $1 | 0x42e0c8… |
| 07-17 03:16:45 | (anonymous) 0xcb58…ccd0 | No | SELL | 9 | 86¢ | $7 | 0x64f068… |
| 07-17 03:16:45 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | BUY | 9 | 86¢ | $7 | 0x64f068… |
| 07-17 03:16:36 | (anonymous) 0xcb58…ccd0 | No | BUY | 9 | 86¢ | $7 | 0x51525c… |
| 07-17 03:16:36 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 32 | 13¢ | $4 | 0x51525c… |
| 07-17 03:16:36 | Joyful-Monsoon 0x0b34…ffc3 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x51525c… |
| 07-17 03:16:36 | Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20…89d2 | No | BUY | 50 | 86¢ | $43 | 0x51525c… |
| 07-17 03:16:36 | Forsaken-Meridian 0x91d7…0dfc | Yes | BUY | 97 | 14¢ | $13 | 0x51525c… |
| 05-28 22:44:36 | Dense-Exhibition 0xeff0…4f19 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 17¢ | $1 | 0x08f982… |
| 05-28 22:44:36 | Ordinary-Confectionery 0xa5e3…4d7e | Yes | SELL | 6 | 17¢ | $1 | 0x08f982… |