Glittering-Pitcher — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$31

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

96.6%

Resolved

Trades

22,403

lifetime

Volume

$2.66M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$119

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-04

last 08-10 12:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Politics

39% 100% +$64

Crypto

32% 75% $-17

Other

21% 50% $-16

Tech

4% — —

Sports

4% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

77 active days in 12wk • peak 3516 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	196	$131.2K	182,647	15,954	+166,694	open	—	06-03 21:04
fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 total 8pt5	267	$84.8K	52,183	52,183	+0	open	—	07-18 22:24
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	812	$79.6K	129,121	0	+129,121	open	—	04-08 16:05
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	280	$75.1K	120,910	8,664	+112,246	open	—	06-01 10:40
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	120	$72.1K	79,746	500	+79,245	open	—	06-17 18:30
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	62	$70.0K	67,932	5,332	+62,600	open	—	07-09 08:23
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	888	$68.3K	131,621	0	+131,621	open	—	03-30 11:29
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	995	$59.5K	113,026	179	+112,847	open	—	04-22 16:05
will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 23 29	112	$53.9K	58,640	0	+58,640	open	—	06-30 06:08
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	528	$52.8K	94,546	6,200	+88,346	open	—	06-01 03:31
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	1,115	$49.8K	99,427	0	+99,427	open	—	04-26 03:02
will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	131	$49.7K	56,658	0	+56,658	open	—	06-08 07:04
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	20	$43.0K	43,498	0	+43,498	open	—	06-22 08:35
will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	3	$39.9K	40,000	0	+40,000	open	—	07-22 19:45
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	163	$39.2K	54,654	9,699	+44,955	open	—	05-31 22:10
will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	32	$35.5K	35,630	0	+35,630	open	—	08-04 06:44
starmer out by june 22 2026	21	$33.0K	33,080	0	+33,080	open	—	06-22 08:35
fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 total 8pt5	3,506	$32.3K	32,446	0	+32,446	open	—	07-14 19:00
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	194	$32.1K	43,997	0	+43,997	open	—	04-09 11:18
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	25	$32.0K	35,600	0	+35,600	open	—	02-28 08:01
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	536	$31.8K	63,926	651	+63,275	open	—	04-01 08:21
fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 total 1pt5	4	$31.7K	31,759	0	+31,759	open	—	07-19 21:50
will microstrategy announce selling any bitcoin july 7 13	66	$31.5K	32,036	0	+32,036	open	—	07-14 08:42
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	460	$30.5K	60,566	3,411	+57,154	open	—	04-30 19:31
microstrategy announces 1000 btc purchase february 17 23	18	$30.5K	30,573	0	+30,573	open	—	02-17 13:24
nothing ever happens microstrategy	534	$30.0K	76,621	2,993	+73,628	open	—	03-16 12:00
2026 FIFA World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?	28	$29.9K	30,000	0	+30,000	open	—	07-16 18:23
fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 total 6pt5	19	$29.7K	30,000	0	+30,000	open	—	07-18 22:30
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	394	$27.8K	45,766	4,801	+40,966	open	—	04-07 23:03
uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	42	$27.5K	27,180	1,114	+26,066	open	—	08-01 16:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-10 12:24:34	will strc hit 100 by september 30 20260618001621118	Yes	BUY	2,000	41¢	$820	0x14fd73…
08-10 12:13:00	will strc hit 100 by september 30 20260618001621118	Yes	BUY	75	40¢	$30	0x599eb2…
08-09 21:58:42	will lionel messi attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630254	No	SELL	4	98¢	$4	0x7cb1b7…
08-09 20:04:45	will strc hit 100 by december 31 20260618001621119	Yes	SELL	60	66¢	$39	0x74b99c…
08-09 19:23:46	will strc hit 100 by december 31 20260618001621119	Yes	SELL	20	66¢	$13	0xf023c2…
08-09 19:20:30	will lionel messi attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630254	No	SELL	196	98¢	$193	0x16b3ac…
08-09 15:50:42	will strc hit 100 by december 31 20260618001621119	Yes	SELL	20	66¢	$13	0x0470ba…
08-09 11:36:58	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by december 31	Yes	SELL	26	40¢	$10	0x0b70ad…
08-09 11:29:25	will lionel messi attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630254	No	SELL	143	98¢	$140	0xc8b076…
08-09 11:10:27	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by december 31	Yes	BUY	21	27¢	$6	0xf9b21e…
08-09 11:09:24	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by december 31	Yes	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0xec52fc…
08-09 10:10:45	will lionel messi attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630254	No	SELL	57	98¢	$56	0xa23c8f…
08-09 09:07:03	will lionel messi attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630254	No	SELL	200	98¢	$196	0xed68db…
08-09 08:30:54	will lionel messi attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630254	No	SELL	200	98¢	$197	0xd92b7e…
08-09 07:38:30	will lionel messi attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630254	No	SELL	200	98¢	$197	0xf48cd9…
08-08 21:01:07	will lionel messi attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630254	No	SELL	15	98¢	$15	0x7c728f…
08-08 20:17:36	will lionel messi attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630254	No	SELL	122	98¢	$120	0x1ab15a…
08-08 19:50:09	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 8 2026	No	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x81b54e…
08-08 13:15:49	will strc hit 100 by december 31 20260618001621119	Yes	SELL	13	62¢	$8	0x340328…
08-08 12:50:52	will strc hit 100 by december 31 20260618001621119	Yes	SELL	20	62¢	$12	0x8fdec4…
08-08 11:50:57	will strc hit 100 by december 31 20260618001621119	Yes	SELL	3	62¢	$2	0xf7704d…
08-08 11:04:37	will lionel messi attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630254	No	BUY	1,122	97¢	$1,086	0x9945cb…
08-08 09:52:34	will strc hit 100 by december 31 20260618001621119	Yes	SELL	9	62¢	$6	0x9dd05b…
08-08 09:17:10	will strc hit 100 by december 31 20260618001621119	Yes	SELL	7	62¢	$4	0xf5d4b8…
08-08 09:02:39	will strc hit 100 by december 31 20260618001621119	Yes	SELL	4	62¢	$2	0xbb96f9…
08-08 09:00:04	will strc hit 100 by december 31 20260618001621119	Yes	SELL	4	62¢	$3	0x371952…
08-08 08:55:37	will strc hit 100 by december 31 20260618001621119	Yes	SELL	11	62¢	$7	0x9bceab…
08-08 07:48:03	will strc hit 100 by december 31 20260618001621119	Yes	SELL	3	62¢	$2	0x4ceab0…
08-08 07:32:40	will strc hit 100 by december 31 20260618001621119	Yes	SELL	24	62¢	$15	0x695db9…
08-07 22:24:03	will strc hit 100 by september 30 20260618001621118	Yes	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x92382a…
08-07 14:49:15	will lionel messi attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630254	No	BUY	36	97¢	$35	0x47553d…
08-07 14:32:16	will lionel messi attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630254	No	BUY	64	97¢	$62	0x14f6e7…
08-07 14:09:34	will strc hit 100 by december 31 20260618001621119	Yes	SELL	31	57¢	$17	0x2832b5…
08-07 14:07:54	will strc hit 100 by december 31 20260618001621119	Yes	SELL	139	57¢	$79	0xf1e770…
08-07 11:27:51	will strc hit 100 by december 31 20260618001621119	Yes	SELL	100	56¢	$56	0x252d3d…
08-07 11:27:04	will strc hit 100 by september 30 20260618001621118	Yes	SELL	100	39¢	$39	0xc719c9…
08-07 11:24:46	will strc hit 100 by september 30 20260618001621118	Yes	SELL	100	34¢	$34	0x982b35…
08-07 08:09:12	will strc hit 100 by september 30 20260618001621118	Yes	SELL	74	34¢	$25	0x6438c6…
08-07 08:07:19	will strc hit 100 by september 30 20260618001621118	Yes	SELL	26	34¢	$9	0xd775cd…
08-07 06:57:33	will strc hit 100 by december 31 20260618001621119	Yes	SELL	100	55¢	$55	0x026fb8…
08-06 13:56:54	will strc hit 100 by december 31 20260618001621119	Yes	SELL	30	57¢	$17	0x077d30…
08-06 13:26:08	will strc hit 100 by september 30 20260618001621118	Yes	SELL	100	37¢	$37	0x67ac7d…
08-06 12:13:44	will strc hit 100 by december 31 20260618001621119	Yes	SELL	35	57¢	$20	0x695163…
08-06 11:48:50	will strc hit 100 by september 30 20260618001621118	Yes	SELL	86	39¢	$34	0x1d02ce…
08-06 11:45:38	will strc hit 100 by september 30 20260618001621118	Yes	SELL	14	39¢	$5	0xb2caf7…
08-06 11:24:29	will strc hit 100 by september 30 20260618001621118	Yes	SELL	30	42¢	$13	0xf4bdcd…
08-06 10:54:50	will strc hit 100 by september 30 20260618001621118	Yes	SELL	9	42¢	$4	0x3b15df…
08-06 10:30:33	will strc hit 100 by december 31 20260618001621119	Yes	SELL	18	57¢	$10	0x971242…
08-06 10:24:47	will strc hit 100 by december 31 20260618001621119	Yes	SELL	16	57¢	$9	0x626ea9…
08-06 10:18:20	will strc hit 100 by december 31 20260618001621119	Yes	SELL	16	57¢	$9	0x1c81c5…
08-06 10:14:18	will strc hit 100 by december 31 20260618001621119	Yes	SELL	15	57¢	$9	0x645e0d…
08-05 20:30:51	app quarterly earnings gaap eps 08 05 2026 3pt76	No	BUY	75	94¢	$71	0x433458…
08-05 20:14:08	soun quarterly earnings nongaap eps 08 05 2026 neg0pt04	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xb8a246…
08-05 20:10:48	soun quarterly earnings nongaap eps 08 05 2026 neg0pt04	Yes	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0xdef681…
08-05 10:35:30	dis quarterly earnings nongaap eps 08 05 2026 1pt86	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x7b9281…
08-05 10:33:18	dis quarterly earnings nongaap eps 08 05 2026 1pt86	Yes	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x24d656…
08-05 09:31:24	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	200	83¢	$166	0x1c9268…
08-05 02:44:57	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	200	82¢	$164	0x3b2f21…
08-04 21:54:12	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	200	16¢	$32	0x949fc8…
08-04 21:15:21	will strc hit 100 by december 31 20260618001621119	No	BUY	51	51¢	$26	0x26b73f…
08-04 20:47:50	will strc hit 100 by december 31 20260618001621119	No	BUY	1	51¢	$0	0x3a160a…
08-04 20:46:30	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	200	17¢	$34	0x028e2a…
08-04 18:53:18	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	200	81¢	$162	0xa43d33…
08-04 17:57:14	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	200	17¢	$34	0xaa5f4a…
08-04 16:11:39	will strc hit 100 by september 30 20260618001621118	Yes	BUY	2,000	32¢	$640	0x04c35e…
08-04 14:42:30	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	200	82¢	$164	0x53da9a…
08-04 14:34:15	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	137	83¢	$114	0x0532b0…
08-04 14:31:27	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	63	83¢	$52	0xc6ae14…
08-04 14:17:23	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	200	16¢	$32	0x06d7a5…
08-04 14:03:03	will a european country take military action on iran by august 31 20260720005529606	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x2cf7f1…
08-04 13:50:51	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	82	17¢	$14	0xb13a6a…
08-04 13:44:27	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	118	17¢	$20	0xc76580…
08-04 13:42:14	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	200	82¢	$164	0x7b910c…
08-04 13:41:44	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	200	16¢	$32	0x82f173…
08-04 13:32:30	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	200	83¢	$166	0xe7e50f…
08-04 13:31:44	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	200	16¢	$32	0x998ba0…
08-04 13:27:48	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	45	83¢	$37	0xd123aa…
08-04 13:27:42	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	150	83¢	$124	0xb4c544…
08-04 13:27:06	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x79e348…
08-04 13:25:17	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	200	15¢	$30	0x3206b1…
08-04 13:25:00	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	200	17¢	$34	0x976ac9…
08-04 13:24:42	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	200	83¢	$166	0x9e54a8…
08-04 13:03:23	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	400	84¢	$336	0xa367c4…
08-04 12:56:23	will spotify say churn during earnings call 20260730163821627	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xa8279f…
08-04 12:16:32	will strc hit 100 by december 31 20260618001621119	Yes	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xef9dcc…
08-04 12:11:44	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	200	15¢	$30	0x35f44e…
08-04 12:05:33	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	200	16¢	$32	0x5804f3…
08-04 11:49:20	will strc hit 100 by december 31 20260618001621119	Yes	BUY	350	42¢	$147	0x80fc4d…
08-04 09:46:24	will strc hit 100 by december 31 20260618001621119	Yes	BUY	0	41¢	$0	0x264ab0…
08-04 09:15:30	will strc hit 100 by september 30 20260618001621118	Yes	BUY	200	24¢	$48	0xfae0eb…
08-04 06:44:03	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	No	BUY	10,752	100¢	$10,720	0xd8f8eb…
08-04 03:21:53	microstrategy announces 1000 btc purchase july 28 august 3	No	BUY	143	100¢	$143	0x2d086f…
08-03 21:31:33	will trump speak to elon musk in july 20260626154217440	No	BUY	106	95¢	$101	0xd32883…
08-03 21:15:57	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x508920…
08-03 21:09:24	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	No	BUY	198	99¢	$196	0xd40a38…
08-03 20:54:20	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	No	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0x51916b…
08-03 20:29:42	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	No	BUY	62	99¢	$61	0xcebe62…
08-03 18:47:05	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	No	BUY	61	99¢	$60	0xafbe53…
08-03 18:42:09	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	No	BUY	95	99¢	$95	0xd8da1a…
08-03 18:24:35	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase july 28 august 3	No	BUY	500	100¢	$500	0x063867…