Realized P&L
-$2.51K
Unrealized P&L
-$1.15K
Hit rate
47.5%
Resolved
136
Trades
62,083
lifetime
Volume
$1.26M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$20
Open exposure
$4.23K
17 positions
First seen
2026-02-08
last 06-30 18:37
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 15 days
Categories
Crypto
41% 40% $-923
Other
28% 44% $-1,208
Politics
27% 0% $-464
Sports
3% 100% +$82
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 1479 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? No +1,799 $1,310 85¢ $1.5K +$213 06-30 17:48
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +1,177 $1,043 99¢ $1.2K +$128 06-26 13:11
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +400 $168 70¢ $282 +$114 06-22 11:45
Kash Patel out by December 31? No -442 $-183 58¢ $-256 $-73 06-01 12:52
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? Yes +1,639 $556 15¢ $251 $-305 06-30 12:30
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No +174 $314 100¢ $174 $-141 06-23 00:21
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? No -148 $106 100¢ $-148 $-254 06-14 22:03
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes +400 $138 30¢ $118 $-20 06-20 07:40
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? No +200 $110 56¢ $113 +$3 06-29 04:15
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +438 $73 18¢ $77 +$3 06-29 12:18
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? No -70 $-63 99¢ $-69 $-7 06-08 12:00
GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026? Yes -40 $-39 90¢ $-36 +$3 06-05 23:34
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes +1,075 $193 $6 $-187 06-26 15:46
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes -2,246 $295 $-6 $-300 06-30 16:50
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? Yes -451 $204 $-1 $-205 06-23 03:40
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? Yes +53 $117 $0 $-116 06-17 14:50
Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026? No -8 $9 $-0 $-9 06-29 22:24