Serpentine-Merchant — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

31.7%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$76

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$55

4 positions

First seen

2026-05-06

last 05-14 18:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

47% 33% +$0

Politics

26% — —

Sports

25% 100% +$1

Crypto

3% 0% $-2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?	No	-20	$-19	97¢	$-19	$-0	05-14 18:16
Will Hyperliquid dip to $16 by December 31, 2026?	No	-20	$-17	84¢	$-17	+$0	05-11 13:43
Will Aston Martin be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	No	-15	$-15	99¢	$-15	$-0	05-06 18:20
Will Elon Musk and Sam Altman settle?	No	-5	$-4	78¢	$-4	+$0	05-09 13:53

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?	1	$19	0	20	-20	open	—	05-14 18:16
Will Hyperliquid dip to $16 by December 31, 2026?	1	$17	0	20	-20	open	—	05-11 13:43
Will Aston Martin be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	1	$15	0	15	-15	open	—	05-06 18:20
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	1	$10	0	10	-10	No	$-0	05-06 18:19
Will Elon Musk and Sam Altman settle?	1	$4	0	5	-5	open	—	05-09 13:53
Thunder vs. Lakers	1	$4	5	0	+5	Thunder	+$1	05-09 14:03
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-05-09?	1	$3	5	0	+5	Yes	+$2	05-09 14:08
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-09?	1	$2	5	0	+5	No	$-2	05-09 14:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	1	$2	3	0	+3	Down	$-2	05-07 12:46

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-14 18:16:55	Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?	No	SELL	20	97¢	$19	0x4dfdf8…
05-11 13:43:10	Will Hyperliquid dip to $16 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	20	84¢	$17	0xa4c519…
05-09 14:08:04	Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-05-09?	Yes	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x5b9808…
05-09 14:03:26	Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-09?	Yes	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x1b9293…
05-09 14:03:00	Thunder vs. Lakers	Thunder	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x5fb68f…
05-09 13:53:01	Will Elon Musk and Sam Altman settle?	No	SELL	5	83¢	$4	0x6a07a5…
05-07 12:46:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0xa65bcb…
05-06 18:20:32	Will Aston Martin be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	No	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0xfa2707…
05-06 18:19:57	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xeb7c7e…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	4	$634	28	05-10 02:41
Agitated-Bricklaying 0x84cf…2f63	3	$10.8K	226	05-10 01:36
Glass-Diet 0xd49b…bdf9	3	$3.97K	9	05-13 03:36
Cuddly-Will 0x7fea…8f74	3	$2.71K	12	05-10 02:22
Happy-Go-Lucky-Min 0x84ad…bfb7	3	$2.31K	76	05-10 02:21
Conscious-Outfielder 0xdb83…1e50	3	$1.39K	20	05-10 02:28