Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
+$410
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
3,237
lifetime
Volume
$114.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$35
Open exposure
$1.59K
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-22
last 06-12 18:03
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
76%
Other
23%
Sports
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
22 active days in 12wk • peak 287 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Yoon out of custody before 2027? No +200 $160 87¢ $173 +$13 06-10 00:03
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? No -124 $-98 90¢ $-113 $-14 05-29 15:02
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30? No -100 $-98 100¢ $-100 $-2 06-04 16:51
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No +100 $83 100¢ $100 +$17 06-12 17:20
Will Russia enter Orikhiv by July 31? No -100 $-84 94¢ $-94 $-10 05-31 07:42
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? No -100 $-79 90¢ $-89 $-11 06-09 08:15
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? No -98 $-84 90¢ $-88 $-3 05-30 20:58
Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30? No +87 $82 100¢ $87 +$5 06-03 17:19
Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30? No +85 $52 100¢ $85 +$33 06-10 01:51
Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026? No -100 $-77 82¢ $-82 $-5 05-29 05:59
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? No -100 $-74 72¢ $-72 +$3 06-04 19:33
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +100 $51 68¢ $68 +$17 05-29 03:24
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? No +58 $-11 99¢ $57 +$68 06-12 06:23
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30? No -57 $-209 100¢ $-57 +$152 06-11 22:44
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30? No +54 $17 100¢ $54 +$37 06-10 13:10
US x Cuba military clash in 2026? No +75 $37 58¢ $44 +$7 06-11 12:05
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30? No +43 $-3 97¢ $42 +$44 06-12 14:18
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? No -100 $-56 34¢ $-34 +$21 06-10 18:07
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31? No +34 $19 70¢ $24 +$5 05-30 19:03
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026? No -23 $-20 92¢ $-21 $-1 05-29 06:42
SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026? No -20 $-16 78¢ $-16 +$1 06-05 17:47
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026? No -13 $-15 100¢ $-13 +$2 06-11 20:36
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? No +47 $20 26¢ $12 $-8 05-28 02:07
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026? No +11 $-13 100¢ $11 +$24 06-11 02:26
Kash Patel out by December 31? No -17 $-11 58¢ $-10 +$1 06-04 17:16
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No +10 $-9 100¢ $10 +$19 06-12 14:37
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? No +100 $19 10¢ $10 $-10 06-09 19:18
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026? No -13 $-7 72¢ $-9 $-2 06-01 07:41
Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026? No -10 $-19 90¢ $-9 +$10 06-12 12:46
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? No -12 $-8 71¢ $-9 $-0 06-01 17:10