Realized P&L
+$206
Unrealized P&L
+$55
Hit rate
93.9%
Resolved
9
Trades
3,136
lifetime
Volume
$58.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$19
Open exposure
$290
6 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-09 16:47
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Politics
49% 50% +$120
Other
46% 71% +$85
Crypto
3%
Tech
1%
Sports
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
78 active days in 12wk • peak 129 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? Yes +312 $85 37¢ $116 +$31 06-07 22:01
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? Yes +128 $100 82¢ $106 +$6 05-30 16:44
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? Yes -60 $-45 68¢ $-40 +$4 06-08 11:33
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by June 30, 2026? No +20 $20 98¢ $20 +$0 06-06 17:24
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? Yes +18 $10 48¢ $9 $-1 06-09 16:47
Iran closes its airspace by June 30? No -10 $-15 $-0 +$15 05-29 01:44