Realized P&L
+$206
Unrealized P&L
+$63
Hit rate
93.9%
Resolved
9
Trades
3,153
lifetime
Volume
$59.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$19
Open exposure
$230
5 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-20 15:10
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Politics
49% 50% +$120
Other
47% 71% +$85
Crypto
3%
Tech
1%
Sports
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
45 active days in 12wk • peak 100 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? Yes +128 $100 89¢ $114 +$14 05-30 16:44
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? Yes +93 $50 55¢ $51 +$1 06-16 15:53
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? Yes -60 $-45 71¢ $-43 +$2 06-08 11:33
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026? Yes +79 $20 18¢ $14 $-6 06-16 15:55
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? Yes -18 $-60 46¢ $-8 +$52 07-20 07:33