Prize-Monastery 0xcd7649…c877bd Create alert
whale 11W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L (30d)
-$58
Unrealized P&L
+$170
Hit rate
90.4%
Resolved (30d)
21
Trades (30d)
1
6,429 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$575
$209.6K lifetime
Avg / trade
$33
Open exposure
$2.07K
29 positions
First seen
2026-05-22
last 10-08 18:19
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 74 days
Categories
Politics
70% 67% +$3,464
Other
29% 77% +$1,542
Sports
1% 100% +$635
Crypto
0% 100% +$19
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
2 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +397 $336 94¢ $375 +$39 07-20 12:03
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +272 $262 98¢ $266 +$4 09-07 09:07
Yoon out of custody before 2027? No +200 $160 97¢ $194 +$34 06-10 00:03
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31? No +174 $112 91¢ $158 +$46 05-30 19:03
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +200 $136 58¢ $117 -$18 06-05 02:08
Will Oman join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +100 $88 96¢ $96 +$8 05-26 09:46
U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027? No +100 $88 94¢ $94 +$6 07-07 16:04
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 51 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? No +100 $86 94¢ $94 +$8 05-23 16:05
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? No +123 $82 74¢ $91 +$8 06-06 03:17
Will the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026? No +100 $63 88¢ $88 +$26 06-03 03:53
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +100 $86 88¢ $88 +$2 06-10 08:56
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +100 $51 86¢ $86 +$35 05-29 03:24
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +100 $75 85¢ $85 +$9 05-30 22:40
US x Cuba military clash in 2026? No +75 $34 89¢ $67 +$33 06-11 12:05
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? No +42 $37 90¢ $38 +$1 05-23 12:19
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 No +200 $72 18¢ $36 -$36 05-23 20:43
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? No +200 $62 14¢ $29 -$33 05-25 00:26
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +100 $33 16¢ $16 -$17 06-02 13:16
Kash Patel out by December 31? No -17 -$11 84¢ $-14 -$3 06-04 17:16
Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026? No +42 $27 27¢ $12 -$15 06-09 23:41
Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +8 $7 96¢ $8 +$1 05-29 07:51
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +7 -$22 95¢ $7 +$29 06-12 17:46
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? No +24 $20 18¢ $4 -$16 06-07 01:22
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No +4 $2 92¢ $4 +$1 05-24 00:52
Will Utah use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? No +100 $10 2¢ $2 -$8 06-02 17:36
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +3 $1 67¢ $2 +$1 06-03 17:12
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? No +1 $0 96¢ $1 +$0 06-08 00:59
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No +0 -$9 82¢ $0 +$9 06-05 06:13
Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? No +0 -$18 55¢ $0 +$18 06-08 10:26