Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20cf…a689d2 Create alert
whale bot cold 6L streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$14.3K
Unrealized P&L
-$206
Hit rate
6.5%
Resolved
6,780
Trades
35,800
lifetime
Volume
$633.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$18
Open exposure
$245
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-07
last 11-09 00:57
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 167 days
Categories
Other
59% 8% -$9,435
Politics
25% 4% -$3,848
Crypto
9% 46% -$177
Sports
3% 11% -$327
Tech
3% 2% -$442
Pop-Culture
1% 0% -$28
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 743 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Yair Golan be the next Israeli Minister of National Security? No +50 $47 84¢ $42 -$5 11-08 02:07
Will "Dollhouse Elephant" be nominated for Best Animated Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards? No +50 $44 74¢ $37 -$6 11-07 03:43
Next Muse Spark (1.4+) released by December 31, 2026? Yes +50 $47 33¢ $16 -$30 11-07 22:45
Will edgeX reach $1.00 before 2027? No +20 $19 82¢ $16 -$2 11-08 05:16
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OR-06 House election by 10%-15%? No +20 $18 81¢ $16 -$2 11-07 00:33
Will Papertrade launch a token by September 30, 2027? Yes -50 -$41 31¢ $-16 +$26 10-06 20:07
Will Perplexity launch a Muse-like personal agent before 2027? No +20 $15 61¢ $12 -$3 11-07 13:13
Will Revolut launch a USD stablecoin in 2026? Yes +50 $26 22¢ $11 -$15 11-06 15:31
Will D'Andre Swift finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most rushing touchdowns? No +20 $18 55¢ $11 -$7 11-07 14:37
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MI-08 House election by 10%-15%? Yes +20 $19 49¢ $10 -$9 11-08 05:33
Will Wu Hsiu-hua win the next Taitung County Magistrate election? No +50 $12 18¢ $9 -$3 11-07 02:22
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480? Yes +50 $65 11¢ $6 -$60 09-30 20:09
Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering? No +50 $56 9¢ $5 -$51 10-26 13:04
Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes +82 $7 4¢ $3 -$4 11-08 04:59
Will Nathalie Arthaud be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No +41 $5 8¢ $3 -$2 11-07 15:01
Will Russia enter Pokrovskoe by December 31, 2026? Yes +50 $10 6¢ $3 -$7 11-07 22:51
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine by June 30, 2027? Yes +20 $4 15¢ $3 -$1 11-06 21:29
Will Brock Purdy have 3,299.5+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? No +20 $4 15¢ $3 -$1 11-07 02:18
Cambria listed on OKX within 30 days of TGE? Yes +50 $3 4¢ $2 -$1 11-07 14:54
French election called by December 31, 2026? Yes +50 $5 4¢ $2 -$3 11-03 15:16
Will Yaël Braun-Pivet announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026? Yes +50 $5 4¢ $2 -$2 11-05 16:03
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers be the 2027 NBA Eastern Conference Champion? Yes +37 $2 6¢ $2 +$0 10-30 19:58
Will "GTA VI" have a Metascore of at least 94? No +50 $3 4¢ $2 -$1 11-08 04:11
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No +50 $4 4¢ $2 -$2 11-04 17:40
Ink FDV above $2B one day after launch? Yes +50 $5 4¢ $2 -$3 11-05 22:12
Will Databricks' valuation hit (LOW) $125B by December 31? Yes +50 $3 4¢ $2 -$1 11-06 17:46
Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.00 and $2.50 on December 31, 2026? Yes +20 $4 9¢ $2 -$2 11-06 04:46
Will Xavier Bertrand advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? Yes +50 $3 4¢ $2 -$1 11-06 13:50
Will Pete Buttigieg announce a Presidential run before 2028? No +50 $8 4¢ $2 -$6 11-06 21:35
Will Loyiso Masuku be the next mayor of Johannesburg? Yes +50 $4 3¢ $2 -$2 11-05 03:19