Weak-Threshold 0xbd65de…4d304f Create alert
bot 3W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L (7d)
+$690
Unrealized P&L
+$560
Hit rate
88.0%
Resolved (7d)
23
Trades (7d)
162
2,330 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$1.86K
$43.5K lifetime
Avg / trade
$19
Open exposure
$4.22K
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-03
last 11-14 00:02
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 124 days
Categories
Other
78% 48% -$1,680
Politics
9% 32% -$4
Crypto
9% 37% $0
Sports
2% 53% +$302
Tech
2% 38% +$70
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
62 active days in 12wk • peak 168 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Ruler win Worlds 2026 Finals MVP? No +500 $456 92¢ $460 +$5 10-20 05:54
Will Kiin win Worlds 2026 Finals MVP? No +500 $468 92¢ $460 -$8 10-20 05:54
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +432 $161 94¢ $408 +$247 07-24 02:22
Will Canyon win Worlds 2026 Finals MVP? No +500 $450 78¢ $392 -$58 10-20 05:54
Will Chovy win Worlds 2026 Finals MVP? No +500 $430 76¢ $382 -$48 10-20 05:54
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 50% or higher? No +353 $268 94¢ $330 +$62 11-10 15:45
Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026? Yes +500 $160 62¢ $312 +$152 10-20 05:54
Extended FDV above $1B one day after launch? No +244 $236 97¢ $236 +$0 11-13 16:59
Will the Republic of the Congo have an Ebola case in 2026? No +205 $154 90¢ $183 +$29 08-30 02:46
Will Thomas Aeschi win the Swiss Federal Council by-election? No +200 $174 78¢ $155 -$19 11-04 16:34
Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? Yes +506 $30 30¢ $152 +$122 11-13 20:26
Will South Sudan have an Ebola case in 2026? No +187 $47 58¢ $109 +$62 10-23 13:15
Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by September 30, 2027? Yes +250 $104 40¢ $101 -$3 09-15 04:30
Ostium FDV above $100M one day after launch? No +94 $90 96¢ $90 +$1 11-02 21:59
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027? Yes +665 $90 13¢ $89 -$1 10-24 13:34
Felix Protocol FDV above $2B one day after launch? No +67 $65 98¢ $66 +$0 11-03 18:07
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.61% in November? No +62 $56 94¢ $59 +$3 11-11 14:59
Will the Republican Party win the MN-01 House seat? No +54 $52 98¢ $53 +$0 11-07 16:02
Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.65% in November? No +30 $26 88¢ $26 +$0 11-07 11:43
Will the Republican Party win the CA-23 House seat? Yes +23 $22 99¢ $23 +$1 11-07 20:39
Will the Democratic Party win the MN-01 House seat? Yes +19 $18 97¢ $18 +$1 11-05 05:18
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 45% or higher? Yes +193 $51 9¢ $17 -$33 11-01 21:57
Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? Yes +19 -$88 84¢ $16 +$104 11-03 14:45
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 45% or higher? No +16 $13 91¢ $15 +$1 11-06 09:24
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 40% or higher? Yes +176 $33 7¢ $13 -$20 11-10 15:45
Makina FDV above $100M one day after launch? No +13 $11 95¢ $12 +$1 11-02 16:46
Will Jayson Tatum win the 2026-27 NBA MVP? Yes +340 $10 3¢ $10 +$1 11-05 02:11
Will the Republican Party win the LA-06 House seat? Yes +10 $8 95¢ $9 +$2 05-29 11:45
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.7% before 2027? Yes +166 $10 6¢ $9 -$1 10-28 13:22
Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027? Yes +353 $51 2¢ $7 -$45 07-24 02:17