Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
+$33
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
3,242
lifetime
Volume
$114.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$35
Open exposure
$1.13K
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-22
last 07-17 09:13
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
76%
Other
23%
Sports
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
25 active days in 12wk • peak 287 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Yoon out of custody before 2027? No +200 $160 90¢ $179 +$19 06-10 00:03
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? No -124 $-98 91¢ $-113 $-15 05-29 15:02
Will Russia enter Orikhiv by July 31? No -100 $-84 99¢ $-99 $-15 05-31 07:42
U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027? No +100 $88 90¢ $90 +$2 07-07 16:04
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? No -98 $-84 92¢ $-90 $-6 05-30 20:58
Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026? No -100 $-77 87¢ $-87 $-10 05-29 05:59
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? No -100 $-74 77¢ $-77 $-3 06-04 19:33
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? No -100 $-79 74¢ $-73 +$5 06-09 08:15
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +100 $51 66¢ $66 +$14 05-29 03:24
US x Cuba military clash in 2026? No +75 $37 70¢ $52 +$15 06-11 12:05
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? No -100 $-56 46¢ $-46 +$9 06-10 18:07
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31? No +34 $19 81¢ $28 +$9 05-30 19:03
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026? No -23 $-20 92¢ $-21 $-1 05-29 06:42
SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026? No -20 $-16 89¢ $-18 $-1 06-05 17:47
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? No +47 $20 26¢ $12 $-8 05-28 02:07
Kash Patel out by December 31? No -17 $-11 63¢ $-11 +$0 06-04 17:16
Will Utah use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? No +82 $8 12¢ $9 +$1 06-02 17:36
Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026? No -10 $-19 90¢ $-9 +$10 06-12 12:46
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? No -12 $-8 75¢ $-9 $-1 06-01 17:10
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026? No -13 $-7 68¢ $-9 $-1 06-01 07:41
Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +8 $7 92¢ $7 +$0 05-29 07:51
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? No +100 $19 $6 $-13 06-09 19:18
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +7 $-6 78¢ $6 +$11 06-12 17:46
Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15? No -99 $-26 $-4 +$22 06-10 14:17
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? No -5 $-8 60¢ $-3 +$5 06-01 11:34
Romanian parliament dissolved by July 31? No +1 $1 99¢ $1 +$0 06-10 02:17
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? No +1 $0 70¢ $1 +$0 06-08 00:59
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026? No +0 $-15 43¢ $0 +$16 06-02 16:06
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? No +81 $32 $0 $-32 06-12 16:56
Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by December 31? No +5 $0 $0 $-0 06-12 00:16