Mushy-Asymmetry 0xe73874…9edf65
whale cold
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$2.08K
Unrealized P&L
-$49.2K
Hit rate
85.8%
Resolved
22
Trades
36,442
lifetime
Volume
$10.3M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$282
Open exposure
$220.7K
11 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-02 18:53
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 11 days
Categories
Politics
62% 100% +$1,754
Other
37% 42% $-3,837
Crypto
1% — —
Sports
0% — —
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 905 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +157,712 $132,680 82¢ $128.5K $-4,145 07-02 21:17
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +209,969 $94,429 26¢ $53.5K $-40,887 07-02 15:47
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No -26,364 $-25,618 100¢ $-26298 $-680 06-20 12:30
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +5,923 $2,428 60¢ $3.6K +$1,155 06-21 03:52
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? No +7,494 $3,268 46¢ $3.5K +$217 06-22 09:30
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? No +10,819 $3,513 25¢ $2.7K $-809 06-18 10:08
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +7,748 $2,727 18¢ $1.4K $-1,371 06-18 13:28
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30? No -1,086 $-2,094 100¢ $-1085 +$1,009 06-28 18:08
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,200 $294 11¢ $126 $-168 06-03 01:43
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes -7,915 $3,344 0¢ $-20 $-3,364 06-27 14:32
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes -46 $108 16¢ $-7 $-116 06-06 08:15