Realized P&L
+$53.8K
Unrealized P&L
+$5.00K
Hit rate
79.6%
Resolved
603
Trades
26,164
lifetime
Volume
$4.56M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$174
Open exposure
$96.7K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-04
last 10-27 00:26
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 175 days
Categories
Other
46% 89% -$5,450
Politics
27% 86% +$9,525
Crypto
22% 90% +$49,448
Tech
3% 87% +$311
Sports
2% 50% +$14
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 126 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +39,000 $26,284 94¢ $36.7K +$10,376 10-26 15:44
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +28,276 $21,574 94¢ $26.6K +$5,006 10-25 18:04
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +6,000 $3,849 86¢ $5.1K +$1,281 05-05 16:27
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81 No +5,130 $2,614 97¢ $5.0K +$2,363 05-26 17:21
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026? No +3,281 $3,113 100¢ $3.3K +$155 10-15 09:07
Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANTH? No +1,990 $1,983 99¢ $2.0K -$7 10-27 00:26
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +29,277 $11,596 6¢ $1.8K -$9,839 10-17 08:12
Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31? No +1,700 $1,635 100¢ $1.7K +$59 09-30 22:09
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +1,584 $1,464 98¢ $1.6K +$91 10-19 21:36
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026? No +1,346 $956 92¢ $1.2K +$283 09-11 22:41
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? No +1,200 $844 97¢ $1.2K +$318 06-04 02:04
us imports russian diesel by october 31 No +1,137 $931 94¢ $1.1K +$137 10-23 13:35
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in October? No +1,000 $993 100¢ $997 +$4 10-19 23:50
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? No +1,000 $269 96¢ $961 +$692 09-15 15:54
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? No +958 $923 99¢ $947 +$23 04-29 08:07
France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026? No +856 $735 98¢ $843 +$108 10-19 18:44
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? No +800 $798 100¢ $798 +$0 10-26 13:57
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes +700 $656 94¢ $654 -$2 10-26 14:13
US imports Russian diesel by November 30? Yes +717 $228 88¢ $631 +$403 10-23 12:23
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? No +10,000 $4,440 6¢ $600 -$3,840 10-17 18:33
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? No +600 $594 99¢ $595 +$1 10-25 11:46
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027? Yes +1,000 $661 52¢ $525 -$136 10-20 07:40
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? No +450 $175 99¢ $445 +$269 10-25 17:03
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? No +400 $221 92¢ $370 +$149 04-29 22:54
Will Bitcoin dip to $5,000 by December 31, 2026? No +300 $294 100¢ $299 +$5 06-01 03:30
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? No +284 $280 97¢ $277 -$3 10-21 10:12
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +200 $191 96¢ $192 +$1 09-18 10:15
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81 Yes +6,305 $2,961 3¢ $189 -$2,772 10-05 08:39
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +200 $143 84¢ $167 +$24 09-05 12:15
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes +688 $248 15¢ $100 -$148 05-05 16:27