Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$35.7K

Unrealized P&L

+$95

Hit rate

72.8%

Resolved

Trades

675

lifetime

Volume

$239.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$354

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-06-12

last 08-23 02:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 32 days

Categories

Politics

66% 72% +$29,102

Other

31% 81% +$5,103

Sports

2% 75% +$1,453

Tech

1% 67% -$5

Crypto

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 45 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	No		+0	-$95	76¢	$0	+$95	07-17 16:48

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
nato x russia military clash by august 31 2026	70	$32.6K	82,921	82,921	+0	No	+$20,666	08-23 02:42
will donald trump publicly insult vladimir putin by july 31 2026 20260626210612715	38	$22.8K	17,852	17,852	+0	No	+$8,993	07-30 22:14
uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	78	$22.8K	31,521	30,319	+1,202	No	-$35	07-31 19:30
will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	37	$19.5K	18,613	16,597	+2,016	No	+$3,188	06-17 14:54
will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 17 20260615191216216	23	$16.5K	19,364	19,364	+0	Yes	-$7,787	06-17 14:20
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?	60	$15.8K	517,850	517,850	+0	No	+$2,436	06-14 21:53
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	5	$14.4K	8,254	8,254	+0	Yes	+$2,060	06-17 09:14
iran military action against a gulf state on july 23 20260708212322948	34	$13.4K	8,944	8,944	+0	No	-$920	07-29 23:02
will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	11	$9.2K	22,820	22,820	+0	open	—	08-01 20:04
chris moneymaker 20260707142702023	85	$8.2K	35,329	33,198	+2,131	Yes	+$6,060	07-22 21:17
will dow say carbon 5 times during earnings call 20260717163814086	6	$6.8K	5,334	1,500	+3,834	No	+$4	07-24 23:41
will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	19	$6.4K	5,827	1,000	+4,827	Yes	+$385	07-22 01:06
will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	63	$6.4K	14,367	13,136	+1,231	No	+$1,615	08-03 07:04
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	3	$3.6K	35,557	35,557	+0	No	-$858	06-17 13:57
Who will win the gold medal in Men's Scooters Park Best Trick at X Games New Orleans 2026?	12	$3.5K	4,529	426	+4,103	Yes	-$342	07-26 12:38
dota2 zedies gl 2026 07 07 game1	1	$2.8K	2,800	0	+2,800	GamerLegion	+$6	07-08 01:03
england mexico game rescheduled to different time 20260703205906835	5	$2.8K	2,794	0	+2,794	Yes	+$3	07-06 01:43
will the announcers say euro during the france vs england fifa world cup match 20260716154740629	3	$2.8K	2,213	2,213	+0	Yes	+$1,428	07-19 03:39
Netanyahu out by June 30?	1	$2.4K	2,376	0	+2,376	No	+$12	06-20 16:35
Who will win the gold medal in Men's Skateboard Street at X Games New Orleans 2026?	1	$2.2K	2,309	0	+2,309	No	+$69	07-26 01:09
pete hegseth out as secretary of defense by july 31 20260616200232527	1	$2.1K	2,071	0	+2,071	No	+$2	07-31 02:20
stephen song 20260707142702038	2	$2.0K	1,974	0	+1,974	Yes	+$17	07-22 07:31
spacex ipo closing share price updown on first day 20260607181533420	1	$1.3K	1,309	0	+1,309	Up	+$1	06-12 20:17
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 12, 2026?	8	$1.2K	2,063	876	+1,187	Yes	-$22	06-13 05:41
Will AppLovin acquire TikTok?	1	$1.1K	1,062	0	+1,062	No	+$1	07-01 07:21
Will Katie Porter finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election in Los Angeles County?	1	$1.1K	1,054	0	+1,054	No	+$1	07-10 05:03
us charges hormuz fees by july 17 2026 20260713155039898	1	$1.0K	1,022	0	+1,022	No	+$1	07-18 04:19
world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	1	$968	982	0	+982	No	+$15	07-14 21:33
Will Chad Bianco finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election in Los Angeles County?	1	$863	864	0	+864	No	+$1	07-10 05:04
Will 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 27-August 2?	1	$810	811	0	+811	No	+$1	08-05 03:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-23 02:42:39	nato x russia military clash by august 31 2026	Yes	SELL	5,022	4¢	$181	0xc20111…
08-21 06:33:27	nato x russia military clash by august 31 2026	Yes	SELL	458	4¢	$20	0x6b7e2d…
08-21 06:33:19	nato x russia military clash by august 31 2026	Yes	SELL	348	6¢	$20	0x9603bf…
08-21 02:34:45	nato x russia military clash by august 31 2026	Yes	SELL	274	8¢	$22	0xe66afd…
08-21 02:34:33	nato x russia military clash by august 31 2026	Yes	SELL	1,000	8¢	$80	0xf09ffa…
08-21 00:31:34	will there be houthi military action against saudi arabia by august 15 2026 20260807172323133	No	SELL	129	0¢	$0	0x7754df…
08-21 00:31:28	will there be houthi military action against saudi arabia by august 15 2026 20260807172323133	No	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0x4d82a7…
08-21 00:25:00	will there be houthi military action against saudi arabia by august 15 2026 20260807172323133	No	BUY	100	49¢	$49	0xe50e2a…
08-21 00:24:09	will there be houthi military action against saudi arabia by august 15 2026 20260807172323133	No	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0xf5f37c…
08-21 00:23:42	will there be houthi military action against saudi arabia by august 15 2026 20260807172323133	No	BUY	34	55¢	$19	0x196f10…
08-21 00:23:34	will there be houthi military action against saudi arabia by august 15 2026 20260807172323133	No	BUY	765	50¢	$382	0xdf63b7…
08-21 00:21:40	will there be houthi military action against saudi arabia by august 15 2026 20260807172323133	No	BUY	30	49¢	$15	0x135815…
08-20 23:51:12	will iran target a arab country on august 17 2026 20260801004719134	Yes	BUY	38	82¢	$31	0xc96bb5…
08-20 23:32:34	nato x russia military clash by august 31 2026	Yes	SELL	6	10¢	$1	0xd666ca…
08-20 23:32:19	nato x russia military clash by august 31 2026	Yes	SELL	20	10¢	$2	0x379e8b…
08-20 23:01:09	will iran target a arab country on august 17 2026 20260801004719134	Yes	BUY	110	84¢	$92	0x6576dd…
08-20 22:57:09	will iran target a arab country on august 17 2026 20260801004719134	Yes	BUY	140	81¢	$114	0x0cf21d…
08-20 20:25:15	nato x russia military clash by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	132	30¢	$40	0x291180…
08-20 20:23:52	nato x russia military clash by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	14	30¢	$4	0x17f6f6…
08-20 20:23:36	nato x russia military clash by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	12	30¢	$4	0x1ed35e…
08-20 20:23:22	nato x russia military clash by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	21	30¢	$6	0x1430ab…
08-20 20:22:43	nato x russia military clash by august 31 2026	Yes	SELL	180	30¢	$54	0x56e44d…
08-20 16:53:13	nato x russia military clash by august 31 2026	Yes	SELL	934	44¢	$406	0x26e122…
08-20 16:52:42	nato x russia military clash by august 31 2026	Yes	SELL	66	43¢	$29	0x88e28c…
08-20 16:33:57	nato x russia military clash by august 31 2026	Yes	SELL	21,783	33¢	$7,211	0x12702e…
08-20 16:17:03	nato x russia military clash by august 31 2026	Yes	SELL	1,487	36¢	$538	0x879f5b…
08-20 15:32:40	nato x russia military clash by august 31 2026	Yes	SELL	568	60¢	$341	0x25088f…
08-20 15:32:33	nato x russia military clash by august 31 2026	Yes	SELL	16	60¢	$10	0xea5647…
08-20 15:28:54	nato x russia military clash by august 31 2026	Yes	SELL	684	50¢	$341	0x448d3d…
08-20 15:28:46	nato x russia military clash by august 31 2026	Yes	SELL	666	50¢	$332	0x60f35d…
08-20 15:28:10	nato x russia military clash by august 31 2026	Yes	SELL	650	50¢	$325	0x709b8e…
08-20 15:25:37	nato x russia military clash by august 31 2026	Yes	SELL	738	41¢	$303	0x310f95…
08-20 15:25:30	nato x russia military clash by august 31 2026	Yes	SELL	10	41¢	$4	0xc7e6ae…
08-20 15:25:24	nato x russia military clash by august 31 2026	Yes	SELL	530	41¢	$217	0xdd9ea7…
08-20 15:23:39	nato x russia military clash by august 31 2026	Yes	SELL	2,015	40¢	$806	0x91e3c9…
08-20 15:20:39	nato x russia military clash by august 31 2026	Yes	SELL	169	40¢	$68	0xe9e7f4…
08-20 15:19:09	nato x russia military clash by august 31 2026	Yes	SELL	1,055	40¢	$422	0x4930b1…
08-20 15:18:57	nato x russia military clash by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	15	48¢	$7	0x4044a0…
08-20 15:07:09	nato x russia military clash by august 31 2026	Yes	SELL	280	35¢	$98	0xfa8475…
08-20 15:07:09	nato x russia military clash by august 31 2026	Yes	SELL	10	35¢	$4	0xed1227…
08-20 15:02:48	nato x russia military clash by august 31 2026	Yes	SELL	1,110	36¢	$400	0xbda44e…
08-20 14:56:13	nato x russia military clash by august 31 2026	Yes	SELL	4,844	46¢	$2,219	0xac5599…
08-20 14:54:40	nato x russia military clash by august 31 2026	Yes	SELL	5,842	35¢	$2,062	0x8c0494…
08-20 14:49:19	nato x russia military clash by august 31 2026	Yes	SELL	6,290	33¢	$2,097	0xa0f8e4…
08-20 14:44:34	nato x russia military clash by august 31 2026	Yes	SELL	1,111	31¢	$348	0xa2d5ee…
08-20 14:40:40	nato x russia military clash by august 31 2026	Yes	SELL	146	46¢	$67	0x80dda2…
08-20 14:40:22	nato x russia military clash by august 31 2026	Yes	SELL	1,830	40¢	$732	0xe0e27a…
08-20 14:39:58	nato x russia military clash by august 31 2026	Yes	SELL	2,720	35¢	$955	0xe432e2…
08-20 14:39:34	nato x russia military clash by august 31 2026	Yes	SELL	1,000	38¢	$376	0x6e65e9…
08-20 14:39:33	nato x russia military clash by august 31 2026	Yes	SELL	200	38¢	$75	0x4d067f…
08-20 14:37:00	nato x russia military clash by august 31 2026	Yes	SELL	390	30¢	$117	0x84eb6e…
08-20 14:36:52	nato x russia military clash by august 31 2026	Yes	SELL	660	31¢	$202	0xa28493…
08-20 14:34:06	nato x russia military clash by august 31 2026	Yes	SELL	332	26¢	$86	0x760a91…
08-20 14:33:01	nato x russia military clash by august 31 2026	Yes	SELL	9,904	25¢	$2,456	0x2853a3…
08-20 14:30:45	nato x russia military clash by august 31 2026	Yes	SELL	96	25¢	$24	0x47337c…
08-20 14:29:37	nato x russia military clash by august 31 2026	Yes	SELL	1,476	16¢	$232	0x04bf6d…
08-20 02:26:42	nato x russia military clash by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	9,900	4¢	$386	0xdba426…
08-06 18:30:50	nato x russia military clash by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	130	5¢	$6	0xb4ae99…
08-06 13:15:39	nato x russia military clash by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x307e7f…
08-06 13:13:53	nato x russia military clash by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	9,866	5¢	$464	0x100f9a…
08-05 22:46:11	will trump say hell 8 times during remarks in las vegas 20260803153421447	No	BUY	133	100¢	$133	0x5d9379…
08-05 22:45:33	will trump say police officer during remarks in las vegas 20260803153421451	Yes	BUY	341	100¢	$340	0x5fdfb9…
08-05 17:48:50	nato x russia military clash by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	630	6¢	$36	0x418a84…
08-05 05:45:32	nato x russia military clash by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	5,346	5¢	$273	0x49850b…
08-05 03:29:48	Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 27-August 2?	No	BUY	421	100¢	$421	0x231ef4…
08-05 03:29:26	Will 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 27-August 2?	No	BUY	811	100¢	$810	0xc74553…
08-03 07:04:33	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	No	BUY	591	100¢	$589	0xbfb5cc…
08-03 06:56:44	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	No	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0xff426a…
08-03 06:56:44	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	No	BUY	50	78¢	$39	0x6cd6dc…
08-03 06:33:26	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	No	BUY	31	79¢	$24	0x614108…
08-03 06:19:18	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	No	BUY	245	70¢	$171	0xc55557…
08-03 06:01:54	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	No	BUY	242	63¢	$152	0x9561db…
08-03 05:08:17	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	No	SELL	277	71¢	$197	0x5cd6bc…
08-03 00:38:11	nato x russia military clash by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	9,554	7¢	$638	0xb1a27f…
08-02 23:11:26	Will Dinus + Franek win the FNCS 2026 - Major 2 Europe Finals?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x5aff74…
08-02 21:59:32	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	No	SELL	456	45¢	$204	0x967317…
08-02 21:55:15	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	No	SELL	200	45¢	$90	0x64eb5f…
08-02 21:55:06	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	No	SELL	954	46¢	$434	0x293d41…
08-02 21:52:50	nato x russia military clash by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	172	6¢	$10	0x594d2b…
08-02 08:56:39	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	No	SELL	0	42¢	$0	0x5973c5…
08-02 08:53:24	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	No	SELL	17	42¢	$7	0x7e652e…
08-02 08:51:33	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	No	SELL	100	42¢	$42	0xef1d39…
08-02 08:49:44	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	No	SELL	24	42¢	$10	0x944a9c…
08-02 08:49:23	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	No	SELL	24	42¢	$10	0xcb2f99…
08-02 08:48:30	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	No	SELL	7	42¢	$3	0x52b3c8…
08-02 08:48:02	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	No	SELL	12	42¢	$5	0x738e8c…
08-02 08:47:41	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	No	SELL	36	42¢	$15	0x0afb18…
08-02 08:47:32	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	No	SELL	237	42¢	$100	0x9ddb55…
08-02 08:46:00	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	No	SELL	2	42¢	$1	0xe98b75…
08-02 08:43:33	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	No	SELL	118	42¢	$50	0x998b0e…
08-02 08:43:20	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	No	SELL	40	42¢	$17	0x56dcf6…
08-02 08:37:45	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	No	SELL	2	42¢	$1	0xde8001…
08-02 08:34:54	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	No	SELL	118	42¢	$50	0x74ec18…
08-02 08:33:50	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	No	SELL	29	42¢	$12	0x7ffda8…
08-02 08:31:35	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	No	SELL	234	42¢	$99	0xd2e0fc…
08-02 07:25:32	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	No	SELL	300	39¢	$117	0x36c4d6…
08-02 06:30:35	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	No	SELL	106	39¢	$41	0x2a0afd…
08-02 06:26:29	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	No	SELL	1,162	41¢	$473	0x5f6b2c…
08-02 04:19:53	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	No	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0xdc9218…
08-02 04:14:05	nato x russia military clash by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	33	6¢	$2	0x9a8469…