Frequent-Produce — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.83K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

70.9%

Resolved

Trades

203

lifetime

Volume

$40.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$201

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-17

last 07-16 06:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 41 days

Categories

Other

45% 53% $-170

Politics

30% 69% +$1,153

Crypto

20% 50% +$983

Sports

4% 0% $-136

Tech

1% 0% $-1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	2	$7.7K	4,000	4,000	+0	Yes	+$120	01-21 19:50
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	6	$4.1K	4,343	4,111	+232	Yes	+$80	03-26 19:18
us strikes iran by february 9 2026 113 751	4	$3.9K	2,000	2,000	+0	No	+$33	02-10 00:02
will james talarico be the democratic nominee for senate in texas	9	$2.0K	1,500	1,309	+191	Yes	$-49	02-28 15:03
btc updown 5m 1771071300	2	$2.0K	1,017	1,017	+0	Down	+$6	02-14 12:19
will the united states win the most medals in the 2026 winter olympics	6	$1.6K	1,000	1,000	+0	No	$-86	02-18 09:25
btc updown 5m 1771071900	1	$1.5K	1,536	0	+1,536	Down	+$36	02-14 12:29
iran strike on israel by february 28	10	$1.2K	900	1,101	-201	Yes	$-70	02-28 14:37
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	2	$1.1K	595	595	+0	No	+$95	04-02 16:12
btc updown 5m 1771071600	2	$1.0K	1,141	0	+1,141	Up	$-11	02-14 12:24
will zachxbt release his investigation on february 26	1	$930	1,000	0	+1,000	Yes	+$70	02-26 13:34
iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by march 31	7	$908	600	600	+0	No	$-70	02-28 20:12
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?	3	$787	690	690	+0	Yes	+$387	02-28 07:09
will uae strike iran by march 31	4	$770	600	600	+0	No	+$2	03-02 17:22
btc updown 5m 1771017000	2	$756	714	713	+1	Up	+$657	02-13 21:15
spx up or down on march 2 2026	7	$611	400	550	-150	Up	$-63	03-02 17:21
fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 team to advance	2	$578	329	329	+0	Spain	+$78	07-10 21:05
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	2	$564	989	267	+722	Yes	$-436	05-31 17:52
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	5	$541	800	512	+288	Yes	+$605	03-01 07:57
us strikes iraq by february 28	3	$460	0	743	-743	Yes	$-283	02-28 14:37
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 2?	2	$456	371	371	+0	No	+$256	06-01 20:16
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 2?	3	$429	1,154	752	+402	No	+$531	06-01 20:16
will claude 5 be released by march 31 2026 243 489 141 184	2	$363	200	200	+0	No	$-1	02-22 21:37
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?	5	$318	200	200	+0	Yes	$-4	03-02 17:21
fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team to advance	3	$295	391	185	+206	Argentina	+$102	07-15 20:15
aapl above 255 on february 13 2026	3	$266	200	100	+100	Yes	$-8	02-13 20:47
Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $2B in 2026?	2	$254	180	180	+0	Yes	$-48	01-22 09:13
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?	2	$252	429	0	+429	Yes	+$177	01-25 23:36
fif egy esp 2026 03 30 esp	1	$250	306	0	+306	No	$-250	03-27 20:25
will there be 20 or more inches of snow in nyc this weekend	4	$225	201	201	+0	No	$-93	02-23 08:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-16 06:14:52	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	119	42¢	$50	0x9c3f7b…
07-15 20:15:19	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	206	49¢	$100	0xd55a0c…
07-15 20:15:10	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team to advance	England	SELL	185	52¢	$95	0xb0e430…
07-15 19:18:46	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team to advance	England	BUY	185	54¢	$100	0xd5a4cb…
07-11 21:27:56	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 team to advance	England	BUY	147	68¢	$100	0xcbb293…
07-10 21:05:26	fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 team to advance	Spain	SELL	329	100¢	$328	0xe9273c…
07-10 19:07:16	fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 team to advance	Spain	BUY	329	76¢	$250	0x42d1d5…
07-09 18:17:46	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 team to advance	Morocco	BUY	222	22¢	$50	0xf9de2c…
07-09 18:17:14	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	No	BUY	108	46¢	$50	0x42f72b…
07-09 18:17:04	will 50 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	No	BUY	264	76¢	$200	0x9357ff…
07-09 18:15:11	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	Conor McGregor	BUY	147	34¢	$50	0x801305…
07-07 20:06:23	fifwc che col 2026 07 07 team to advance	Colombia	BUY	164	61¢	$100	0x2d125d…
07-06 18:25:23	fifwc prt esp 2026 07 06 team to advance	Spain	BUY	76	66¢	$50	0xff60e4…
07-01 12:36:08	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 team to advance	Portugal	BUY	214	70¢	$150	0x4d1529…
07-01 12:35:49	fifwc usa bih 2026 07 01 team to advance	United States	BUY	181	83¢	$150	0x8374d3…
07-01 12:35:16	fifwc esp aut 2026 07 02 team to advance	Spain	BUY	233	86¢	$200	0x7497f1…
07-01 12:19:32	btc updown 5m 1782908100	Down	BUY	1,000	1¢	$10	0x74ab89…
07-01 12:17:19	btc updown 5m 1782908100	Down	BUY	125	8¢	$10	0xcbb984…
06-26 06:55:40	9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	Yes	BUY	999	5¢	$50	0x6d8673…
06-25 10:54:59	fifwc par aus 2026 06 25 btts	No	BUY	86	58¢	$50	0xe58ddb…
06-25 10:54:28	fifwc tun nld 2026 06 25 spread away 1pt5	Netherlands	BUY	133	75¢	$100	0x4edd27…
06-04 20:15:21	sol updown 5m 1780604100	Down	BUY	111	45¢	$50	0x1b12fe…
06-04 20:03:24	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	175	57¢	$100	0xdb8059…
06-03 18:54:45	Solana Up or Down - June 3, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	SELL	117	99¢	$116	0x289e91…
06-03 18:52:25	Solana Up or Down - June 3, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	40	62¢	$25	0x8e0094…
06-03 18:51:55	Solana Up or Down - June 3, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	39	64¢	$25	0xd94fae…
06-03 18:50:54	Solana Up or Down - June 3, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	38	66¢	$25	0x498c91…
06-01 20:16:58	Will Elon Musk be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?	No	SELL	200	99¢	$197	0x591c58…
06-01 20:16:33	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 2?	No	SELL	402	63¢	$253	0x2e3fb5…
06-01 20:16:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 2?	No	SELL	371	96¢	$356	0x4d4cb1…
05-31 17:52:01	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	267	24¢	$64	0x2823cb…
05-26 18:12:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 2?	No	BUY	371	27¢	$100	0x3950d6…
05-26 18:12:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 2?	No	SELL	350	7¢	$26	0xde6bd8…
05-26 18:11:59	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 2?	No	BUY	1,154	13¢	$150	0x3639c2…
05-26 18:11:22	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on June 2?	Yes	BUY	781	6¢	$50	0xbdca4a…
05-26 18:05:32	hype updown 4h 1779811200	Up	BUY	76	33¢	$25	0xbb8e02…
05-21 20:36:27	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	989	51¢	$500	0xa17ff0…
04-02 16:12:29	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	SELL	595	100¢	$595	0xdf5471…
03-27 20:36:37	fif nld ecu 2026 03 31 nld	Yes	BUY	10	72¢	$7	0xfa3eb6…
03-27 20:26:35	fif mar ecu 2026 03 27 mar	Yes	BUY	250	40¢	$100	0xfacaa7…
03-27 20:25:03	fif egy esp 2026 03 30 esp	Yes	BUY	306	82¢	$250	0x8c47a4…
03-27 20:02:39	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	595	84¢	$500	0x1066b0…
03-26 19:26:39	uef ukr swe 2026 03 26 swe	Yes	BUY	238	42¢	$100	0x972dd6…
03-26 19:21:59	Will EdgeX launch a token by March 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,158	4¢	$50	0x1435d2…
03-26 19:18:09	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	Yes	BUY	232	43¢	$100	0x74053a…
03-26 19:17:57	will crude oil cl hit high 95 by end of march 479 558	Yes	BUY	128	78¢	$100	0x32552e…
03-21 19:18:41	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	Yes	SELL	2,000	65¢	$1,307	0xb033b7…
03-21 18:57:55	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	Yes	BUY	835	67¢	$559	0x082746…
03-21 18:57:45	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	Yes	BUY	1,165	67¢	$781	0x1e4597…
03-21 17:03:57	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	No	SELL	2,111	31¢	$656	0x24fb65…
03-21 17:03:21	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	No	BUY	2,111	32¢	$676	0x85a2c0…
03-04 18:22:15	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 6 419 412 158 246 866 876 465	Yes	SELL	149	21¢	$31	0xf8f9a6…
03-04 18:17:21	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 6 419 412 158 246 866 876 465	Yes	BUY	149	20¢	$30	0x767d89…
03-02 17:55:01	elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 200 219	Yes	SELL	200	21¢	$41	0x4da60f…
03-02 17:22:05	will uae strike iran by march 31	No	SELL	600	64¢	$386	0x11d6bf…
03-02 17:21:53	spx up or down on march 2 2026	Down	SELL	300	37¢	$111	0x3b0a73…
03-02 17:21:35	Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?	No	SELL	200	78¢	$157	0xf25b8f…
03-02 09:45:19	elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 200 219	Yes	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0x8cb291…
03-02 09:43:15	elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 200 219	Yes	BUY	74	40¢	$30	0x809290…
03-02 09:43:09	elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 200 219	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x674adb…
03-02 09:43:09	elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 200 219	Yes	BUY	24	40¢	$10	0x063d42…
03-02 09:40:13	will uae strike iran by march 31	No	BUY	200	63¢	$126	0x8cbec4…
03-02 09:36:21	will uae strike iran by march 31	No	BUY	200	64¢	$128	0x4a00c4…
03-02 09:30:35	will uae strike iran by march 31	No	BUY	200	65¢	$130	0x1e6f70…
03-02 09:26:43	spx up or down on march 2 2026	Down	BUY	200	89¢	$178	0x315836…
03-02 09:24:15	spx up or down on march 2 2026	Down	BUY	80	90¢	$72	0xbcacc3…
03-02 09:24:11	spx up or down on march 2 2026	Down	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0xd9dc66…
03-02 09:23:19	spx up or down on march 2 2026	Down	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0xd46838…
03-01 07:57:15	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	Yes	SELL	70	100¢	$70	0x6c190f…
03-01 04:57:29	USD.AI FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	BUY	200	57¢	$114	0xa9f2c7…
03-01 04:30:43	USD.AI FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	BUY	77	57¢	$44	0xb91bf8…
02-28 21:20:35	khamenei seen in public by march 3 664 585 642	No	BUY	100	90¢	$90	0xc1d701…
02-28 20:57:47	pakistan x afghanistan ceasefire by march 31	Yes	BUY	80	41¢	$33	0x1bb6f1…
02-28 20:53:45	will a gulf state strike iran by march 7	No	BUY	100	60¢	$60	0xeab1cb…
02-28 20:47:29	spx up or down on march 2 2026	Down	SELL	250	65¢	$163	0xc2e287…
02-28 20:42:41	spx up or down on march 2 2026	Down	BUY	100	69¢	$69	0xadc39b…
02-28 20:27:07	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	Yes	SELL	199	95¢	$190	0xb96a56…
02-28 20:12:03	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by march 31	No	SELL	600	70¢	$419	0xa7880d…
02-28 20:00:07	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by march 31	No	BUY	115	81¢	$93	0x038c8e…
02-28 19:58:25	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by march 31	No	BUY	53	81¢	$43	0xefb82e…
02-28 19:56:15	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by march 31	No	BUY	32	81¢	$26	0x3a1861…
02-28 19:47:37	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by march 31	No	BUY	100	81¢	$81	0x1b2932…
02-28 19:47:07	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by march 31	No	BUY	112	82¢	$92	0x374adc…
02-28 19:46:51	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by march 31	No	BUY	188	82¢	$154	0x01ce29…
02-28 15:06:23	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	Yes	SELL	100	66¢	$66	0x8eb7d5…
02-28 15:03:25	will james talarico be the democratic nominee for senate in texas	Yes	SELL	184	64¢	$118	0x5c5dc7…
02-28 14:37:29	us strikes iraq by february 28	Yes	SELL	243	35¢	$85	0x203515…
02-28 14:37:17	iran strike on israel by february 28	No	SELL	129	12¢	$16	0xbca4e6…
02-28 14:35:47	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	Yes	SELL	143	72¢	$103	0x798520…
02-28 14:34:55	will james talarico be the democratic nominee for senate in texas	Yes	SELL	375	64¢	$240	0x2c6ba3…
02-28 09:55:13	us strikes iraq by february 28	Yes	SELL	100	75¢	$75	0x524f81…
02-28 09:53:45	us strikes iraq by february 28	Yes	SELL	400	75¢	$300	0xb5d4a0…
02-28 08:54:21	iran strike on israel by february 28	Yes	SELL	400	98¢	$392	0x6f91ad…
02-28 08:01:55	iran strike on israel by february 28	Yes	BUY	400	56¢	$224	0xf26427…
02-28 08:01:55	iran strike on israel by february 28	No	SELL	232	45¢	$104	0xf26427…
02-28 07:44:23	will bitcoin dip to 60000 in february 694	Yes	SELL	300	10¢	$31	0xd2a82a…
02-28 07:34:11	will bitcoin dip to 60000 in february 694	Yes	BUY	129	15¢	$19	0x35c707…
02-28 07:34:05	will bitcoin dip to 60000 in february 694	Yes	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0x33479f…
02-28 07:32:35	will bitcoin dip to 60000 in february 694	Yes	BUY	57	15¢	$9	0xdd1d55…
02-28 07:32:27	will bitcoin dip to 60000 in february 694	Yes	BUY	4	15¢	$1	0xcec579…