Woeful-Strap — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$759

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

74.8%

Resolved

Trades

53,316

lifetime

Volume

$753.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-26 21:23

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Politics

60% 50% +$756

Other

40% 67% +$4

Crypto

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the government shutdown last 5 days or more	613	$49.1K	58,096	50,852	+7,244	open	—	02-03 21:50
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	3,031	$47.3K	3,181,339	3,157,328	+24,011	open	—	04-09 22:55
another us government shutdown by february 14	2,000	$45.8K	168,938	164,761	+4,177	open	—	02-15 05:22
netanyahu out by march 31 854	3,567	$40.1K	2,281,260	1,592,279	+688,981	open	—	04-02 04:19
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	2,015	$29.9K	423,131	341,061	+82,069	open	—	03-31 16:45
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	2,728	$29.8K	4,913,544	1,144,441	+3,769,103	open	—	04-02 02:16
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	1,293	$22.6K	331,027	446,978	-115,951	open	—	04-23 06:03
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	3,470	$22.2K	1,019,327	1,319,373	-300,046	open	—	04-30 00:45
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	344	$20.0K	41,410	61,843	-20,433	open	—	04-15 17:11
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	1,092	$19.0K	21,435	19,999	+1,436	open	—	02-01 15:01
us x iran meeting by april 10 2026 895	684	$18.7K	87,909	79,063	+8,847	open	—	04-13 08:53
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	628	$18.5K	3,706,567	3,599,116	+107,452	open	—	04-09 00:13
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	1,946	$13.6K	684,390	614,636	+69,754	open	—	05-01 07:21
will the dhs shutdown end after march 31 2026	382	$12.1K	12,185	9,845	+2,340	open	—	03-30 22:03
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	1,799	$11.6K	3,874,782	4,688,620	-813,838	open	—	03-25 23:13
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	1,848	$11.6K	703,441	858,124	-154,683	open	—	05-02 00:00
will the dhs shutdown last 30 days or more 945 663	396	$10.7K	12,154	10,925	+1,228	open	—	03-11 08:07
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	371	$10.5K	9,890	9,527	+362	open	—	04-07 23:27
Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?	520	$10.4K	7,646	10,107	-2,461	open	—	01-16 01:58
us strikes iran by february 26 2026 368	1,033	$9.6K	521,844	433,690	+88,154	open	—	02-27 03:16
will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	327	$9.2K	12,248	14,689	-2,441	open	—	04-22 07:42
iran strike on israel by february 28	705	$9.2K	102,750	108,939	-6,189	open	—	02-28 23:13
will the government shutdown last 4 days or more 831	674	$8.9K	121,350	105,189	+16,161	open	—	02-03 05:42
us x iran meeting by march 31 2026 363	172	$8.1K	5,666	3,704	+1,962	open	—	04-01 07:23
us forces enter iran by march 14 337	1,015	$7.7K	127,805	118,239	+9,566	open	—	03-15 02:00
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	346	$7.6K	85,214	110,463	-25,249	No	+$694	05-06 02:24
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	432	$7.0K	1,376,010	1,827,676	-451,666	open	—	04-30 20:50
us x iran ceasefire by march 6	873	$6.7K	367,117	445,954	-78,837	open	—	03-06 20:19
us strikes iran by february 25 2026	784	$6.6K	279,170	298,842	-19,672	open	—	02-26 05:34
us strikes iran by february 27 2026	794	$6.2K	145,863	106,415	+39,449	open	—	02-28 06:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-26 21:23:40	will wti reach 105 in july 2026	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xcffcd2…
07-21 15:18:06	Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?	Yes	SELL	7	87¢	$6	0x817128…
07-21 15:17:52	Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x5ecb4b…
05-29 02:51:29	U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "European Union" before 2027?	Yes	SELL	25	7¢	$2	0xdb5891…
05-21 19:49:14	Nothing Ever Happens: March	Nothing	SELL	40	88¢	$35	0x7e6ba6…
05-14 00:53:59	Did a crypto hedge fund blow up?	Yes	SELL	2	54¢	$1	0xb6ff0c…
05-13 00:18:54	Nothing Ever Happens: March	Nothing	SELL	5	59¢	$3	0x84aa65…
05-12 18:43:31	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	SELL	0	2¢	$0	0x20d43a…
05-12 09:21:48	Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xa5f7ec…
05-12 09:21:41	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x2b17e2…
05-12 09:20:43	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	Yes	SELL	0	97¢	$0	0xae084b…
05-12 09:18:37	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	3	82¢	$2	0x855a5c…
05-12 09:18:25	Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by May 31?	Yes	SELL	50	2¢	$1	0x052194…
05-11 07:41:41	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	15	97¢	$15	0xbf0e99…
05-11 01:33:55	Epstein suicide note released by May 31?	Yes	SELL	125	17¢	$21	0x448f63…
05-11 00:07:42	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	35	72¢	$25	0x861c08…
05-10 22:44:59	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	15	96¢	$14	0xefb47f…
05-10 21:44:40	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0xc151be…
05-10 21:44:33	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x6f1d91…
05-10 21:42:58	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	10	94¢	$9	0xf33b14…
05-10 21:10:57	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	10	93¢	$9	0x184407…
05-10 21:05:03	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6,715	1¢	$67	0x3d1f66…
05-10 21:04:28	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	10	92¢	$9	0x98319f…
05-10 20:34:17	Epstein suicide note released by May 31?	Yes	SELL	3	21¢	$1	0x0d21ff…
05-10 20:20:00	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	10	91¢	$9	0x764e6d…
05-10 20:19:14	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	4	64¢	$3	0xa0dba3…
05-10 20:19:14	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	64¢	$3	0x6667d2…
05-10 20:18:41	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10	64¢	$6	0x26e4e4…
05-10 20:18:30	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	64¢	$0	0xe5dd47…
05-10 20:17:47	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	15	63¢	$9	0xcab9c4…
05-10 20:13:52	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	10	90¢	$9	0x8e1b9d…
05-10 20:13:45	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	250	1¢	$4	0x1b8a12…
05-10 20:13:40	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	2¢	$15	0x96ad7a…
05-10 20:13:21	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	Yes	SELL	210	3¢	$6	0x43f296…
05-10 20:13:17	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	900	2¢	$14	0x85fe03…
05-10 20:13:12	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	15	62¢	$9	0x9636f3…
05-10 20:13:07	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	300	2¢	$7	0x5935c0…
05-10 20:13:03	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	220	3¢	$6	0xf4241f…
05-10 20:13:01	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	20	62¢	$12	0xb19785…
05-10 20:12:47	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	210	3¢	$6	0xd3d40a…
05-10 19:59:00	Epstein suicide note released by May 31?	Yes	SELL	12	21¢	$2	0x5e134c…
05-10 19:54:07	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	10¢	$0	0x58c031…
05-10 19:12:27	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	15	60¢	$9	0x42a7dc…
05-10 19:02:18	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	SELL	200	8¢	$16	0x950552…
05-10 18:37:00	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	9	7¢	$1	0x3011f2…
05-10 18:36:59	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	18	7¢	$1	0x8e9be5…
05-10 18:35:26	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	173	7¢	$12	0x288041…
05-10 18:33:55	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	337	7¢	$24	0x3a6a1e…
05-10 18:33:55	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	37	7¢	$3	0x1eacd6…
05-10 18:33:53	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	21	7¢	$2	0x2e5170…
05-10 18:04:24	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	5	89¢	$5	0x3dfc65…
05-10 18:03:59	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	15	59¢	$9	0x854e2c…
05-10 17:57:50	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	5	88¢	$4	0xdb8ea8…
05-10 13:42:39	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	5	87¢	$4	0x037bc3…
05-10 13:01:56	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	60	55¢	$33	0xb204b9…
05-10 12:54:41	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	55¢	$3	0x082615…
05-10 12:43:41	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2	55¢	$1	0xeca29f…
05-10 12:40:42	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	256	55¢	$141	0xbd5485…
05-10 12:36:15	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	260	84¢	$219	0x3a95ff…
05-10 12:36:01	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	200	84¢	$169	0x5dfa86…
05-10 12:13:40	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	30	58¢	$17	0x699f70…
05-10 10:18:57	Epstein suicide note released by May 31?	Yes	SELL	15	21¢	$3	0x15cad2…
05-10 03:21:42	Epstein suicide note released by May 31?	Yes	SELL	28	22¢	$6	0x00c00e…
05-10 02:10:18	Epstein suicide note released by May 31?	Yes	SELL	80	19¢	$15	0x29bdea…
05-10 01:34:39	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	30	57¢	$17	0x104925…
05-10 01:34:36	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	25	56¢	$14	0xbecbd8…
05-10 00:37:00	Epstein suicide note released by May 31?	Yes	SELL	17	22¢	$4	0x7594aa…
05-10 00:30:47	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x8c32be…
05-09 23:39:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	SELL	61	2¢	$1	0xcac23b…
05-09 23:32:01	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	SELL	294	2¢	$6	0x561e27…
05-09 23:30:45	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	SELL	59	2¢	$1	0xe817a8…
05-09 23:11:27	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	56	52¢	$29	0xe2d5a9…
05-09 23:07:22	Epstein suicide note released by May 31?	Yes	SELL	20	22¢	$4	0xb9df42…
05-09 22:50:16	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	45	82¢	$37	0x20b7e6…
05-09 22:50:13	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x460ef1…
05-09 22:46:08	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xbfa400…
05-09 22:43:36	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	SELL	200	2¢	$4	0x54fdbc…
05-09 22:42:59	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x9e60e0…
05-09 22:42:45	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	SELL	194	2¢	$4	0x9c1595…
05-09 22:38:14	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	206	53¢	$109	0x0fdeec…
05-09 22:30:58	Epstein suicide note released by May 31?	Yes	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0xd996e4…
05-09 22:23:44	Epstein suicide note released by May 31?	Yes	SELL	25	21¢	$5	0x7e95a6…
05-09 22:20:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	SELL	319	2¢	$6	0x3a56fc…
05-09 22:17:17	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	SELL	14	2¢	$0	0x679f7e…
05-09 22:13:23	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	SELL	40	2¢	$1	0x36216a…
05-09 22:12:53	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	SELL	40	2¢	$1	0x144d3e…
05-09 22:12:39	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0xe7b869…
05-09 22:12:07	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x8b7572…
05-09 22:10:10	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	35	54¢	$19	0x9a4316…
05-09 21:26:48	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	210	96¢	$202	0x81d04e…
05-09 21:19:04	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	25	55¢	$14	0x84d2d8…
05-09 21:07:01	Epstein suicide note released by May 31?	Yes	SELL	10	20¢	$2	0xb443c7…
05-09 20:41:48	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	500	96¢	$482	0x6bdaa5…
05-09 20:35:47	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	207	97¢	$200	0x920ce3…
05-09 20:10:49	Will Trump insult MBS by May 15?	No	SELL	25	99¢	$25	0x46f3c9…
05-09 19:00:00	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	12	53¢	$6	0x6e24a4…
05-09 18:59:55	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	40	52¢	$21	0xb9e938…
05-09 17:23:24	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	41	50¢	$20	0xd99877…
05-09 17:20:10	Epstein suicide note released by May 31?	Yes	SELL	50	18¢	$9	0x41905d…
05-09 16:44:56	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	50	51¢	$26	0x45a568…