Realized P&L
+$5.73K
Unrealized P&L
+$77
Hit rate
87.8%
Resolved
483
Trades
6,429
lifetime
Volume
$209.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$33
Open exposure
$2.66K
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-22
last 10-08 18:19
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 72 days
Categories
Politics
70% 67% +$3,550
Other
29% 77% +$1,542
Sports
1% 100% +$635
Crypto
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
2 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in October? No +594 $575 100¢ $593 +$18 10-08 18:19
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +397 $336 92¢ $363 +$27 07-20 12:03
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +272 $262 98¢ $267 +$5 09-07 09:07
Yoon out of custody before 2027? No +200 $160 97¢ $194 +$34 06-10 00:03
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31? No +174 $112 88¢ $154 +$41 05-30 19:03
U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027? No +100 $88 96¢ $96 +$8 07-07 16:04
Will Oman join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +100 $88 95¢ $95 +$7 05-26 09:46
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +200 $136 46¢ $92 -$44 06-05 02:08
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +100 $51 92¢ $92 +$40 05-29 03:24
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 51 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? No +100 $86 90¢ $90 +$4 05-23 16:05
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +100 $86 88¢ $88 +$2 06-10 08:56
Will the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026? No +100 $63 84¢ $84 +$21 06-03 03:53
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +100 $75 83¢ $83 +$8 05-30 22:40
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? No +123 $82 62¢ $77 -$5 06-06 03:17
US x Cuba military clash in 2026? No +75 $34 86¢ $65 +$30 06-11 12:05
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? No +145 $86 29¢ $41 -$45 06-04 17:46
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 No +200 $72 19¢ $38 -$34 05-23 20:43
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? No +42 $37 90¢ $38 +$1 05-23 12:19
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? No +200 $62 14¢ $29 -$33 05-25 00:26
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +100 $33 21¢ $21 -$12 06-02 13:16
Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026? No +42 $27 34¢ $14 -$13 06-09 23:41
Kash Patel out by December 31? No -17 -$11 80¢ $-14 -$3 06-04 17:16
Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +8 $7 94¢ $8 +$1 05-29 07:51
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +7 -$22 88¢ $6 +$28 06-12 17:46
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? No +24 $20 20¢ $5 -$15 06-07 01:22
Will Utah use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? No +100 $10 4¢ $4 -$6 06-02 17:36
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No +4 $2 89¢ $4 +$1 05-24 00:52
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +3 $1 79¢ $3 +$2 06-03 17:12
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? No +1 $0 92¢ $1 +$0 06-08 00:59
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No +0 -$9 74¢ $0 +$9 06-05 06:13