Realized P&L
-$2
Unrealized P&L
+$1
Hit rate
63.1%
Resolved
18
Trades
55
lifetime
Volume
$64
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$19
11 positions
First seen
2026-05-06
last 05-14 21:28
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 7 days
Categories
Other
74% 83% +$0
Sports
14% 67% $-2
Politics
8%
Crypto
3%
Tech
2%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
8 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with Xi Jinping? No +2 $2 100¢ $2 +$0 05-13 22:12
Will Trump say "Six Seven" during events with Xi Jinping? No +2 $2 100¢ $2 +$0 05-13 21:29
Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit? No +2 $2 100¢ $2 +$0 05-13 03:08
Netanyahu out by May 31? No +2 $2 99¢ $2 +$0 05-14 01:45
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by June 30, 2026? Yes +2 $2 100¢ $2 +$0 05-14 02:59
Will Japan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026? No -2 $-2 99¢ $-2 $-0 05-10 00:46
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026? No +2 $2 86¢ $2 +$0 05-14 14:33
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15? No +2 $2 100¢ $2 +$0 05-10 01:20
Will SpaceX IPO by May 31, 2026? No +1 $1 100¢ $1 +$0 05-10 20:26
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? Yes +1 $1 98¢ $1 +$0 05-14 21:28
Iran closes its airspace by May 15? No +1 $1 97¢ $1 $-0 05-14 07:39