Mushy-Asymmetry 0xe73874…9edf65
whale cold
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$2.08K
Unrealized P&L
+$3.20K
Hit rate
85.8%
Resolved
22
Trades
31,057
lifetime
Volume
$9.01M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$290
Open exposure
$105.4K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-12 00:53
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 11 days
Categories
Politics
64% 100% +$1,754
Other
35% 42% $-3,837
Sports
1% — —
Crypto
1% — —
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 573 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No -25,205 $-21,038 80¢ $-20290 +$748 06-12 00:53
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +23,152 $17,360 76¢ $17.7K +$351 06-12 01:39
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +26,372 $7,567 44¢ $11.7K +$4,168 06-11 12:30
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? Yes +10,000 $6,700 76¢ $7.6K +$900 06-10 11:05
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30? No +6,980 $5,982 96¢ $6.7K +$708 06-11 04:03
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? No +6,004 $5,513 96¢ $5.7K +$220 06-07 20:36
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June? No +5,946 $5,470 94¢ $5.6K +$149 06-11 09:44
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No +7,097 $5,958 78¢ $5.6K $-387 06-11 04:52
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30? No +5,488 $4,922 91¢ $5.0K +$72 06-12 00:13
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026? Yes +6,500 $2,015 60¢ $3.9K +$1,852 06-11 12:22
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? No +8,819 $2,893 30¢ $2.6K $-292 06-10 02:26
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? No +4,744 $2,013 44¢ $2.1K +$51 06-09 14:21
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? Yes +12,101 $8,676 16¢ $1.9K $-6,801 06-08 09:34
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? No -2,000 $-2,150 92¢ $-1850 +$300 06-11 04:33
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June? No +1,822 $1,408 86¢ $1.6K +$168 06-11 13:04
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +4,948 $1,959 28¢ $1.4K $-599 06-07 04:12
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June? No +1,600 $1,203 82¢ $1.3K +$109 06-11 01:00
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? No +1,500 $595 54¢ $802 +$208 06-12 00:25
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? No +948 $439 36¢ $341 $-98 06-08 03:39
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June? Yes -1,632 $-512 18¢ $-294 +$218 06-08 03:04
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June? No +300 $264 94¢ $282 +$18 06-11 07:10
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? Yes +1,624 $53 15¢ $235 +$182 06-11 02:34
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June? No +1,255 $144 17¢ $213 +$69 06-11 01:50
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,200 $294 16¢ $198 $-96 06-03 01:43
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June? Yes -1,105 $-60 14¢ $-149 $-89 06-07 15:33
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026? No -350 $-206 40¢ $-142 +$65 06-06 06:19
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +166 $-614 62¢ $102 +$716 06-11 16:27
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June? Yes -1,357 $-131 6¢ $-78 +$53 06-10 15:51
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June? Yes -1,075 $242 6¢ $-59 $-302 06-07 18:46
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June? No -49 $-566 53¢ $-26 +$540 06-08 03:02