Will BNP Paribas fail by June 30, 2026?
open
Total volume
$2,221
Trades
60
Unique wallets
27
Liquidity
$1,494
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-06-30
First seen
2026-05-28
last 06-28 20:07
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 2 | — | $104 | $104 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 8 | $1 | $60 | $60 |
| 🐟 Fish | 5 | — | $788 | $788 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 12 | $1 | $182 | $181 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 4 | $0 | $103 | $102 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | — | $10 | $10 |
| Median | 7 | — | $866 | $866 |
| Below median | 2 | — | — | +— |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | — | $1 | $1 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| unranked | 9 | $1 | $155 | $154 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scrawny-Venture 0x5fa4…cd4e | No | +397 | $396 | $396 | 2 | 06-26 17:24 |
| (anonymous) 0xfd74…47c5 | Yes | +167 | $1 | $1 | 7 | 06-28 20:07 |
| Velvety-Outlaw 0x1ee7…4ea8 | No | +165 | $164 | $164 | 3 | 06-16 15:07 |
| Vital-Browser 0xe749…f771 | No | +103 | $103 | $103 | 1 | 06-18 01:24 |
| Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345 | Yes | +101 | $0 | $0 | 5 | 06-26 14:40 |
| Everlasting-Emerald 0x84d2…98c0 | No | +100 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 06-19 15:07 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +100 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-26 17:24 |
| Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | Yes | +100 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-26 17:24 |
| Purple-Warlock 0xd064…c4d1 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-15 12:36 |
| Inexperienced-Combat 0x0981…5b7f | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-17 12:46 |
| Babyish-Starboard 0xaaf7…2e27 | Yes | +10 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-28 15:50 |
| Wordy-Polarization 0xf1f6…297f | No | +7 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 06-26 09:34 |
| (anonymous) 0xfccc…6479 | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 06-23 09:16 |
| Distinct-Clan 0xe4be…ae9b | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-08 08:35 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-28 20:07:40 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xbd8478… |
| 06-28 20:07:40 | Frugal-Ferry 0x9e38…5504 | No | SELL | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0xbd8478… |
| 06-28 20:07:40 | (anonymous) 0xfd74…47c5 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xbd8478… |
| 06-28 15:50:10 | Frugal-Ferry 0x9e38…5504 | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x41fe0f… |
| 06-28 15:50:10 | Babyish-Starboard 0xaaf7…2e27 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x41fe0f… |
| 06-26 17:24:29 | Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | Yes | BUY | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xe12b5e… |
| 06-26 17:24:29 | Scrawny-Venture 0x5fa4…cd4e | No | BUY | 200 | 100¢ | $200 | 0xe12b5e… |
| 06-26 17:24:29 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xe12b5e… |
| 06-26 14:40:08 | Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345 | Yes | BUY | 85 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x4ce4de… |
| 06-26 14:40:08 | (anonymous) 0xfd74…47c5 | Yes | BUY | 112 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x4ce4de… |
| 06-26 14:40:08 | Scrawny-Venture 0x5fa4…cd4e | No | BUY | 197 | 100¢ | $197 | 0x4ce4de… |
| 06-26 09:34:16 | Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xadd6e4… |
| 06-26 09:34:16 | Wordy-Polarization 0xf1f6…297f | No | BUY | 7 | 100¢ | $7 | 0xadd6e4… |
| 06-23 18:29:25 | (anonymous) 0xfd74…47c5 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x0b96a0… |
| 06-23 18:29:25 | Blond-Discovery 0xa3af…5471 | No | SELL | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x0b96a0… |
| 06-23 09:16:25 | Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x6bdbd2… |
| 06-23 09:16:25 | (anonymous) 0xfccc…6479 | No | BUY | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0x6bdbd2… |
| 06-22 19:04:16 | Blond-Discovery 0xa3af…5471 | No | BUY | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0xa9f7db… |
| 06-22 19:04:16 | Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa9f7db… |
| 06-21 04:13:13 | Wilted-Employ 0x1a96…9797 | No | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xb5bce2… |
| 06-21 04:13:13 | (anonymous) 0xfd74…47c5 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xb5bce2… |
| 06-19 15:07:16 | (anonymous) 0xfd74…47c5 | Yes | BUY | 21 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x4e00c5… |
| 06-19 15:07:16 | (anonymous) 0xc834…ba61 | No | SELL | 51 | 100¢ | $51 | 0x4e00c5… |
| 06-19 15:07:16 | Everlasting-Emerald 0x84d2…98c0 | No | BUY | 100 | 100¢ | $100 | 0x4e00c5… |
| 06-19 03:08:31 | Wilted-Employ 0x1a96…9797 | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x27660c… |
| 06-19 03:08:31 | (anonymous) 0xc834…ba61 | No | SELL | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x27660c… |
| 06-18 01:24:41 | (anonymous) 0xfd74…47c5 | Yes | BUY | 13 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x63e836… |
| 06-18 01:24:41 | Whimsical-Cope 0x7e06…18bc | No | SELL | 90 | 99¢ | $89 | 0x63e836… |
| 06-18 01:24:41 | Vital-Browser 0xe749…f771 | No | BUY | 103 | 99¢ | $103 | 0x63e836… |
| 06-17 12:46:17 | Whimsical-Cope 0x7e06…18bc | No | SELL | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x253a1d… |
| 06-17 12:46:17 | Inexperienced-Combat 0x0981…5b7f | No | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x253a1d… |
| 06-16 15:07:40 | Velvety-Outlaw 0x1ee7…4ea8 | No | BUY | 150 | 99¢ | $149 | 0xb9d9ca… |
| 06-16 15:07:40 | Whimsical-Cope 0x7e06…18bc | No | SELL | 150 | 99¢ | $149 | 0xb9d9ca… |
| 06-15 12:36:31 | Purple-Warlock 0xd064…c4d1 | No | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x20692e… |
| 06-15 12:36:31 | Whimsical-Cope 0x7e06…18bc | No | SELL | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x20692e… |
| 06-14 18:40:54 | Steep-Neighbour 0xad00…83ba | No | SELL | 7 | 99¢ | $7 | 0x59671d… |
| 06-14 18:40:54 | Velvety-Outlaw 0x1ee7…4ea8 | No | BUY | 7 | 99¢ | $7 | 0x59671d… |
| 06-12 17:26:12 | Closed-Rating 0x505e…affc | No | SELL | 8 | 99¢ | $8 | 0x7289bd… |
| 06-12 17:26:12 | Velvety-Outlaw 0x1ee7…4ea8 | No | BUY | 8 | 99¢ | $8 | 0x7289bd… |
| 06-08 08:35:52 | Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x16d2dc… |
| 06-08 08:35:52 | Distinct-Clan 0xe4be…ae9b | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x16d2dc… |
| 06-04 21:49:34 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | No | SELL | 30 | 99¢ | $30 | 0x54bbd8… |
| 06-04 21:49:34 | Whimsical-Cope 0x7e06…18bc | No | BUY | 30 | 99¢ | $30 | 0x54bbd8… |
| 06-03 18:44:40 | Whimsical-Cope 0x7e06…18bc | No | BUY | 50 | 99¢ | $50 | 0x44d8f4… |
| 06-03 18:44:40 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | No | SELL | 50 | 99¢ | $50 | 0x44d8f4… |
| 06-03 10:32:35 | Whimsical-Cope 0x7e06…18bc | No | BUY | 50 | 99¢ | $50 | 0xddc728… |
| 06-03 10:32:35 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | No | SELL | 50 | 99¢ | $50 | 0xddc728… |
| 06-03 01:32:23 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | No | SELL | 50 | 99¢ | $50 | 0x8805b7… |
| 06-03 01:32:23 | Whimsical-Cope 0x7e06…18bc | No | BUY | 50 | 99¢ | $50 | 0x8805b7… |
| 06-02 15:36:32 | Whimsical-Cope 0x7e06…18bc | No | BUY | 50 | 99¢ | $50 | 0x6c8a74… |
| 06-02 15:36:32 | (anonymous) 0xfc45…df84 | No | SELL | 50 | 99¢ | $50 | 0x6c8a74… |
| 06-01 07:29:39 | Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xd6a7b0… |
| 06-01 07:29:39 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | No | SELL | 50 | 99¢ | $50 | 0xd6a7b0… |
| 06-01 07:29:11 | (anonymous) 0xc834…ba61 | No | BUY | 47 | 99¢ | $46 | 0x030c55… |
| 06-01 07:29:11 | Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x030c55… |
| 06-01 07:29:11 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | No | SELL | 51 | 99¢ | $50 | 0x030c55… |
| 05-30 14:10:29 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | No | SELL | 368 | 99¢ | $365 | 0xdeb317… |
| 05-30 14:10:29 | Authentic-Flexibility 0xd222…fdb5 | Yes | SELL | 368 | 1¢ | $3 | 0xdeb317… |
| 05-28 23:33:01 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | No | BUY | 51 | 99¢ | $51 | 0xca0ca4… |
| 05-28 23:33:01 | (anonymous) 0x8b64…7ffd | No | SELL | 51 | 99¢ | $51 | 0xca0ca4… |