Realized P&L (7d)
+$50
Unrealized P&L
+$116
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved (7d)
2
Trades (7d)
0
6,429 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$0
$209.6K lifetime
Avg / trade
$33
Open exposure
$2.10K
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-22
last 10-08 18:19
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 73 days
Categories
Politics
70% 67% +$3,550
Other
29% 77% +$1,542
Sports
1% 100% +$635
Crypto
0% 100% +$19
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
2 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +397 $336 94¢ $375 +$39 07-20 12:03
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +272 $262 98¢ $267 +$5 09-07 09:07
Yoon out of custody before 2027? No +200 $160 97¢ $194 +$34 06-10 00:03
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31? No +174 $112 89¢ $155 +$42 05-30 19:03
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +200 $136 57¢ $114 -$22 06-05 02:08
Will Oman join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +100 $88 95¢ $95 +$7 05-26 09:46
U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027? No +100 $88 94¢ $94 +$6 07-07 16:04
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 51 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? No +100 $86 93¢ $93 +$7 05-23 16:05
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +100 $51 89¢ $89 +$38 05-29 03:24
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +100 $86 88¢ $88 +$3 06-10 08:56
Will the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026? No +100 $63 86¢ $86 +$24 06-03 03:53
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +100 $75 84¢ $84 +$8 05-30 22:40
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? No +123 $82 68¢ $83 +$1 06-06 03:17
US x Cuba military clash in 2026? No +75 $34 83¢ $63 +$28 06-11 12:05
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? No +145 $86 30¢ $44 -$42 06-04 17:46
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? No +42 $37 89¢ $38 +$0 05-23 12:19
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 No +200 $72 18¢ $37 -$35 05-23 20:43
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? No +200 $62 14¢ $29 -$33 05-25 00:26
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +100 $33 16¢ $16 -$17 06-02 13:16
Kash Patel out by December 31? No -17 -$11 83¢ $-14 -$3 06-04 17:16
Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026? No +42 $27 29¢ $12 -$15 06-09 23:41
Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +8 $7 96¢ $8 +$1 05-29 07:51
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +7 -$22 90¢ $6 +$29 06-12 17:46
Will Utah use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? No +100 $10 6¢ $6 -$5 06-02 17:36
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? No +24 $20 20¢ $5 -$16 06-07 01:22
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No +4 $2 92¢ $4 +$1 05-24 00:52
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +3 $1 75¢ $3 +$2 06-03 17:12
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? No +1 $0 92¢ $1 +$0 06-08 00:59
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No +0 -$9 82¢ $0 +$9 06-05 06:13
Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? No +0 -$18 56¢ $0 +$18 06-08 10:26