Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20cf…a689d2 Create alert
whale bot cold 6L streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$14.5K
Unrealized P&L
-$99
Hit rate
6.4%
Resolved
6,867
Trades
36,237
lifetime
Volume
$639.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$18
Open exposure
$344
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-07
last 11-11 06:35
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 170 days
Categories
Other
59% 8% -$9,571
Politics
25% 4% -$3,922
Crypto
9% 45% -$206
Sports
3% 11% -$328
Tech
3% 2% -$442
Pop-Culture
1% 0% -$28
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 743 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Yair Golan be the next Israeli Minister of National Security? No +50 $47 83¢ $41 -$5 11-08 02:07
Will PP win the most seats in León in the 2026 Spanish general election? Yes +50 $43 80¢ $40 -$3 11-10 11:37
Will Heidi Overton be confirmed as FDA Commissioner by November 30? No +50 $47 77¢ $39 -$9 11-10 19:21
Will Jasmine Bugarín Rodríguez win the 2027 Nayarit Governor Election? Yes +50 $40 77¢ $38 -$2 11-10 11:55
Will "Dollhouse Elephant" be nominated for Best Animated Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards? No +50 $44 74¢ $37 -$6 11-07 03:43
Will Lillestrom finish top 8 in UEL league phase? No -20 -$19 99¢ $-20 -$1 10-30 19:27
will barron trump join trump at apec in china No +20 $19 96¢ $19 +$0 11-11 06:33
Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate by 25 bps at the November meeting? No +20 $18 93¢ $19 +$1 11-11 08:11
Tobey Maguire as Spider-Man? Yes +20 $18 92¢ $18 +$0 11-11 08:09
Will Papertrade launch a token by September 30, 2027? Yes -50 -$41 36¢ $-18 +$23 10-06 20:07
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Israeli Minister of Defense? Yes +50 $10 33¢ $16 +$7 11-10 14:57
Will Wu Hsiu-hua win the next Taitung County Magistrate election? No +50 $12 12¢ $6 -$5 11-07 02:22
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480? Yes +50 $65 11¢ $5 -$60 09-30 20:09
Will "Teenage Sex and Death at Camp Miasma" be nominated for Best Original Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards? Yes +50 $4 5¢ $2 -$2 11-10 11:20
Will Yaël Braun-Pivet announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026? Yes +50 $5 4¢ $2 -$2 11-05 16:03
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers be the 2027 NBA Eastern Conference Champion? Yes +37 $2 6¢ $2 +$0 10-30 19:58
Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 1.1% and 1.5%? Yes +20 $4 10¢ $2 -$2 11-07 04:07
Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.00 and $2.50 on December 31, 2026? Yes +20 $4 9¢ $2 -$2 11-06 04:46
Will Xavier Bertrand advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? Yes +50 $3 4¢ $2 -$1 11-06 13:50
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026? Yes +50 $5 4¢ $2 -$3 11-11 00:50
Ink FDV above $2B one day after launch? Yes +50 $5 3¢ $2 -$4 11-05 22:12
Metamask FDV above $1B one day after launch? Yes +50 $3 3¢ $2 -$2 11-10 11:52
French election called by December 31, 2026? Yes +50 $5 3¢ $1 -$3 11-03 15:16
Will Lionel Messi win 2026 MLS Most Valuable Player? No +50 $4 3¢ $1 -$3 11-09 04:14
Dario Amodei out as Anthropic CEO before IPO? Yes +50 $2 3¢ $1 -$1 11-08 03:27
National Guard deployed to election sites by December 31, 2026? Yes +50 $3 2¢ $1 -$1 11-07 23:25
Will Lakhwinder Jhaj win the next Abbotsford-Mission by-election? Yes +50 $3 2¢ $1 -$2 11-05 20:17
Will Pete Buttigieg announce a Presidential run before 2028? No +50 $8 2¢ $1 -$6 11-06 21:35
Will Australia win the 2027 AFC Asian Cup? Yes +40 $2 3¢ $1 -$1 11-09 19:21
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? Yes +25 $3 4¢ $1 -$2 11-03 23:56