Realized P&L
+$34.5K
Unrealized P&L
+$576
Hit rate
66.3%
Resolved
292
Trades
4,146
lifetime
Volume
$1.61M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$388
Open exposure
$42.7K
13 positions
First seen
2026-04-03
last 10-29 17:44
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 109 days
Categories
Politics
55% 69% +$14,179
Other
31% 66% +$11,690
Sports
9% 50% -$6,259
Crypto
5% 67% +$16,118
Tech
1% 80% -$1,225
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
73 active days in 12wk • peak 132 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +20,000 $18,400 94¢ $18.9K +$500 10-27 02:04
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +16,212 $8,210 43¢ $7.0K -$1,190 10-28 10:31
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +5,000 $4,650 96¢ $4.8K +$125 09-04 12:50
Will STRC hit $100 by December 31? Yes +4,733 $3,616 72¢ $3.4K -$204 10-19 12:17
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +5,000 $2,750 44¢ $2.2K -$575 10-28 10:07
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +10,000 $1,662 21¢ $2.1K +$393 10-12 22:22
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +10,000 $1,480 16¢ $1.6K +$150 10-10 09:28
Will STRC hit $100 by December 31? No +4,733 $401 28¢ $1.3K +$919 10-19 15:12
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +1,000 $520 99¢ $990 +$470 10-27 15:30
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +10,000 $255 4¢ $385 +$130 09-29 12:13
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +1 $5 12¢ $0 -$4 07-08 09:35
Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANTH? Yes +0 $153 2¢ $0 -$153 10-29 15:46
Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 30, 2026? No +0 -$16 7¢ $0 +$16 10-21 08:25