Determined-Percentage 0xcd71fd…e0d127
whale hot 5W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$221.8K
Unrealized P&L
+$59.1K
Hit rate
82.8%
Resolved
318
Trades
5,660
lifetime
Volume
$6.42M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1.13K
Open exposure
$461.9K
24 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-22 16:09
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 100 days
Categories
Other
62% 87% +$37,844
Politics
31% 68% +$96,154
Crypto
4% 100% +$51,197
Sports
2% 83% +$36,725
Tech
0% 0% -$132
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
40 active days in 12wk • peak 270 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +100,000 $71,450 82¢ $81.5K +$10,050 07-16 00:17
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +91,442 $36,071 88¢ $80.9K +$44,855 09-22 17:58
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +67,664 $58,567 94¢ $63.3K +$4,699 07-27 17:13
Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026? No +51,718 $48,784 96¢ $49.6K +$814 10-18 01:23
bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by december 31 983 117 No +30,000 $24,568 86¢ $25.7K +$1,083 09-27 00:21
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +42,844 $28,301 57¢ $24.6K -$3,666 10-11 13:56
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? No +50,000 $14,500 40¢ $19.8K +$5,250 09-30 04:29
iran charges hormuz fees by october 31 No +20,000 $10,596 96¢ $19.2K +$8,654 09-24 17:50
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +23,509 $15,383 78¢ $18.5K +$3,072 07-29 02:20
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +20,000 $10,937 90¢ $18.1K +$7,163 09-28 20:13
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +20,000 $16,800 86¢ $17.2K +$400 09-02 14:13
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +17,429 $13,555 94¢ $16.5K +$2,915 05-23 15:12
us charges hormuz fees by december 31 2026 20260713151243236 No +6,515 $6,034 97¢ $6.3K +$259 09-29 20:02
israel withdraws from lebanon by december 31 2026 No +5,000 $4,500 96¢ $4.8K +$310 07-31 16:28
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +41,441 $33,367 12¢ $4.8K -$28,602 07-04 19:30
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? No +10,000 $3,500 38¢ $3.7K +$250 09-24 14:34
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes +3,865 $3,679 96¢ $3.7K +$51 09-01 13:24
jd vance out as vp by december 31 No +1,207 $1,134 96¢ $1.2K +$22 07-13 15:24
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No +1,172 $1,100 97¢ $1.1K +$34 09-13 00:54
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No +915 -$424 72¢ $654 +$1,078 10-05 01:33
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year? No +543 $494 94¢ $510 +$16 09-02 05:47
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? Yes +915 $366 29¢ $261 -$105 09-29 20:02
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +12 $8 86¢ $10 +$2 06-10 14:29
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +0 -$526 92¢ $0 +$526 08-30 07:02