Will Elon Musk be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?
open
Total volume
$1,805
Trades
63
Unique wallets
38
Liquidity
$20,710
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-06-30
First seen
2026-05-31
last 06-18 03:40
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-0.6¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $683
vs crowd: 1% YES on $1.2K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 5 | — | $819 | $819 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 4 | $0 | $197 | $197 |
| 🐟 Fish | 7 | $2 | $125 | $123 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 22 | $6 | $50 | $44 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 3 | $0 | $683 | $683 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | $1 | $135 | $134 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | $0 | — | +$0 |
| Median | 7 | $1 | $355 | $354 |
| Below median | 6 | $0 | $5 | $5 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 4 | $3 | $9 | $6 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | $0 | — | +$0 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| unranked | 12 | $2 | $4 | $2 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | +436 | $433 | $433 | 2 | 06-18 03:40 |
| Compassionate-Kneejerk 0x9507…7b04 | No | +252 | $250 | $250 | 4 | 06-15 09:52 |
| Purple-Yarn 0x7c9e…db3d | Yes | +200 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-05 21:09 |
| Outgoing-Bite 0x2ec0…976b | No | +200 | $197 | $197 | 2 | 06-01 20:16 |
| Squiggly-Princess 0x2e73…c4c2 | Yes | +200 | $1 | $1 | 4 | 06-16 02:02 |
| Feline-Decade 0x9a05…9755 | Yes | +125 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-10 22:09 |
| (anonymous) 0xd9fa…e91e | Yes | +125 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-11 11:07 |
| Whimsical-Cope 0x7e06…18bc | No | +117 | $115 | $115 | 3 | 06-01 20:16 |
| Upset-Stack 0xe375…b335 | Yes | +111 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-09 23:46 |
| (anonymous) 0x9e80…30e2 | Yes | +100 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-18 03:40 |
| (anonymous) 0x6f42…1ff5 | Yes | +71 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-31 17:48 |
| (anonymous) 0x387a…f2b5 | No | +43 | $42 | $42 | 2 | 06-01 20:16 |
| Tender-Tradition 0xef4a…5eeb | No | +8 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 06-05 21:09 |
| Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345 | Yes | +6 | $0 | $0 | 4 | 06-18 03:40 |
| Scientific-Impala 0x07d1…8ffa | Yes | +4 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-08 21:27 |
| (anonymous) 0x1b2c…1078 | No | +3 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-18 03:40 |
| (anonymous) 0x5f0e…2c88 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 06-18 03:40 |
| (anonymous) 0xff09…25ab | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 06-18 03:40 |
| (anonymous) 0x8193…fc06 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-05 21:09 |
| (anonymous) 0x4978…a5b2 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-18 03:40 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-18 03:40:07 | Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa571b5… |
| 06-18 03:40:07 | (anonymous) 0x1b2c…1078 | No | BUY | 3 | 100¢ | $3 | 0xa571b5… |
| 06-18 03:40:05 | (anonymous) 0xff09…25ab | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x6a7ba5… |
| 06-18 03:40:05 | Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x6a7ba5… |
| 06-18 03:40:04 | Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xdfed1a… |
| 06-18 03:40:04 | Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xee629c… |
| 06-18 03:40:04 | (anonymous) 0x4978…a5b2 | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0xdfed1a… |
| 06-18 03:40:04 | (anonymous) 0x5f0e…2c88 | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0xee629c… |
| 06-18 03:40:02 | (anonymous) 0x9e80…30e2 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x3ba145… |
| 06-18 03:40:02 | Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | BUY | 236 | 100¢ | $235 | 0x3ba145… |
| 06-18 03:40:02 | Accurate-Geyser 0x31ab…86cf | No | SELL | 136 | 100¢ | $135 | 0x3ba145… |
| 06-16 02:02:22 | Accurate-Geyser 0x31ab…86cf | No | BUY | 136 | 99¢ | $135 | 0x57d640… |
| 06-16 02:02:22 | Squiggly-Princess 0x2e73…c4c2 | Yes | BUY | 136 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x57d640… |
| 06-15 09:52:18 | Compassionate-Kneejerk 0x9507…7b04 | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x67aa2b… |
| 06-15 09:52:18 | Wilted-Employ 0x1a96…9797 | No | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x67aa2b… |
| 06-15 09:49:18 | Squiggly-Princess 0x2e73…c4c2 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xddd1bd… |
| 06-15 09:49:18 | Wilted-Employ 0x1a96…9797 | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xddd1bd… |
| 06-15 06:31:01 | (anonymous) 0x2ad9…737e | Yes | SELL | 23 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xca1816… |
| 06-15 06:31:01 | Squiggly-Princess 0x2e73…c4c2 | Yes | BUY | 23 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xca1816… |
| 06-14 16:12:33 | Compassionate-Kneejerk 0x9507…7b04 | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xa620ff… |
| 06-14 16:12:33 | Partial-Haunt 0xdc6c…2c89 | No | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xa620ff… |
| 06-12 15:19:24 | Squiggly-Princess 0x2e73…c4c2 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x01a6ef… |
| 06-12 15:19:24 | Worthy-Stuff 0xb7ec…a06e | Yes | SELL | 40 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x01a6ef… |
| 06-11 11:07:43 | Compassionate-Kneejerk 0x9507…7b04 | No | BUY | 125 | 99¢ | $124 | 0x379b91… |
| 06-11 11:07:43 | (anonymous) 0xd9fa…e91e | Yes | BUY | 125 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x379b91… |
| 06-10 22:09:01 | Feline-Decade 0x9a05…9755 | Yes | BUY | 125 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xd7f7bb… |
| 06-10 22:09:01 | Compassionate-Kneejerk 0x9507…7b04 | No | BUY | 125 | 99¢ | $124 | 0xd7f7bb… |
| 06-09 23:46:00 | Upset-Stack 0xe375…b335 | Yes | BUY | 111 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x292638… |
| 06-09 23:46:00 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | SELL | 111 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x292638… |
| 06-08 21:27:55 | Whimsical-Paint 0x4fea…d383 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xe01aa3… |
| 06-08 21:27:55 | Scientific-Impala 0x07d1…8ffa | Yes | BUY | 4 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xe01aa3… |
| 06-08 14:44:54 | Whimsical-Paint 0x4fea…d383 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x173b55… |
| 06-08 14:44:54 | Watery-Purchase 0xd1ff…46ba | No | SELL | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x173b55… |
| 06-08 06:15:25 | Serpentine-Merchant 0x3d70…e9b0 | No | SELL | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x62cb2c… |
| 06-08 06:15:25 | Whimsical-Paint 0x4fea…d383 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x62cb2c… |
| 06-05 21:09:27 | Tender-Tradition 0xef4a…5eeb | No | BUY | 8 | 99¢ | $8 | 0xd857da… |
| 06-05 21:09:27 | Whimsical-Paint 0x4fea…d383 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xd857da… |
| 06-05 21:09:07 | Whimsical-Paint 0x4fea…d383 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x39946e… |
| 06-05 21:09:07 | (anonymous) 0xff09…25ab | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x39946e… |
| 06-05 21:09:06 | Whimsical-Paint 0x4fea…d383 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x534173… |
| 06-05 21:09:06 | Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | BUY | 200 | 99¢ | $198 | 0xfffbc8… |
| 06-05 21:09:06 | (anonymous) 0x5f0e…2c88 | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xda4c57… |
| 06-05 21:09:06 | Whimsical-Paint 0x4fea…d383 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xda4c57… |
| 06-05 21:09:06 | Purple-Yarn 0x7c9e…db3d | Yes | BUY | 200 | 1¢ | $2 | 0xfffbc8… |
| 06-05 21:09:06 | (anonymous) 0x8193…fc06 | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x534173… |
| 06-01 20:16:58 | Outgoing-Bite 0x2ec0…976b | No | BUY | 147 | 99¢ | $145 | 0x591c58… |
| 06-01 20:16:58 | (anonymous) 0x387a…f2b5 | No | BUY | 42 | 98¢ | $41 | 0x591c58… |
| 06-01 20:16:58 | Frequent-Produce 0xdc75…a292 | No | SELL | 200 | 99¢ | $197 | 0x591c58… |
| 06-01 20:16:58 | Whimsical-Cope 0x7e06…18bc | No | BUY | 12 | 99¢ | $11 | 0x591c58… |
| 06-01 10:38:30 | (anonymous) 0x5e45…1aa4 | No | SELL | 50 | 99¢ | $49 | 0x557289… |
| 06-01 10:38:30 | Outgoing-Bite 0x2ec0…976b | No | BUY | 53 | 99¢ | $52 | 0x557289… |
| 06-01 10:38:30 | (anonymous) 0x6602…1ea9 | No | SELL | 3 | 99¢ | $3 | 0x557289… |
| 05-31 17:48:13 | Whimsical-Cope 0x7e06…18bc | No | BUY | 38 | 99¢ | $38 | 0x279b58… |
| 05-31 17:48:13 | (anonymous) 0x6f42…1ff5 | Yes | BUY | 71 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x279b58… |
| 05-31 12:25:10 | (anonymous) 0x8ab7…d6ee | No | SELL | 46 | 99¢ | $45 | 0xb477b3… |
| 05-31 12:25:10 | Hearty-Mark 0x7f06…8787 | Yes | SELL | 143 | 1¢ | $2 | 0xb477b3… |
| 05-31 12:25:10 | (anonymous) 0xafaf…cf68 | No | SELL | 50 | 99¢ | $49 | 0xb477b3… |
| 05-31 12:25:10 | (anonymous) 0x6602…1ea9 | No | SELL | 47 | 99¢ | $46 | 0xb477b3… |
| 05-31 07:51:42 | (anonymous) 0x5d39…4d8f | No | SELL | 44 | 99¢ | $43 | 0x97ed23… |
| 05-31 07:51:42 | Whimsical-Cope 0x7e06…18bc | No | BUY | 67 | 99¢ | $66 | 0x97ed23… |
| 05-31 07:51:42 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 23 | 99¢ | $23 | 0x97ed23… |
| 05-31 01:27:54 | (anonymous) 0x387a…f2b5 | No | BUY | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0xa2640f… |
| 05-31 01:27:54 | Short-Wingtip 0xf631…ae29 | No | SELL | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0xa2640f… |