Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
+$255
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
2,587
lifetime
Volume
$92.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$36
Open exposure
$2.43K
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-22
last 06-10 06:07
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
74%
Other
25%
Sports
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
20 active days in 12wk • peak 287 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote? No -370 $-277 76¢ $-279 $-2 06-07 11:45
Yoon out of custody before 2027? No +200 $160 88¢ $176 +$16 06-10 00:03
Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026? No +190 $161 88¢ $167 +$5 06-10 00:45
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026? No -200 $-101 62¢ $-125 $-24 06-08 03:20
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30? No -157 $-130 76¢ $-119 +$11 06-06 04:55
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? No -124 $-98 83¢ $-103 $-5 05-29 15:02
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026? No +200 $93 52¢ $103 +$10 06-08 02:04
Will Donald Trump attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting? No -100 $-94 96¢ $-96 $-2 06-02 03:41
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30? No -100 $-98 96¢ $-96 +$2 06-04 16:51
Will the Referendum on the Civilian Service Act be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote? No +200 $83 46¢ $93 +$10 06-02 15:56
Will Russia enter Orikhiv by July 31? No -100 $-84 86¢ $-86 $-2 05-31 07:42
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? No -98 $-84 87¢ $-85 $-1 05-30 20:58
Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30? No +87 $82 95¢ $83 +$1 06-03 17:19
Will Marco Rubio attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting? No +90 $73 91¢ $82 +$9 06-01 13:14
Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026? No -100 $-77 75¢ $-75 +$2 05-29 05:59
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? No -100 $-79 74¢ $-74 +$5 06-09 08:15
Will Jared Kushner attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting? No +97 $69 72¢ $71 +$2 06-10 03:23
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? No -100 $-74 68¢ $-69 +$6 06-04 19:33
US x Cuba military clash in 2026? No +97 $51 60¢ $58 +$7 06-09 13:09
Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30? No +85 $52 64¢ $55 +$3 06-10 01:51
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? No -100 $-54 52¢ $-52 +$2 06-02 00:46
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30? No +74 $31 69¢ $51 +$20 06-09 21:01
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30? No -57 $-196 88¢ $-50 +$146 06-09 07:29
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +100 $51 44¢ $44 $-7 05-29 03:24
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? No +58 $-1 75¢ $43 +$44 06-09 01:18
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31? No +34 $19 66¢ $23 +$4 05-30 19:03
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026? No -23 $-20 90¢ $-21 $-1 05-29 06:42
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026? No -22 $-20 96¢ $-21 $-1 05-28 01:54
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? No +100 $19 18¢ $18 $-0 06-09 19:18
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? No -19 $-12 86¢ $-16 $-4 05-28 06:13