Bare-Toothpaste — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$7.29K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

87.1%

Resolved

Trades

3,350

lifetime

Volume

$1.81M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$539

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-05

last 07-30 21:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Politics

73% 67% $-193

Other

21% 73% +$422

Tech

3% — —

Sports

2% 33% $-7,560

Crypto

1% 100% +$38

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

19 active days in 12wk • peak 205 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	17	$264.4K	174,954	103,723	+71,231	open	—	04-08 20:44
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	110	$148.1K	84,248	66,763	+17,485	open	—	05-20 20:25
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	90	$111.7K	84,523	52,351	+32,172	open	—	04-15 21:49
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	73	$88.8K	54,275	66,844	-12,569	open	—	04-22 17:18
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	48	$51.4K	26,659	25,426	+1,233	open	—	05-21 19:07
Will Claude 4.7 be released on or prior to April 16, 2026?	14	$50.7K	25,454	25,449	+5	open	—	04-16 15:52
will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	34	$49.3K	55,411	0	+55,411	open	—	04-12 18:09
Will Trump declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?	28	$47.6K	50,319	0	+50,319	open	—	05-01 00:37
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	50	$42.2K	24,941	18,144	+6,796	open	—	05-19 20:29
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	40	$39.5K	26,323	14,813	+11,511	open	—	04-24 19:55
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	62	$37.1K	38,322	696	+37,626	open	—	05-06 02:11
will iran strike israel on march 10	67	$35.1K	22,331	28,848	-6,516	open	—	03-17 16:50
Will Trump say "American Dream" at The Villages on May 1?	10	$31.4K	31,978	0	+31,978	open	—	05-02 00:04
Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?	16	$30.2K	31,294	1,101	+30,193	open	—	04-16 15:55
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	36	$30.2K	31,907	0	+31,907	Yes	+$1,698	04-17 02:26
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	12	$29.2K	29,375	0	+29,375	Yes	+$214	05-03 17:38
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	47	$28.5K	17,552	15,161	+2,391	open	—	05-14 12:20
Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 15?	11	$25.7K	19,210	9,709	+9,501	open	—	05-15 20:20
israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	22	$23.6K	17,617	10,000	+7,618	open	—	04-28 03:18
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	14	$19.2K	19,456	0	+19,456	open	—	05-23 04:17
will crude oil cl hit high 75 by end of march 216 621 736 725 922 826 757	28	$18.7K	19,045	0	+19,045	open	—	03-04 23:00
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	28	$18.7K	10,360	11,875	-1,515	open	—	03-12 04:58
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	39	$17.4K	20,362	0	+20,362	open	—	06-08 10:24
Will Iran strike Kuwait by April 30, 2026?	8	$16.4K	16,421	0	+16,421	open	—	04-13 20:17
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	16	$15.5K	11,917	4,967	+6,950	open	—	05-23 03:12
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	16	$15.4K	16,018	0	+16,018	open	—	05-01 22:00
will the us officially declare war on iran by march 31 2026	17	$15.0K	6,500	8,900	-2,400	open	—	03-30 18:39
will donk be said during the pgl bucharest 2026 grand final	36	$14.7K	7,352	7,758	-406	open	—	04-15 21:47
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	63	$12.8K	14,678	5,162	+9,516	open	—	05-16 03:28
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	8	$12.2K	12,345	0	+12,345	open	—	06-02 21:18

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-30 21:49:44	scott seiver 20260707142702016	No	BUY	306	100¢	$305	0xd23e72…
07-23 23:16:36	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	BUY	179	97¢	$174	0x8a4014…
07-23 20:12:51	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	BUY	1,250	97¢	$1,215	0xf44959…
07-23 18:50:49	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	BUY	37	97¢	$36	0x43bdd4…
06-19 19:18:07	Will Australia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1,060	85¢	$901	0xbffa8d…
06-19 19:18:07	Will Australia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	13	85¢	$11	0x1caf3d…
06-19 19:15:26	Will Australia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	515	85¢	$438	0x40fa09…
06-19 19:15:25	Will Australia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	100	85¢	$85	0xc92db2…
06-19 19:15:25	Will Australia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	67	85¢	$57	0xbf78d5…
06-19 16:45:02	Will Ecuador advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	234	78¢	$183	0x8ff65c…
06-19 16:44:10	Will Ecuador advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	196	79¢	$155	0x707227…
06-19 15:38:26	Will Australia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	10	85¢	$9	0x6c0b0f…
06-19 15:17:16	Will Ecuador advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	38	79¢	$30	0xc14eea…
06-19 15:16:52	Will Australia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	67	85¢	$57	0x1c381a…
06-19 14:19:22	Will Australia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	167	85¢	$142	0x62fc01…
06-19 13:51:50	Will Australia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	0	85¢	$0	0x35a69d…
06-19 13:51:31	Will Australia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x183ed7…
06-16 05:37:10	New pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	8	89¢	$7	0x1e85aa…
06-16 05:36:07	New pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	69	89¢	$61	0x34e170…
06-16 05:35:55	New pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	37	89¢	$33	0xd0294a…
06-16 05:35:30	New pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	26	89¢	$23	0x0b1c4f…
06-16 04:47:27	New pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	100	89¢	$89	0x5e692e…
06-16 03:21:19	New pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x856cfd…
06-15 19:09:07	New pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	55	89¢	$49	0xdded9c…
06-15 18:17:07	New pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	500	89¢	$445	0x0b43d7…
06-15 14:39:07	New pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	185	89¢	$165	0xcdfbef…
06-15 14:38:52	New pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	47	89¢	$42	0x7fcc20…
06-15 14:38:27	New pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	126	89¢	$112	0x9df127…
06-15 14:38:01	New pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	189	89¢	$168	0x272f52…
06-12 19:40:42	Will USA advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	375	15¢	$56	0xd06c80…
06-12 16:09:21	Will Croatia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	269	82¢	$220	0xf475c3…
06-12 14:51:06	Will USA advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	29	15¢	$4	0x6305fb…
06-12 14:19:22	Will USA advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	96	15¢	$14	0xea3a05…
06-12 10:50:33	Will Croatia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	31	82¢	$26	0x933eb9…
06-09 17:29:55	Will Ghana advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x8d0d6e…
06-08 10:24:33	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	10,166	86¢	$8,742	0xaf57a8…
06-08 09:47:49	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	0	86¢	$0	0xfa0c70…
06-08 09:36:21	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0x30f8c9…
06-08 09:20:21	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	11	86¢	$9	0xdc3d10…
06-08 09:18:12	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x74e7f4…
06-08 09:12:37	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	357	86¢	$307	0xf69c50…
06-08 09:08:27	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	87	86¢	$75	0x442644…
06-08 08:44:13	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	164	86¢	$141	0xfbc749…
06-08 08:40:10	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0xa057df…
06-08 08:38:28	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	55	86¢	$47	0xb9d2e3…
06-08 07:25:48	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	18	86¢	$15	0x641d65…
06-08 05:48:40	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	10	86¢	$9	0xce57f1…
06-08 05:35:19	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	13	86¢	$11	0xd4c373…
06-08 04:26:27	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	13	86¢	$11	0x8bbabf…
06-08 04:20:45	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	7	86¢	$6	0x192a5d…
06-08 04:14:52	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	1,415	86¢	$1,217	0x4e93d6…
06-05 03:15:31	Will Croatia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	24	79¢	$19	0x307672…
06-04 17:25:42	Will Croatia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	345	80¢	$276	0x8841bd…
06-03 20:53:57	wnba tor nyl 2026 06 03	New York Liberty	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0x36628a…
06-03 20:51:07	wnba tor nyl 2026 06 03	New York Liberty	BUY	4	74¢	$3	0x0c0b64…
06-03 20:47:39	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	3,456	84¢	$2,903	0xbc77cd…
06-03 20:47:03	wnba tor nyl 2026 06 03	New York Liberty	BUY	12	74¢	$9	0xd219ca…
06-03 20:44:37	wnba tor nyl 2026 06 03	New York Liberty	BUY	37	74¢	$28	0xe68f51…
06-03 20:40:06	wnba tor nyl 2026 06 03	New York Liberty	BUY	494	74¢	$366	0xf295c8…
06-03 13:36:11	Will Panama advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	345	27¢	$93	0x327ac6…
06-03 06:21:38	World Cup: Winless Team?	Yes	BUY	375	99¢	$371	0x1e45cc…
06-02 21:18:33	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,297	99¢	$1,286	0x256ce9…
06-02 21:18:24	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	871	99¢	$863	0x7dffa4…
06-02 21:18:12	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	156	99¢	$154	0xb5f60c…
06-02 21:18:12	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x8d1847…
06-02 21:17:58	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2,198	99¢	$2,178	0x534600…
06-02 21:17:44	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	556	99¢	$551	0x2f9e7f…
06-02 21:17:42	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x376a8e…
06-02 21:17:40	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	7,246	99¢	$7,180	0x1ac69b…
06-02 12:54:28	Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-8.5)	PortlandFire	BUY	100	46¢	$46	0x27ff28…
06-01 21:54:16	Will Lewis Hall be included in England's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	No	SELL	137	100¢	$136	0x74dd92…
06-01 21:54:00	Will Fikayo Tomori be included in England's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	No	SELL	44	100¢	$44	0x28f169…
06-01 21:53:42	Will Cole Palmer be included in England's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	No	SELL	172	100¢	$171	0x5c41bd…
06-01 21:53:37	Will Phil Foden be included in England's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	No	SELL	49	100¢	$49	0x493294…
06-01 21:53:23	Will Adam Wharton be included in England's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	No	SELL	310	100¢	$310	0x26ef82…
06-01 19:45:08	Will Cole Palmer be included in England's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	No	SELL	515	100¢	$513	0x9a4052…
06-01 19:44:56	Will Fikayo Tomori be included in England's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	No	SELL	132	99¢	$132	0xa351c3…
06-01 19:44:46	Will Lewis Hall be included in England's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	No	SELL	410	99¢	$407	0xe018fe…
06-01 19:43:58	Will Phil Foden be included in England's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	No	SELL	146	100¢	$145	0xd88e07…
06-01 19:43:23	Will Adam Wharton be included in England's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	No	SELL	929	100¢	$928	0xa34722…
06-01 18:52:26	Kansas City Royals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 8.5	Under	BUY	28	45¢	$13	0x6e21c2…
06-01 18:52:05	Kansas City Royals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 8.5	Under	BUY	55	45¢	$25	0xb66417…
06-01 18:52:05	Kansas City Royals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 8.5	Under	BUY	9	45¢	$4	0x244813…
06-01 18:52:02	Kansas City Royals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 8.5	Under	BUY	253	45¢	$114	0xcccdab…
06-01 18:46:33	Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-3.5)	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	273	20¢	$55	0xa8503e…
05-28 16:10:28	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	633	84¢	$532	0x049980…
05-28 15:31:53	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	1,162	84¢	$976	0x13f053…
05-28 14:07:46	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	373	84¢	$313	0x1f4aca…
05-28 13:39:21	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xd9c6e6…
05-28 13:06:50	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	278	84¢	$234	0x83cf0f…
05-28 12:11:58	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	285	84¢	$239	0xeae5e6…
05-28 11:29:58	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	23	84¢	$20	0xb53995…
05-28 11:10:22	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x0adec5…
05-28 11:03:40	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x27add3…
05-28 10:50:53	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	131	84¢	$110	0xbf4213…
05-28 10:38:31	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	59	84¢	$49	0x3ec5ab…
05-28 08:54:52	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	43	84¢	$36	0x1b592f…
05-28 08:51:46	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	312	84¢	$262	0x7e118c…
05-28 08:41:27	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	50	84¢	$42	0xc8a464…
05-28 06:50:42	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	156	84¢	$131	0x3c86c8…