Bountiful-Disposer — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3.51K

Unrealized P&L

-$17

Hit rate

30.2%

Resolved

252

Trades

2,580

lifetime

Volume

$18.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$130

14 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-26 22:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 98 days

Categories

Other

58% 17% -$2,140

Politics

31% 18% -$1,407

Sports

11% 25% +$42

Crypto

0% 0% -$9

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

57 active days in 12wk • peak 106 trades/day

Open positions (14) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	+500	$30	6¢	$32	+$2	10-23 18:55
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	Yes	+454	-$89	5¢	$22	+$111	10-24 16:41
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026?	Yes	+200	$22	8¢	$17	-$5	10-11 16:50
Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by December 31?	Yes	+125	$39	12¢	$16	-$23	10-16 19:47
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	Yes	+649	$17	2¢	$15	-$2	10-23 02:56
Will the Iranian regime fall by October 31?	Yes	+5,211	$22	0¢	$8	-$14	10-25 23:29
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?	Yes	-132	-$17	5¢	$-7	+$11	05-24 05:56
israel accuses iranproxies of plane stabbing incident by oct 31	Yes	+400	$36	2¢	$6	-$30	10-05 02:59
Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	+200	$6	1¢	$2	-$4	08-20 15:32
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	Yes	+250	$43	1¢	$2	-$41	10-19 21:36
Will Tottenham win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	+200	$2	1¢	$2	$0	08-23 13:34
Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	+400	$24	0¢	$1	-$23	08-27 21:43
Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?	Yes	-20	-$2	3¢	$-1	+$2	05-19 05:28
Iran leadership change by October 31?	Yes	+129	$2	0¢	$1	-$1	10-21 02:59

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	46	$1.6K	7,435	6,535	+900	No	-$343	07-30 09:48
Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	44	$1.1K	6,046	3,111	+2,934	No	-$95	08-05 13:53
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	43	$1.1K	1,143	1,210	-66	Yes	+$224	05-03 20:18
Will Rodri join Barcelona?	17	$714	752	752	+0	Yes	+$621	08-09 20:35
will the us strike syria next 492	19	$635	4,186	3,249	+937	No	-$312	01-23 09:11
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?	36	$603	2,622	2,288	+334	No	-$172	05-29 19:07
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	11	$495	575	565	+10	Yes	+$281	04-19 23:50
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	25	$405	412	412	+0	No	+$27	05-03 02:37
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	18	$403	1,751	0	+1,751	No	-$403	10-26 22:45
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?	7	$348	301	293	+8	No	+$143	04-19 23:49
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	39	$345	18,989	66	+18,922	No	-$235	05-12 15:22
Will gas hit (High) $4.60 by May 31?	17	$334	404	404	+0	No	+$45	05-26 05:22
Will Arsenal win a trophy this season?	12	$323	399	398	+1	Yes	-$19	04-26 15:19
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?	27	$321	541	541	+0	Yes	+$106	06-15 08:01
Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 31?	15	$296	1,208	1,208	+0	open	—	10-16 09:22
us and iran sign an agreement by june 15 2026 20260611221049851	4	$252	200	200	+0	Yes	+$148	06-17 06:06
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	7	$246	1,048	1,048	+0	No	-$84	05-07 15:29
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	17	$236	654	654	+0	No	-$124	04-23 23:37
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?	25	$220	1,866	1,466	+400	No	-$103	06-21 00:10
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?	16	$211	2,021	515	+1,506	No	-$187	06-21 17:54
Will the Christian Democrats (KD) be in the next Swedish government?	10	$182	417	417	+0	open	—	10-08 14:02
Will the Centre Party (C) win the fifth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?	13	$177	650	5	+645	Yes	+$471	09-13 19:28
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	4	$170	480	0	+480	No	-$170	05-29 21:45
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	4	$159	345	0	+345	No	-$159	05-23 20:51
Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by May 31?	17	$157	664	372	+292	No	-$132	05-24 09:23
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	7	$157	955	501	+454	open	—	10-24 16:41
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	9	$156	1,200	1,200	+0	No	-$2	06-15 08:06
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 21 2026	5	$147	500	200	+300	No	-$51	04-21 16:55
Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?	15	$145	416	274	+143	No	-$9	06-21 17:57
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	5	$142	160	160	+0	No	-$46	04-23 06:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 22:45:47	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	2	23¢	$0	0x25cfc7…
10-26 22:45:45	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	18	23¢	$4	0xaba4dd…
10-26 22:45:15	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	19	23¢	$4	0xe6e9e9…
10-26 22:45:14	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	142	23¢	$33	0x9a3207…
10-26 22:45:12	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	26	23¢	$6	0xe60785…
10-26 22:45:12	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	13	23¢	$3	0x029f52…
10-26 22:43:51	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	74	21¢	$15	0x067454…
10-26 22:43:21	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	148	21¢	$31	0xaaadb8…
10-26 22:38:35	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	400	23¢	$92	0xa59ed5…
10-26 22:37:21	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0xec8f49…
10-26 22:37:21	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	12	23¢	$3	0x340f61…
10-26 22:37:20	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	6	23¢	$1	0x6e9c95…
10-26 22:35:48	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	200	22¢	$44	0x35a093…
10-26 22:35:33	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	200	22¢	$45	0x421f62…
10-26 22:33:35	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	130	23¢	$30	0xb36326…
10-26 22:33:30	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	20	23¢	$5	0x4ce7d0…
10-26 22:33:14	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	1,354	0¢	$3	0x904677…
10-26 22:33:12	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	29	0¢	$0	0x83362d…
10-26 22:33:08	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	47	0¢	$0	0xc9b33c…
10-26 22:33:08	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	13	0¢	$0	0x68ce3e…
10-26 22:33:03	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	33	0¢	$0	0xc246ed…
10-26 22:32:39	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	24	0¢	$0	0x784bd4…
10-26 22:32:38	Will USD be at least 2.8M Iranian rials on October 31?	Yes	SELL	70	31¢	$22	0x379218…
10-26 22:32:38	Will USD be at least 2.8M Iranian rials on October 31?	Yes	SELL	50	31¢	$16	0x31728f…
10-26 22:32:14	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	120	22¢	$27	0xbc6107…
10-26 22:31:00	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	877	0¢	$3	0xa982e6…
10-26 22:30:54	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	116	0¢	$0	0xd40cb9…
10-26 22:30:48	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0x244f09…
10-26 22:30:20	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$3	0x3622eb…
10-26 22:24:48	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	100	4¢	$4	0xc5ffd1…
10-26 22:24:35	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	200	27¢	$54	0x6dac71…
10-26 17:54:53	Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	500	2¢	$10	0xe7aeb5…
10-26 17:54:26	Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	400	2¢	$10	0x5e20c1…
10-26 17:52:29	Will Rodri finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	500	2¢	$10	0x1a117f…
10-26 17:01:42	Will Rodri finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	251	2¢	$6	0x832a2d…
10-26 17:01:36	Will Rodri finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	349	2¢	$9	0x192c31…
10-26 08:46:44	Will Rodri finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	276	2¢	$6	0x12a56e…
10-26 07:30:15	Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	500	2¢	$11	0x7de44b…
10-26 05:45:56	Will Rodri finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	281	2¢	$7	0x521e56…
10-25 23:29:35	Will the Iranian regime fall by October 31?	Yes	BUY	676	0¢	$3	0xaa291e…
10-25 23:29:26	Will the Iranian regime fall by October 31?	Yes	BUY	1,165	0¢	$3	0x5e41fc…
10-25 07:54:35	Will USD be at least 2.8M Iranian rials on October 31?	Yes	BUY	44	30¢	$13	0xda2a37…
10-25 05:18:47	Will USD be at least 2.8M Iranian rials on October 31?	Yes	BUY	110	30¢	$33	0xe26fae…
10-24 22:09:11	Will USD be at least 2.8M Iranian rials on October 31?	Yes	BUY	30	30¢	$9	0x410ccf…
10-24 21:34:44	Will USD be at least 2.8M Iranian rials on October 31?	Yes	BUY	16	30¢	$5	0x462790…
10-24 17:40:17	Will the Iranian regime fall by October 31?	Yes	BUY	84	0¢	$0	0xeea6a6…
10-24 17:10:17	Will the Iranian regime fall by October 31?	Yes	BUY	108	1¢	$1	0x173182…
10-24 16:48:54	Will the Iranian regime fall by October 31?	Yes	BUY	992	0¢	$5	0x544c00…
10-24 16:48:45	Will the Iranian regime fall by October 31?	Yes	BUY	416	0¢	$2	0x558362…
10-24 16:43:35	Will Mojtaba Khamenei leave Iran by December 31?	Yes	BUY	230	4¢	$9	0x13cbbd…
10-24 16:43:29	Will Mojtaba Khamenei leave Iran by December 31?	Yes	BUY	16	4¢	$1	0x4e1c6d…
10-24 16:41:59	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	Yes	BUY	455	4¢	$16	0x86736d…
10-23 18:55:30	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	BUY	500	6¢	$30	0x8ca0c8…
10-23 02:56:45	Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	Yes	BUY	65	2¢	$2	0xfcab75…
10-22 19:10:30	Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	2¢	$1	0x17a9a9…
10-22 18:15:54	Will the Iranian regime fall by October 31?	Yes	BUY	995	0¢	$4	0xb57398…
10-22 16:12:56	Will the Iranian regime fall by October 31?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xa9cf85…
10-22 10:52:12	Will USD be at least 2.8M Iranian rials on October 31?	Yes	BUY	100	39¢	$39	0xc3ee43…
10-22 02:31:23	Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0xcf644c…
10-22 01:52:06	Syrian troops enter Yemen by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	65	28¢	$18	0x79a410…
10-22 01:51:59	Syrian troops enter Yemen by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	27¢	$27	0xb671ab…
10-21 23:10:23	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	Yes	BUY	500	4¢	$18	0x9364c1…
10-21 23:00:54	Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	3¢	$13	0x13de00…
10-21 23:00:18	Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	Yes	BUY	53	2¢	$1	0xe3740e…
10-21 22:59:29	Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in November?	Yes	BUY	27	4¢	$1	0xa2ae77…
10-21 22:53:11	Will the Iranian regime fall by October 31?	Yes	BUY	770	0¢	$4	0xe88d1c…
10-21 19:50:14	Will Putin and Zelenskyy meet next in China?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xc0d2dd…
10-21 19:50:14	Will Putin and Zelenskyy meet next in China?	Yes	BUY	69	1¢	$1	0x5feac0…
10-21 14:52:23	Syrian troops enter Yemen by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x4c0b6d…
10-21 11:25:21	Syrian troops enter Yemen by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	131	7¢	$9	0xcfff5e…
10-21 10:14:15	Syrian troops enter Yemen by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	7¢	$2	0xf5cd7b…
10-21 02:59:56	Iran leadership change by October 31?	Yes	BUY	129	1¢	$2	0xec1d8c…
10-20 13:44:20	Syrian troops enter Yemen by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	19¢	$5	0xfc158e…
10-20 13:26:11	Syrian troops enter Yemen by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	93	7¢	$7	0x9416ae…
10-20 09:07:05	Syrian troops enter Yemen by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	19¢	$2	0x7744fd…
10-20 00:48:24	Will Putin and Zelenskyy meet next in China?	Yes	BUY	424	1¢	$6	0x7387cd…
10-20 00:48:15	Will Putin and Zelenskyy meet next in China?	Yes	BUY	134	1¢	$2	0x952e87…
10-20 00:48:06	Will Putin and Zelenskyy meet next in China?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x3bc2ac…
10-20 00:48:00	Will Putin and Zelenskyy meet next in China?	Yes	BUY	14	1¢	$0	0xbf5f8d…
10-20 00:47:53	Will Putin and Zelenskyy meet next in China?	Yes	BUY	44	1¢	$0	0x32ddf7…
10-19 21:36:13	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	250	3¢	$6	0xcc9642…
10-19 18:37:36	Syrian troops enter Yemen by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	18¢	$7	0x27660e…
10-19 18:37:32	Syrian troops enter Yemen by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	7¢	$3	0x29343d…
10-19 17:01:36	Syrian troops enter Yemen by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	7¢	$0	0x36ad1e…
10-19 12:28:17	Houthi x Saudi Arabia effective ceasefire by October 31?	Yes	SELL	252	11¢	$28	0x324fea…
10-19 09:18:57	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	100	27¢	$27	0x0391a6…
10-17 04:38:37	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	500	3¢	$13	0xfe0940…
10-17 01:04:11	Will Pau Cubarsi finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	6	27¢	$2	0xce3e1b…
10-16 19:47:53	Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by December 31?	Yes	SELL	25	32¢	$8	0xc269ba…
10-16 09:22:46	Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 31?	Yes	SELL	764	12¢	$88	0x16fba6…
10-16 09:22:16	Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 31?	Yes	SELL	205	13¢	$27	0xcccbd7…
10-16 09:22:03	Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 31?	Yes	SELL	107	13¢	$14	0x2c1f35…
10-16 09:21:42	Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 31?	Yes	SELL	8	13¢	$1	0xdbd5f0…
10-16 06:22:01	Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 31?	Yes	SELL	125	16¢	$20	0xcb07bd…
10-16 05:55:36	Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 15?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$3	0xd15fe8…
10-16 05:51:13	Will Pau Cubarsi finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	25	27¢	$7	0x3fd598…
10-15 22:49:19	Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	437	0¢	$0	0xef5b85…
10-15 22:38:33	Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	118	0¢	$0	0x30fb8c…
10-15 22:38:13	Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	312	0¢	$0	0x4534e8…
10-15 22:38:09	Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	800	0¢	$1	0x638507…