Realized P&L
-$11.2K
Unrealized P&L
+$5.04K
Hit rate
88.4%
Resolved
428
Trades
4,469
lifetime
Volume
$2.02M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$452
Open exposure
$61.0K
5 positions
First seen
2026-02-05
last 10-07 21:04
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 126 days
Categories
Politics
66% 72% -$2,789
Other
26% 65% +$9,398
Sports
3% 42% -$16,376
Tech
3% 60% +$142
Crypto
3% 43% -$1,681
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$71
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
4 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +31,113 $26,499 96¢ $29.8K +$3,323 06-08 10:24
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No +24,970 $23,030 98¢ $24.6K +$1,528 05-22 06:03
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? No -3,000 -$2,895 99¢ $-2962 -$67 05-01 15:26
New pandemic in 2026? No +2,909 $2,579 96¢ $2.8K +$228 06-16 05:37
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? No +880 $827 97¢ $854 +$27 05-06 10:32