Realized P&L
-$43
Unrealized P&L
+$9
Hit rate
94.6%
Resolved
21
Trades
1,479
lifetime
Volume
$48.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$33
Open exposure
$53
3 positions
First seen
2026-02-17
last 06-09 20:27
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 7 days
Categories
Other
49% 45% $-38
Politics
23%
Sports
20%
Tech
6%
Crypto
1% 0% $-5
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
78 active days in 12wk • peak 52 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam? No -106 $-35 34¢ $-36 $-1 06-08 07:45
Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by June 30, 2026? No +10 $8 84¢ $8 $-0 06-03 17:06
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026? Yes -22 $-18 38¢ $-8 +$10 05-29 15:51