Expensive-Hubcap — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$703

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

85.4%

Resolved

Trades

7,773

lifetime

Volume

$629.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$81

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-07 08:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Other

52% 100% +$54

Politics

44% 88% $-767

Tech

2% — —

Sports

1% 67% +$10

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

25 active days in 12wk • peak 109 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
netanyahu out by march 31 854	127	$20.1K	10,729	10,416	+313	open	—	03-30 09:21
new stranger things episode released by january 31 294	144	$19.2K	9,449	10,036	-587	open	—	01-22 08:04
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	71	$17.5K	9,036	9,046	-10	open	—	04-26 15:08
kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	81	$15.4K	9,028	6,729	+2,299	open	—	04-16 02:46
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	105	$15.1K	8,216	8,367	-151	open	—	05-26 02:30
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	134	$12.8K	11,504	2,655	+8,849	open	—	03-30 13:00
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	160	$11.8K	6,047	6,047	+0	open	—	03-31 01:25
will eleven die in stranger things season 5	42	$10.9K	5,682	5,270	+412	open	—	01-04 01:58
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	97	$10.1K	8,449	2,222	+6,227	open	—	04-27 13:26
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	84	$10.0K	5,017	5,111	-94	open	—	03-12 08:42
us strikes iran by february 27 2026	30	$9.6K	5,110	5,110	+0	open	—	02-27 12:44
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	81	$8.6K	4,341	4,396	-55	open	—	05-25 12:00
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	24	$8.2K	3,991	4,263	-272	open	—	05-12 22:59
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	36	$7.5K	3,601	4,040	-439	open	—	05-26 02:34
us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	53	$6.9K	5,864	1,289	+4,575	open	—	02-21 03:25
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	38	$6.8K	3,492	3,340	+152	open	—	05-22 23:58
new stranger things episode released by wednesday	47	$6.2K	5,960	283	+5,677	open	—	01-08 03:08
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	57	$5.9K	5,117	926	+4,191	open	—	04-01 14:02
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	68	$5.8K	2,986	3,008	-22	open	—	03-01 01:30
us strikes iran by february 26 2026 368	33	$5.7K	5,785	0	+5,785	open	—	02-27 01:04
us strikes iran by february 9 2026 113 751	42	$5.7K	5,832	0	+5,832	open	—	02-09 21:43
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	63	$5.6K	4,199	2,859	+1,340	open	—	05-26 02:35
will melania opening weekend box office be less than 3m	36	$5.5K	3,305	2,250	+1,055	open	—	02-01 04:45
us strikes iran by february 4 2026	31	$5.4K	5,457	0	+5,457	open	—	02-04 17:30
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	29	$5.4K	5,512	270	+5,242	open	—	04-03 05:11
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?	153	$5.4K	2,728	2,797	-70	open	—	05-25 15:56
us strikes iran by january 23 2026 494 711 798 734 155	44	$5.4K	2,925	2,527	+398	open	—	01-24 04:50
us x venezuela military engagement by january 15 2026 392	30	$5.2K	5,319	530	+4,789	open	—	01-03 07:44
us strikes iran by february 18 2026	31	$5.2K	3,261	1,950	+1,311	open	—	02-18 23:01
us x venezuela military engagement by december 31 391 819 722 945 174 285 817 971 353 859 836 598 255 382 192 983	23	$5.1K	3,664	1,418	+2,246	open	—	01-05 00:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-07 08:54:43	Will AI be charged with a crime before 2027?	No	SELL	100	94¢	$94	0x7c2e14…
08-03 21:32:51	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	SELL	142	95¢	$135	0xa4e958…
07-30 20:58:57	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	510	76¢	$388	0x2db2c1…
07-30 18:18:00	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	2	75¢	$1	0x958b8c…
07-17 17:03:52	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	SELL	142	94¢	$133	0xb12cfd…
07-08 05:43:20	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	141	95¢	$134	0xfbbc0a…
07-08 05:42:55	Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?	No	SELL	413	95¢	$392	0x54520b…
07-05 16:03:01	Will AI be charged with a crime before 2027?	No	SELL	13	94¢	$12	0x0ccb2e…
07-05 15:59:17	Will AI be charged with a crime before 2027?	No	SELL	9	94¢	$8	0xf2c80f…
06-17 14:58:22	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	SELL	49	97¢	$48	0xecbf0b…
06-15 10:57:48	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x4f9ab5…
06-14 15:39:22	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	SELL	6	95¢	$5	0x190190…
06-14 09:17:12	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xd7462c…
06-14 08:49:18	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x289302…
06-14 07:17:52	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	SELL	2	94¢	$2	0xab8768…
06-14 07:12:54	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	SELL	2	94¢	$2	0xb6fecf…
06-14 06:57:31	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	SELL	0	94¢	$0	0x9e2b2d…
06-14 06:44:10	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xab7f74…
06-14 06:20:37	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	SELL	3	94¢	$3	0xf7d747…
06-14 05:59:48	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	SELL	2	94¢	$2	0x228189…
06-14 05:47:57	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x52f085…
06-14 04:55:04	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	SELL	2	94¢	$2	0x641393…
06-14 04:23:07	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	SELL	2	94¢	$2	0x006725…
06-14 04:10:27	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	SELL	2	94¢	$2	0xb8533c…
06-14 02:02:22	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xeade1a…
06-14 00:06:43	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	SELL	2	94¢	$2	0x2d7b15…
06-13 23:57:49	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x8c4dae…
06-13 23:29:16	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	SELL	2	94¢	$2	0x314ccf…
06-13 23:08:25	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	SELL	3	94¢	$3	0x4a9e20…
06-13 23:07:52	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	SELL	2	94¢	$2	0xcca172…
06-13 22:34:04	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$0	0x664601…
06-13 22:19:21	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	SELL	3	94¢	$2	0xe09950…
06-13 22:06:42	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x356c8d…
06-12 07:24:06	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$4	0x208093…
06-12 06:13:10	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	SELL	0	95¢	$0	0x6236d6…
06-12 06:12:48	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	SELL	3	95¢	$3	0xec260e…
06-06 08:56:42	Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?	No	SELL	57	94¢	$53	0x2e6c17…
06-06 08:55:07	Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?	No	SELL	57	94¢	$53	0x7f891d…
06-02 02:00:55	Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting?	No	SELL	16	97¢	$16	0xc7e012…
06-02 02:00:41	Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?	No	SELL	713	95¢	$677	0x8008ed…
06-02 01:59:10	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	2,531	94¢	$2,392	0x0dc31f…
06-02 01:58:16	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	389	98¢	$381	0x645820…
06-02 01:57:57	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	SELL	1,734	98¢	$1,703	0x3e34c6…
05-31 19:14:53	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	128	94¢	$121	0xbedf2a…
05-29 01:11:53	Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting?	No	SELL	20	98¢	$19	0xadbf45…
05-29 01:11:36	Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting?	No	SELL	29	99¢	$29	0xce6939…
05-29 01:07:13	Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting?	No	SELL	11	98¢	$10	0x96451d…
05-28 23:31:52	Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting?	No	SELL	91	98¢	$89	0xde686d…
05-28 12:53:09	Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting?	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0xbbf430…
05-28 12:53:02	Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting?	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x7517d4…
05-28 12:52:39	Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting?	No	SELL	91	98¢	$89	0xe118a0…
05-28 12:49:22	Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting?	No	SELL	45	98¢	$44	0x0dac76…
05-27 23:14:28	Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting?	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x834d99…
05-27 23:01:14	Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting?	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x64851d…
05-27 20:49:29	Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting?	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x867cbd…
05-27 20:49:19	Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting?	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x4cf479…
05-26 03:06:02	Will Nate Jacobs die in Euphoria: Season 3?	Yes	SELL	129	99¢	$128	0x52af49…
05-26 03:00:58	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	No	SELL	184	100¢	$183	0x88c9ac…
05-26 02:36:33	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	140	98¢	$137	0x7f3d75…
05-26 02:35:37	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	SELL	732	99¢	$727	0x1f6cbd…
05-26 02:34:48	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	SELL	932	98¢	$916	0x40b91d…
05-26 02:30:27	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	SELL	4,571	99¢	$4,516	0x3e006d…
05-26 01:35:13	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	No	SELL	184	100¢	$183	0xee30f2…
05-25 23:51:07	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	No	BUY	134	98¢	$131	0xb5eadd…
05-25 23:46:43	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	No	BUY	234	98¢	$230	0xd7e269…
05-25 23:16:40	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?	Yes	SELL	8	2¢	$0	0x625039…
05-25 23:16:18	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?	Yes	SELL	13	2¢	$0	0xc37314…
05-25 23:11:45	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	Yes	SELL	108	2¢	$2	0xc40658…
05-25 23:10:36	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	Yes	SELL	7	2¢	$0	0xb51ff4…
05-25 23:10:29	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	Yes	SELL	1,241	2¢	$21	0xb273cc…
05-25 23:10:21	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?	Yes	SELL	3	1¢	$0	0x557729…
05-25 23:10:14	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?	Yes	SELL	2	1¢	$0	0xe45a95…
05-25 23:09:23	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	Yes	SELL	25	2¢	$0	0x4d1b44…
05-25 20:27:06	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	Yes	BUY	49	98¢	$48	0x68afd5…
05-25 20:26:52	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	Yes	BUY	191	98¢	$188	0x572fbf…
05-25 20:20:53	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	Yes	BUY	242	99¢	$240	0x9e682c…
05-25 19:45:27	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?	Yes	BUY	104	97¢	$101	0xef8c11…
05-25 19:20:10	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?	Yes	BUY	259	97¢	$251	0x341673…
05-25 16:03:28	Will Nate Jacobs die in Euphoria: Season 3?	Yes	BUY	129	99¢	$128	0x70b21f…
05-25 15:56:00	Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?	No	SELL	99	100¢	$98	0xfe4ce1…
05-25 14:08:24	Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x53af95…
05-25 14:07:30	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	SELL	342	100¢	$342	0x760d0c…
05-25 13:59:53	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	BUY	253	99¢	$250	0x63477e…
05-25 13:58:50	Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?	No	SELL	418	99¢	$416	0xb98a1b…
05-25 12:52:43	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	Yes	BUY	125	99¢	$124	0xd880a4…
05-25 12:52:37	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	Yes	BUY	109	99¢	$108	0xb5de87…
05-25 12:52:32	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	Yes	BUY	153	99¢	$152	0xc2e0d4…
05-25 12:50:28	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?	Yes	BUY	261	98¢	$256	0x1e86ee…
05-25 12:10:15	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?	Yes	BUY	132	97¢	$128	0x086d97…
05-25 12:00:58	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	SELL	349	99¢	$346	0x838784…
05-25 09:59:03	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	SELL	2,431	100¢	$2,427	0x3339c5…
05-25 08:31:49	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	43	98¢	$42	0x8cd524…
05-25 08:00:01	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0xb2ab54…
05-25 07:56:14	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	19	98¢	$18	0x0295a4…
05-25 07:55:27	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0xdd68be…
05-25 07:55:13	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0xa54194…
05-25 07:54:39	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x6ccb59…
05-25 06:53:09	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	208	98¢	$205	0xa28e41…
05-25 06:53:02	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0x1ba066…
05-25 06:51:06	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	22	98¢	$22	0xf38967…