Realized P&L (90d)
+$208
Unrealized P&L
-$52
Hit rate
90.7%
Resolved (90d)
46
Trades (90d)
2
6,389 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$837
$208.2K lifetime
Avg / trade
$33
Open exposure
$1.24K
24 positions
First seen
2026-05-22
last 10-08 18:19
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 75 days
Categories
Politics
70% 68% +$3,647
Other
29% 77% +$1,545
Sports
1% 100% +$635
Crypto
0% 100% +$19
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
2 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +272 $262 98¢ $267 +$5 09-07 09:07
Yoon out of custody before 2027? No +200 $160 97¢ $194 +$34 06-10 00:03
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31? No +174 $112 91¢ $158 +$46 05-30 19:03
Will Oman join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +100 $88 96¢ $96 +$8 05-26 09:46
U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027? No +100 $88 94¢ $94 +$6 07-07 16:04
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +100 $86 92¢ $92 +$7 06-10 08:56
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +100 $51 87¢ $87 +$36 05-29 03:24
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +100 $75 86¢ $86 +$11 05-30 22:40
US x Cuba military clash in 2026? No +75 $34 90¢ $68 +$34 06-11 12:05
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 No +200 $72 12¢ $24 -$48 05-23 20:43
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? No +200 $62 9¢ $18 -$44 05-25 00:26
Kash Patel out by December 31? No -17 -$11 80¢ $-14 -$3 06-04 17:16
Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026? No +42 $27 24¢ $10 -$17 06-09 23:41
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +100 $33 8¢ $8 -$24 06-02 13:16
Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +8 $7 96¢ $8 +$1 05-29 07:51
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +7 -$22 92¢ $6 +$29 06-12 17:46
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No +4 $2 96¢ $4 +$2 05-24 00:52
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? No +24 $20 12¢ $3 -$17 06-07 01:22
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +3 $1 71¢ $2 +$1 06-03 17:12
Will Utah use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? No +100 $10 2¢ $2 -$9 06-02 17:36
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? No +1 $0 96¢ $1 +$0 06-08 00:59
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +200 $136 0¢ $0 -$135 06-05 02:08
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No +0 -$9 78¢ $0 +$9 06-05 06:13
Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? No +0 -$18 55¢ $0 +$18 06-08 10:26