Knotty-Tenant — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$11

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

47.2%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$2.43K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$30

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-07

last 08-10 19:27

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

41% 0% $-23

Crypto

38% — —

Other

15% — —

Sports

7% 50% +$12

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	9	$580	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	01-10 10:30
bitcoin above 70k on february 11	6	$441	8,304	3,456	+4,848	open	—	02-11 14:30
bitcoin above 64k on february 11	3	$246	3,878	3,878	+0	open	—	02-11 14:20
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	5	$242	800	800	+0	open	—	01-23 13:59
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	4	$192	43,975	22,427	+21,548	open	—	06-03 23:53
Nuclear weapon detonation by June 30?	2	$163	32	1,231	-1,198	open	—	03-03 23:13
Nuclear weapon detonation by December 31?	5	$100	500	0	+500	open	—	03-04 01:03
Will Neymar be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	2	$87	250	250	+0	open	—	05-18 16:57
Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?	8	$62	0	427	-427	open	—	06-23 18:02
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?	2	$47	0	270	-270	open	—	06-18 13:47
Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$46	200	100	+100	open	—	06-09 14:16
Trump out as President before 2027?	2	$40	200	200	+0	open	—	06-15 19:51
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 26?	10	$33	685	1,059	-374	open	—	05-25 21:04
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?	4	$30	3,000	3,000	+0	open	—	06-29 22:18
UFC 328: Alexander Volkov vs. Waldo Cortes-Acosta (Heavyweight, Main Card)	1	$30	53	0	+53	Alexander Volkov	+$23	05-09 22:31
netanyahu out by march 31 854	1	$22	600	0	+600	open	—	03-17 20:46
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?	1	$20	0	350	-350	open	—	08-10 19:27
Will Trump say "Rare earth" or "Mineral" during events with Brazilian president?	1	$13	20	0	+20	No	$-13	05-07 12:45
Will Trump say "World Cup" during events with Brazilian president?	5	$11	28	0	+28	No	$-11	05-07 16:34
Will Trump say "Pelé" during events with Brazilian president?	4	$10	39	0	+39	No	$-10	05-07 16:14
Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	2	$9	82	0	+82	open	—	03-03 15:31
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?	1	$6	0	178	-178	open	—	06-18 13:47
Netanyahu out by June 30?	1	$0	0	132	-132	open	—	06-29 22:17

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-10 19:27:33	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?	No	SELL	350	6¢	$20	0x00169d…
06-29 22:18:10	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3,000	0¢	$3	0x052c0d…
06-29 22:17:59	Netanyahu out by June 30?	Yes	SELL	132	0¢	$0	0xb40742…
06-23 18:02:35	Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?	No	SELL	179	11¢	$19	0x70317d…
06-21 05:58:05	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	1¢	$9	0xd60a0a…
06-21 05:57:55	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	1¢	$9	0xb40063…
06-21 05:57:43	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	1¢	$9	0xcb78d0…
06-18 13:47:37	Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?	Yes	SELL	178	3¢	$6	0xb788ed…
06-18 13:47:13	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?	Yes	SELL	195	15¢	$30	0xfb530d…
06-15 19:51:30	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	SELL	200	9¢	$18	0x2adcb3…
06-15 03:10:33	Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?	No	SELL	1	15¢	$0	0xf88e60…
06-14 16:13:10	Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?	No	SELL	7	15¢	$1	0x162d73…
06-13 18:26:52	Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?	No	SELL	20	15¢	$3	0x7e7159…
06-13 18:26:21	Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?	No	SELL	4	15¢	$1	0xa658cd…
06-13 02:36:43	Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?	No	SELL	174	15¢	$26	0x1ae8fa…
06-12 18:10:49	Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?	No	SELL	1	15¢	$0	0x7c7e4c…
06-12 13:25:06	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?	Yes	SELL	76	23¢	$17	0x9f9d42…
06-09 14:16:19	Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	100	6¢	$6	0x539dee…
06-03 23:53:15	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	22,427	0¢	$45	0xecab12…
06-03 21:29:25	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11,645	0¢	$50	0x6269e9…
06-03 20:03:39	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	28,000	0¢	$84	0xa3f5a3…
06-03 19:55:21	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4,330	0¢	$13	0xb66946…
06-03 16:15:03	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	BUY	200	11¢	$22	0x29204b…
06-01 15:00:11	Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?	No	SELL	42	30¢	$13	0xa1fa45…
05-28 20:15:02	Will Neymar play in the World Cup?	No	BUY	200	20¢	$40	0xe86595…
05-25 21:04:17	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 26?	Yes	SELL	1,059	2¢	$17	0xd859f6…
05-25 20:32:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 26?	Yes	BUY	48	2¢	$1	0x0dd56c…
05-25 20:32:31	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 26?	Yes	BUY	351	2¢	$8	0x761fd2…
05-25 19:42:49	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 26?	Yes	BUY	31	2¢	$1	0xa596c8…
05-25 19:40:33	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 26?	Yes	BUY	26	2¢	$1	0x1cfe1c…
05-25 19:38:29	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 26?	Yes	BUY	57	2¢	$1	0xeb79e0…
05-25 19:32:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 26?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x31c439…
05-25 19:30:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 26?	Yes	BUY	96	2¢	$2	0x42ad58…
05-25 19:29:49	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 26?	Yes	BUY	26	2¢	$1	0x579823…
05-25 19:00:13	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 26?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x6ad288…
05-18 16:57:06	Will Neymar be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	No	SELL	250	15¢	$38	0xa71e57…
05-18 13:44:15	Will Neymar be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	No	BUY	250	20¢	$49	0x979d5a…
05-09 22:31:15	UFC 328: Alexander Volkov vs. Waldo Cortes-Acosta (Heavyweight, Main Card)	Alexander Volkov	BUY	53	57¢	$30	0x55bf97…
05-07 16:34:47	Will Trump say "World Cup" during events with Brazilian president?	Yes	BUY	0	38¢	$0	0x0d606a…
05-07 16:34:32	Will Trump say "World Cup" during events with Brazilian president?	Yes	BUY	22	38¢	$8	0xc55502…
05-07 16:14:52	Will Trump say "Pelé" during events with Brazilian president?	Yes	BUY	26	26¢	$7	0xdfe0e1…
05-07 15:40:46	Will Trump say "World Cup" during events with Brazilian president?	Yes	BUY	2	38¢	$1	0x61e9d5…
05-07 15:40:20	Will Trump say "World Cup" during events with Brazilian president?	Yes	BUY	0	38¢	$0	0x932c51…
05-07 14:27:04	Will Trump say "Pelé" during events with Brazilian president?	Yes	BUY	7	26¢	$2	0xd50528…
05-07 14:21:39	Will Trump say "Pelé" during events with Brazilian president?	Yes	BUY	1	26¢	$0	0x5faf35…
05-07 13:43:52	Will Trump say "World Cup" during events with Brazilian president?	Yes	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xa1093b…
05-07 13:42:34	Will Trump say "Pelé" during events with Brazilian president?	Yes	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x2d7588…
05-07 12:45:53	Will Trump say "Rare earth" or "Mineral" during events with Brazilian president?	Yes	BUY	20	64¢	$13	0x2dfbae…
03-17 20:46:49	netanyahu out by march 31 854	Yes	BUY	600	4¢	$22	0x2eca28…
03-04 01:03:31	Nuclear weapon detonation by December 31?	Yes	BUY	442	20¢	$88	0x54aa1f…
03-04 00:05:25	Nuclear weapon detonation by December 31?	Yes	BUY	7	20¢	$1	0xb75632…
03-03 23:13:01	Nuclear weapon detonation by June 30?	Yes	BUY	32	10¢	$3	0x0f64b5…
03-03 15:31:01	Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	Yes	BUY	50	11¢	$6	0x83039a…
03-03 15:30:41	Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	Yes	BUY	32	11¢	$3	0xce0f19…
03-03 14:50:03	Nuclear weapon detonation by December 31?	Yes	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0xf3b28e…
03-03 14:26:35	Nuclear weapon detonation by December 31?	Yes	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x92a225…
03-03 10:34:59	Nuclear weapon detonation by December 31?	Yes	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x89bb22…
02-26 08:02:06	Nuclear weapon detonation by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1,231	13¢	$160	0x6dd423…
02-11 14:30:55	bitcoin above 70k on february 11	Yes	SELL	903	4¢	$37	0xfa7e36…
02-11 14:28:27	bitcoin above 70k on february 11	Yes	SELL	25	4¢	$1	0x695287…
02-11 14:26:03	bitcoin above 70k on february 11	Yes	SELL	52	4¢	$2	0x8aeadd…
02-11 14:20:35	bitcoin above 64k on february 11	No	SELL	2,476	0¢	$11	0x872d0b…
02-11 14:15:55	bitcoin above 70k on february 11	Yes	SELL	400	9¢	$38	0x588c35…
02-11 14:12:23	bitcoin above 70k on february 11	Yes	SELL	2,076	8¢	$163	0x802853…
02-11 13:38:59	bitcoin above 64k on february 11	No	SELL	1,402	3¢	$35	0xdb749f…
02-11 12:52:39	bitcoin above 64k on february 11	No	BUY	3,878	5¢	$200	0xba00b5…
02-11 12:51:49	bitcoin above 70k on february 11	Yes	BUY	8,304	2¢	$200	0x898dbc…
01-23 13:59:34	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	Yes	SELL	200	5¢	$10	0x21951d…
01-14 13:25:34	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	Yes	SELL	200	22¢	$44	0x071eb9…
01-13 19:24:40	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	Yes	SELL	400	21¢	$84	0xc25082…
01-10 10:30:38	israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	Yes	SELL	500	28¢	$140	0xde8b6e…
01-10 10:27:48	israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	Yes	SELL	500	28¢	$140	0x646a0d…
01-10 10:01:52	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	Yes	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0xd9d589…
01-07 16:35:59	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	Yes	BUY	700	12¢	$84	0xcfcd17…
01-07 16:29:29	israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	Yes	BUY	459	30¢	$138	0x81e6d0…
01-07 16:29:21	israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	Yes	BUY	65	30¢	$19	0xbc3274…
01-07 16:29:19	israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	Yes	BUY	14	30¢	$4	0x5a18d2…
01-07 16:28:43	israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	Yes	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0xa102a5…
01-07 16:27:23	israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	Yes	BUY	131	30¢	$39	0x2457bd…
01-07 16:27:13	israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	Yes	BUY	50	30¢	$15	0x5fd630…
01-07 16:26:39	israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	Yes	BUY	248	30¢	$74	0x178eb3…