Realized P&L (7d)
-$858
Unrealized P&L
-$90
Hit rate
1.1%
Resolved (7d)
325
Trades (7d)
1,062
34,213 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$19.6K
$613.3K lifetime
Avg / trade
$18
Open exposure
$14
27 positions
First seen
2026-03-07
last 11-01 11:57
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 160 days
Categories
Other
59% 9% -$8,615
Politics
25% 4% -$3,375
Crypto
9% 47% -$173
Tech
3% 2% -$442
Sports
3% 11% -$327
Pop-Culture
1% 0% -$18
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 743 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
will the next google gemini pro model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480 Yes +50 $65 13¢ $7 -$59 09-30 20:09
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? Yes +50 $10 6¢ $3 -$6 10-31 23:37
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? Yes +50 $4 4¢ $2 -$2 10-28 04:57
Will Trump meet with Yoon Suk Yeol in 2026? Yes +50 $3 2¢ $1 -$2 10-27 20:55
Will Macky Sall be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations? Yes +50 $4 2¢ $1 -$3 09-27 13:26
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain? No +0 $0 89¢ $0 $0 08-06 11:55
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Russia? No +0 $0 100¢ $0 $0 07-03 06:02
Will a team from LEC (Europe / EMEA) win LoL Worlds 2026? No +0 $0 99¢ $0 $0 07-09 10:19
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? No +0 $1 99¢ $0 -$1 07-04 09:38
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027? No +0 $0 97¢ $0 $0 10-31 18:06
Natural Disaster in 2026? No +0 $1 94¢ $0 -$1 10-16 03:50
will openais valuation hit high 1pt5t by december 31 574 287 No +0 $2 86¢ $0 -$2 08-31 14:04
Will Axel Kicillof win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? No +0 $2 72¢ $0 -$2 07-31 20:38
Will no listed leader be out before 2027? No +0 $0 30¢ $0 $0 07-09 15:05
Will Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? Yes +0 $0 27¢ $0 +$0 09-17 20:31
Will Bayern Munich be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion? No +0 $4 14¢ $0 -$4 07-09 14:49
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026? Yes +0 $1 8¢ $0 -$1 07-09 22:36
Metamask FDV above $3B one day after launch? Yes +0 $3 4¢ $0 -$3 10-15 15:37
Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027? Yes +0 $1 6¢ $0 -$1 07-29 09:33
Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.0T and $1.25T? Yes +0 $0 5¢ $0 $0 10-19 16:31
Will Lebanon join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes +0 $0 5¢ $0 $0 10-26 09:37
Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes +0 $0 4¢ $0 $0 10-04 21:17
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? No +0 $0 4¢ $0 $0 09-13 11:50
Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be at least $2.5T? Yes +0 $0 4¢ $0 +$0 10-23 16:48
Will the Democrats win the New Mexico governor race in 2026? No +0 $0 3¢ $0 $0 10-29 16:43
macron out by december 31 2026 20260728190614227 Yes +0 $1 3¢ $0 -$1 09-29 13:13
Will Bernie endorse James Talarico for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET? Yes +0 $1 2¢ $0 -$1 10-25 05:36