Will BNP Paribas fail by June 30, 2026?
open
Total volume
$1,633
Trades
34
Unique wallets
16
Liquidity
$1,494
Latest YES mid
1¢
Latest NO mid
99¢
End date
2026-06-30
First seen
2026-05-28
last 06-18 01:24
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 4 | $0 | $113 | $113 |
| 🐟 Fish | 4 | — | $443 | $443 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 8 | $0 | $57 | $57 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | — | $103 | $103 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | — | $10 | $10 |
| Median | 4 | — | $453 | $453 |
| Below median | 2 | — | — | +— |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | $0 | — | +$0 |
| unranked | 6 | $0 | $47 | $47 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Velvety-Outlaw 0x1ee7…4ea8 | No | +165 | $164 | $164 | 3 | 06-16 15:07 |
| Vital-Browser 0xe749…f771 | No | +103 | $103 | $103 | 1 | 06-18 01:24 |
| (anonymous) 0xc834…ba61 | No | +47 | $46 | $46 | 1 | 06-01 07:29 |
| (anonymous) 0xfd74…47c5 | Yes | +13 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-18 01:24 |
| Purple-Warlock 0xd064…c4d1 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-15 12:36 |
| Inexperienced-Combat 0x0981…5b7f | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-17 12:46 |
| Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345 | Yes | +1 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-08 08:35 |
| Distinct-Clan 0xe4be…ae9b | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-08 08:35 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-18 01:24:41 | (anonymous) 0xfd74…47c5 | Yes | BUY | 13 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x63e836… |
| 06-18 01:24:41 | Whimsical-Cope 0x7e06…18bc | No | SELL | 90 | 99¢ | $89 | 0x63e836… |
| 06-18 01:24:41 | Vital-Browser 0xe749…f771 | No | BUY | 103 | 99¢ | $103 | 0x63e836… |
| 06-17 12:46:17 | Whimsical-Cope 0x7e06…18bc | No | SELL | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x253a1d… |
| 06-17 12:46:17 | Inexperienced-Combat 0x0981…5b7f | No | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x253a1d… |
| 06-16 15:07:40 | Velvety-Outlaw 0x1ee7…4ea8 | No | BUY | 150 | 99¢ | $149 | 0xb9d9ca… |
| 06-16 15:07:40 | Whimsical-Cope 0x7e06…18bc | No | SELL | 150 | 99¢ | $149 | 0xb9d9ca… |
| 06-15 12:36:31 | Purple-Warlock 0xd064…c4d1 | No | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x20692e… |
| 06-15 12:36:31 | Whimsical-Cope 0x7e06…18bc | No | SELL | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x20692e… |
| 06-14 18:40:54 | Velvety-Outlaw 0x1ee7…4ea8 | No | BUY | 7 | 99¢ | $7 | 0x59671d… |
| 06-14 18:40:54 | Steep-Neighbour 0xad00…83ba | No | SELL | 7 | 99¢ | $7 | 0x59671d… |
| 06-12 17:26:12 | Velvety-Outlaw 0x1ee7…4ea8 | No | BUY | 8 | 99¢ | $8 | 0x7289bd… |
| 06-12 17:26:12 | Closed-Rating 0x505e…affc | No | SELL | 8 | 99¢ | $8 | 0x7289bd… |
| 06-08 08:35:52 | Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x16d2dc… |
| 06-08 08:35:52 | Distinct-Clan 0xe4be…ae9b | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x16d2dc… |
| 06-04 21:49:34 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | No | SELL | 30 | 99¢ | $30 | 0x54bbd8… |
| 06-04 21:49:34 | Whimsical-Cope 0x7e06…18bc | No | BUY | 30 | 99¢ | $30 | 0x54bbd8… |
| 06-03 18:44:40 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | No | SELL | 50 | 99¢ | $50 | 0x44d8f4… |
| 06-03 18:44:40 | Whimsical-Cope 0x7e06…18bc | No | BUY | 50 | 99¢ | $50 | 0x44d8f4… |
| 06-03 10:32:35 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | No | SELL | 50 | 99¢ | $50 | 0xddc728… |
| 06-03 10:32:35 | Whimsical-Cope 0x7e06…18bc | No | BUY | 50 | 99¢ | $50 | 0xddc728… |
| 06-03 01:32:23 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | No | SELL | 50 | 99¢ | $50 | 0x8805b7… |
| 06-03 01:32:23 | Whimsical-Cope 0x7e06…18bc | No | BUY | 50 | 99¢ | $50 | 0x8805b7… |
| 06-02 15:36:32 | (anonymous) 0xfc45…df84 | No | SELL | 50 | 99¢ | $50 | 0x6c8a74… |
| 06-02 15:36:32 | Whimsical-Cope 0x7e06…18bc | No | BUY | 50 | 99¢ | $50 | 0x6c8a74… |
| 06-01 07:29:39 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | No | SELL | 50 | 99¢ | $50 | 0xd6a7b0… |
| 06-01 07:29:39 | Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xd6a7b0… |
| 06-01 07:29:11 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | No | SELL | 51 | 99¢ | $50 | 0x030c55… |
| 06-01 07:29:11 | (anonymous) 0xc834…ba61 | No | BUY | 47 | 99¢ | $46 | 0x030c55… |
| 06-01 07:29:11 | Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x030c55… |
| 05-30 14:10:29 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | No | SELL | 368 | 99¢ | $365 | 0xdeb317… |
| 05-30 14:10:29 | Authentic-Flexibility 0xd222…fdb5 | Yes | SELL | 368 | 1¢ | $3 | 0xdeb317… |
| 05-28 23:33:01 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | No | BUY | 51 | 99¢ | $51 | 0xca0ca4… |
| 05-28 23:33:01 | (anonymous) 0x8b64…7ffd | No | SELL | 51 | 99¢ | $51 | 0xca0ca4… |