Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20cf…a689d2 Create alert
whale bot cold 6L streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$14.4K
Unrealized P&L
-$162
Hit rate
6.4%
Resolved
6,819
Trades
35,960
lifetime
Volume
$635.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$18
Open exposure
$198
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-07
last 11-10 04:47
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 169 days
Categories
Other
59% 8% -$9,558
Politics
25% 4% -$3,849
Crypto
9% 46% -$177
Sports
3% 11% -$327
Tech
3% 2% -$442
Pop-Culture
1% 0% -$28
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 743 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Yair Golan be the next Israeli Minister of National Security? No +50 $47 83¢ $41 -$5 11-08 02:07
Will "Dollhouse Elephant" be nominated for Best Animated Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards? No +50 $44 74¢ $37 -$6 11-07 03:43
Will Lillestrom finish top 8 in UEL league phase? No -20 -$19 99¢ $-20 -$1 10-30 19:27
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OR-06 House election by 10%-15%? No +20 $18 81¢ $16 -$2 11-07 00:33
Will Papertrade launch a token by September 30, 2027? Yes -50 -$41 31¢ $-16 +$26 10-06 20:07
Will Trump's approval rating hit 32% by June 30, 2027? No +20 $18 50¢ $10 -$8 11-10 01:19
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut in the top 5 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027? Yes — +20 $17 44¢ $9 -$8 11-10 05:15
Will Wu Hsiu-hua win the next Taitung County Magistrate election? No +50 $12 15¢ $8 -$4 11-07 02:22
Will the median home value in NYC be between $458,000 and $471,000 on December 31? Yes +20 $5 27¢ $5 +$1 11-10 04:19
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480? Yes +50 $65 11¢ $5 -$60 09-30 20:09
Will Anthropic be the #3 AI Lab at the end of December 2026 (Style Control On)? Yes +19 $4 18¢ $3 -$1 11-10 04:58
Will Pete Buttigieg announce a Presidential run before 2028? No +50 $8 5¢ $3 -$5 11-06 21:35
Will Yaël Braun-Pivet announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026? Yes +50 $5 4¢ $2 -$2 11-05 16:03
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers be the 2027 NBA Eastern Conference Champion? Yes +37 $2 6¢ $2 +$0 10-30 19:58
Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.00 and $2.50 on December 31, 2026? Yes +20 $4 9¢ $2 -$2 11-06 04:46
Will Xavier Bertrand advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? Yes +50 $3 4¢ $2 -$1 11-06 13:50
Will Loyiso Masuku be the next mayor of Johannesburg? Yes +50 $4 3¢ $2 -$2 11-05 03:19
Ink FDV above $2B one day after launch? Yes +50 $5 3¢ $2 -$4 11-05 22:12
Will Lionel Messi win 2026 MLS Most Valuable Player? No +50 $4 3¢ $2 -$2 11-09 04:14
Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering? No +50 $56 3¢ $2 -$54 10-26 13:04
French election called by December 31, 2026? Yes +50 $5 3¢ $1 -$4 11-03 15:16
Dario Amodei out as Anthropic CEO before IPO? Yes +50 $2 3¢ $1 -$1 11-08 03:27
Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 1.1% and 1.5%? Yes +20 $4 6¢ $1 -$3 11-07 04:07
Will Australia win the 2027 AFC Asian Cup? Yes +40 $2 3¢ $1 -$1 11-09 19:21
National Guard deployed to election sites by December 31, 2026? Yes +50 $3 2¢ $1 -$1 11-07 23:25
Will Lakhwinder Jhaj win the next Abbotsford-Mission by-election? Yes +50 $3 2¢ $1 -$2 11-05 20:17
Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $1.50 and $2.00 on December 31, 2026? Yes +20 $2 5¢ $1 -$1 11-05 23:56
Will "Choosin Texas – Ella Langley" be the top song in the US for 2026? No +20 $3 4¢ $1 -$2 11-04 09:01
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? Yes +25 $3 3¢ $1 -$2 11-03 23:56
Will Trump meet with Yoon Suk Yeol in 2026? Yes +50 $3 2¢ $1 -$2 10-27 20:55