Yellowish-Labourer — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$6.73K

Unrealized P&L

-$23

Hit rate

26.4%

Resolved

317

Trades

2,421

lifetime

Volume

$69.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$29

Open exposure

$22

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-24

last 10-25 01:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 120 days

Categories

Politics

61% 18% +$481

Other

36% 13% -$7,292

Crypto

2% 31% +$129

Sports

1% 67% +$98

Tech

0% 0% -$184

Pop-Culture

0% 50% +$35

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

27 active days in 12wk • peak 26 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026?	Yes	+601	$41	3¢	$18	-$23	10-25 01:25
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	-100	-$2	2¢	$-2	$0	06-20 18:21
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	-100	-$2	2¢	$-2	$0	06-20 18:22

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will hoppers opening weekend box office be between 46m and 50m	39	$3.5K	46,313	3,552	+42,761	No	-$3,347	03-11 15:08
us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	57	$3.4K	4,946	4,946	+0	No	-$13	03-16 19:57
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?	23	$2.5K	4,440	4,440	+0	No	-$74	06-11 02:52
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?	29	$2.1K	3,695	3,695	+0	No	-$35	04-25 07:15
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	49	$2.0K	36,687	19,067	+17,620	Yes	-$62	03-11 23:05
kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	80	$1.9K	9,253	9,429	-177	No	-$174	03-28 04:29
Israel closes its airspace by September 30?	33	$1.7K	2,710	2,710	+0	Yes	+$116	09-06 16:45
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	47	$1.7K	2,562	2,562	+0	Yes	+$14	03-18 22:50
us forces enter iran by march 14 337	33	$1.3K	15,598	15,598	+0	No	-$232	03-14 23:02
iran leadership change by march 31	47	$1.3K	3,920	3,920	+0	No	-$58	03-22 23:06
us x iran ceasefire by march 15	3	$1.2K	4,008	4,008	+0	No	+$80	03-09 21:07
netanyahu out by march 31 854	50	$1.1K	14,811	14,811	+0	No	-$87	03-19 16:47
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	6	$1.1K	1,668	1,668	+0	No	-$76	05-30 11:34
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	11	$1.1K	22,953	19,703	+3,250	Yes	-$598	03-03 01:10
us x iran meeting by march 31 2026 363	9	$1.0K	1,629	1,629	+0	No	-$107	03-26 05:45
will israel strike gaza on february 10 2026	19	$1.0K	14,361	1,044	+13,317	Yes	+$617	02-15 22:54
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	5	$1.0K	1,520	1,520	+0	Yes	-$39	06-14 23:29
iran closes its airspace by june 15	7	$934	3,178	3,178	+0	Yes	-$4	06-03 21:37
will hoppers opening weekend box office be between 42m and 46m	58	$919	75,959	49,100	+26,859	Yes	-$628	03-11 15:09
kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	14	$897	10,965	10,965	+0	No	-$22	04-13 03:45
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	19	$842	2,338	2,100	+238	No	-$69	03-29 19:58
US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?	9	$798	1,607	907	+700	Yes	+$483	02-28 00:21
will crude oil cl hit high 130 by end of march 366 294	5	$746	1,544	1,544	+0	No	+$7	03-12 16:00
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	12	$694	11,850	11,850	+0	No	-$36	05-02 01:04
iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by march 31	6	$679	2,792	2,792	+0	No	-$39	02-27 23:31
will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	6	$651	956	956	+0	No	+$154	04-21 22:15
will crude oil cl hit low 85 by end of march 728 921 637 263	37	$602	231,258	119,662	+111,596	Yes	-$363	03-10 22:38
will solv energy incs market cap be greater than 5pt4b at market close on ipo day	13	$590	590,272	0	+590,272	Yes	-$590	02-15 16:34
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	2	$581	650	650	+0	No	+$485	05-25 22:59
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	5	$545	376	376	-0	No	+$205	06-01 17:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-25 01:25:26	Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	6¢	$6	0x69244e…
10-25 01:18:15	Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	6¢	$6	0x1b54fc…
10-25 00:30:26	Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	6¢	$6	0x60a35f…
10-24 00:43:39	Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	9¢	$9	0x1d223d…
10-24 00:09:23	Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	9¢	$9	0x267fd0…
10-23 23:54:23	Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	90	9¢	$8	0xfaba1a…
10-18 07:55:09	Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	365	6¢	$22	0x1cb05e…
10-17 16:52:42	Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	35	9¢	$3	0x413fea…
10-17 16:21:15	Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	211	9¢	$19	0x5f0d87…
10-12 20:45:41	Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	7¢	$1	0xa8795f…
10-12 20:45:39	Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	7¢	$0	0xb329b7…
10-12 20:45:39	Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	7¢	$2	0x490501…
10-12 20:44:29	Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	7¢	$0	0xb27805…
10-12 20:44:29	Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	7¢	$0	0xa84c0b…
10-12 20:44:29	Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	7¢	$0	0x6887d5…
10-12 20:43:42	Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	7¢	$0	0xafd10a…
10-12 20:43:42	Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	7¢	$0	0x746a00…
10-12 20:43:41	Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	7¢	$0	0xc34c82…
10-12 20:41:36	Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	7¢	$0	0x81bc6c…
10-12 20:41:35	Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	7¢	$0	0xfcfeab…
10-12 20:41:35	Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	7¢	$0	0x59c1aa…
10-12 18:52:39	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?	No	SELL	91	4¢	$4	0xfbbfeb…
10-10 23:53:13	Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,010	8¢	$81	0xd92972…
10-08 00:40:22	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?	No	BUY	91	10¢	$9	0x1d68ef…
09-10 14:01:10	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	No	BUY	60	15¢	$9	0xbf7322…
09-09 18:16:25	Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 30?	Yes	SELL	200	2¢	$4	0x7c72b7…
09-09 18:16:06	Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 15?	Yes	SELL	400	1¢	$4	0x6e997f…
09-09 17:34:22	Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?	No	SELL	1,229	0¢	$1	0x9f2136…
09-09 15:23:54	Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 30?	Yes	BUY	39	18¢	$7	0x5869f2…
09-09 15:19:00	Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 30?	Yes	BUY	21	18¢	$4	0x763380…
09-09 15:18:39	Will OpenAI's Astra model debut as #1? (Text Arena)	Yes	SELL	77	15¢	$11	0xd5ff68…
09-09 13:16:58	Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 30?	Yes	BUY	50	35¢	$18	0x050b39…
09-09 13:16:16	Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by September 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	8¢	$17	0xd5b48f…
09-09 13:00:52	Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 30?	Yes	BUY	84	35¢	$29	0xf2e42a…
09-09 12:44:49	Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 30?	Yes	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x50212d…
09-09 06:07:51	Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$3	0x3025da…
09-09 05:46:07	Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,300?	Yes	BUY	600	4¢	$22	0xfa1724…
09-09 05:42:40	Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 15?	Yes	BUY	268	9¢	$24	0x5c3a75…
09-09 05:26:57	Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,300?	Yes	BUY	66	4¢	$2	0xfbbbee…
09-09 05:26:57	Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,300?	Yes	BUY	15	4¢	$1	0xdd4587…
09-09 05:26:57	Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,300?	Yes	BUY	102	4¢	$4	0xd61831…
09-09 05:26:57	Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,300?	Yes	BUY	9	4¢	$0	0xc65ca8…
09-09 05:26:57	Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,300?	Yes	BUY	60	4¢	$2	0xb9742b…
09-09 05:26:57	Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,300?	Yes	BUY	6	4¢	$0	0x991aa3…
09-09 05:26:57	Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,300?	Yes	BUY	48	4¢	$2	0x698c3d…
09-09 05:26:55	Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,300?	Yes	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xedd3cc…
09-09 05:26:55	Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,300?	Yes	BUY	69	4¢	$3	0x9e0db5…
09-09 05:20:55	Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 15?	Yes	BUY	82	9¢	$7	0xedb4aa…
09-09 05:20:54	Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 15?	Yes	BUY	50	9¢	$4	0x56c14a…
09-09 00:38:48	Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?	No	BUY	229	0¢	$1	0x74b13f…
09-09 00:32:12	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	No	SELL	730	14¢	$102	0x384180…
09-08 23:07:07	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	No	BUY	730	15¢	$110	0x0e475a…
09-08 18:45:30	Will OpenAI's Astra model debut as #1? (Text Arena)	Yes	BUY	6	15¢	$1	0x877460…
09-08 12:38:49	Will OpenAI's Astra model debut as #1? (Text Arena)	Yes	BUY	338	15¢	$51	0x9c2107…
09-06 16:45:30	Israel closes its airspace by September 30?	No	SELL	234	28¢	$66	0xd3b3ae…
09-06 16:43:33	Israel closes its airspace by September 30?	No	SELL	410	28¢	$115	0xb2293f…
09-05 21:56:24	Israel closes its airspace by September 30?	No	BUY	644	28¢	$180	0x753d37…
09-05 19:29:07	Israel closes its airspace by September 30?	No	SELL	546	33¢	$180	0xa95422…
09-05 04:32:31	Israel closes its airspace by September 30?	No	BUY	59	24¢	$14	0x8f9bf0…
09-05 02:22:39	Israel closes its airspace by September 30?	No	SELL	22	32¢	$7	0x51a938…
09-05 02:22:03	Israel closes its airspace by September 30?	No	SELL	20	32¢	$6	0x229fd4…
09-05 02:05:28	Israel closes its airspace by September 30?	No	BUY	485	27¢	$131	0x3b592b…
09-05 02:04:27	Israel closes its airspace by September 30?	No	BUY	13	25¢	$3	0x6da0a6…
09-05 02:04:25	Israel closes its airspace by September 30?	No	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0xd30bdd…
09-05 02:04:21	Israel closes its airspace by September 30?	No	BUY	22	25¢	$6	0xfc6a20…
09-05 02:02:57	Israel closes its airspace by September 30?	Yes	SELL	179	79¢	$141	0xc7bd65…
09-05 01:56:54	Israel closes its airspace by September 30?	Yes	BUY	11	80¢	$9	0x6f457b…
09-05 01:56:51	Israel closes its airspace by September 30?	Yes	BUY	168	80¢	$135	0xfb629b…
09-05 01:52:00	Israel closes its airspace by September 30?	No	SELL	590	24¢	$142	0xdf314c…
09-05 00:52:36	Israel closes its airspace by September 30?	No	BUY	590	43¢	$254	0xd2ae56…
09-04 23:04:18	Israel closes its airspace by September 30?	Yes	SELL	709	36¢	$255	0xaf3cf8…
09-03 20:41:03	Will OpenAI's Astra model debut as #1? (Text Arena)	Yes	BUY	76	34¢	$26	0x2ebdf9…
09-03 08:49:30	Will Iran target Iraq by September 15, 2026?	No	BUY	2,133	0¢	$9	0x18c7c4…
09-03 08:33:07	Will Iran target Iraq by September 15, 2026?	No	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x974fb9…
09-03 08:28:25	Will Iran target Iraq by September 15, 2026?	No	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x200000…
09-03 08:25:55	Will Iran target Iraq by September 15, 2026?	No	BUY	166	0¢	$1	0x537285…
09-03 00:17:52	Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by September 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	16¢	$32	0xcd0760…
09-03 00:07:00	Will Iran target Iraq by September 15, 2026?	No	BUY	731	3¢	$22	0xcc8b4d…
09-02 23:13:34	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	No	SELL	488	15¢	$73	0x5ce618…
09-02 22:30:34	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	No	SELL	33	15¢	$5	0x7353bb…
09-02 22:25:39	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	No	SELL	6	15¢	$1	0x568252…
09-02 22:25:34	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	No	SELL	6	15¢	$1	0x847b0d…
09-02 21:45:31	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	No	SELL	66	15¢	$10	0xc358c1…
09-01 21:05:24	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	No	BUY	280	16¢	$45	0x4f3b5f…
09-01 20:52:16	Israel closes its airspace by September 30?	Yes	BUY	549	9¢	$49	0x699ffa…
09-01 20:38:13	Israel closes its airspace by September 30?	Yes	BUY	66	9¢	$6	0xc911e2…
09-01 20:28:58	Israel closes its airspace by September 30?	Yes	BUY	3	9¢	$0	0x806fee…
09-01 20:27:54	Israel closes its airspace by September 30?	Yes	BUY	8	9¢	$1	0x7b0632…
09-01 20:27:43	Israel closes its airspace by September 30?	Yes	BUY	8	9¢	$1	0x5cec07…
09-01 20:27:42	Israel closes its airspace by September 30?	Yes	BUY	8	9¢	$1	0xd7c8b5…
09-01 20:27:34	Israel closes its airspace by September 30?	Yes	BUY	8	9¢	$1	0xb8c059…
09-01 20:27:33	Israel closes its airspace by September 30?	Yes	BUY	8	9¢	$1	0xe41514…
09-01 20:27:31	Israel closes its airspace by September 30?	Yes	BUY	2	9¢	$0	0x81b866…
09-01 20:27:27	Israel closes its airspace by September 30?	Yes	BUY	8	9¢	$1	0x818cfc…
09-01 20:27:27	Israel closes its airspace by September 30?	Yes	BUY	8	9¢	$1	0x723707…
09-01 20:24:24	Israel closes its airspace by September 30?	Yes	BUY	1	9¢	$0	0xab4ce4…
09-01 19:53:30	Israel closes its airspace by September 30?	Yes	BUY	8	9¢	$1	0xf50e3f…
09-01 19:53:30	Israel closes its airspace by September 30?	Yes	BUY	8	9¢	$1	0x736f87…
09-01 19:53:24	Israel closes its airspace by September 30?	Yes	BUY	8	9¢	$1	0x84980c…
09-01 19:53:24	Israel closes its airspace by September 30?	Yes	BUY	8	9¢	$1	0x3b6028…