Alienated-Criterion — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$815

Unrealized P&L

-$7

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$2.01K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$125

Open exposure

$337

1 position

First seen

2026-04-30

last 06-05 04:06

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

61% 100% +$815

Politics

23% — —

Crypto

16% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Netanyahu out by June 30?	No		-343	$-330	98¢	$-337	$-7	05-30 17:02

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	1	$653	654	0	+654	open	—	05-12 07:23
israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	1	$354	355	0	+355	open	—	06-05 04:06
Netanyahu out by June 30?	1	$330	0	343	-343	open	—	05-30 17:02
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	1	$327	369	0	+369	open	—	05-30 17:07
Will a new MAI model be released by April 30, 2026?	2	$234	1,049	0	+1,049	Yes	+$815	05-01 08:59
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 28, 2026?	5	$67	176	114	+62	open	—	04-30 15:41
israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	1	$25	25	0	+25	open	—	04-30 21:15
will donald trump publicly insult jerome powell by june 30 2026	1	$15	16	0	+16	open	—	06-05 04:06
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	1	$1	1	0	+1	Yes	+$0	05-02 18:28
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?	2	$0	1	1	+0	open	—	05-30 17:07

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-05 04:06:51	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	Yes	BUY	355	100¢	$354	0x2fa945…
06-05 04:06:13	will donald trump publicly insult jerome powell by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$15	0xe109ac…
05-30 17:07:14	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	369	89¢	$327	0xcc613d…
05-30 17:07:00	US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?	No	SELL	1	3¢	$0	0x9201b7…
05-30 17:02:53	US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?	No	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x17a1de…
05-30 17:02:25	Netanyahu out by June 30?	No	SELL	343	96¢	$330	0xcc3238…
05-12 07:23:47	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	BUY	654	100¢	$653	0x19a41e…
05-02 18:28:06	QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x1bf35b…
05-01 08:59:40	Will a new MAI model be released by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	22¢	$222	0x7e0aab…
05-01 08:59:32	Will a new MAI model be released by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	49	24¢	$12	0xd385d5…
04-30 21:15:38	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	Yes	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x911781…
04-30 15:41:04	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	68	20¢	$14	0xeb827c…
04-30 15:41:04	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	34	20¢	$7	0x4aab86…
04-30 15:40:38	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	20¢	$2	0xc24180…
04-30 15:28:32	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x9fea8b…
04-30 15:28:30	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	168	25¢	$42	0x4ad11d…