Realized P&L
+$1
Unrealized P&L
+$98
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved
2
Trades
347
lifetime
Volume
$23.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$68
Open exposure
$2.94K
8 positions
First seen
2026-02-05
last 06-09 16:50
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Other
53% 100% +$1
Politics
44% 100% +$0
Sports
1%
Tech
1%
Crypto
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
41 active days in 12wk • peak 141 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No -1,102 $-1,085 99¢ $-1088 $-3 06-09 00:35
Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15? Yes +1,119 $849 84¢ $945 +$97 06-09 16:50
Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027? No -400 $-380 96¢ $-386 $-6 06-08 21:30
Will Lionel Messi play in the World Cup? Yes -200 $-194 98¢ $-196 $-2 06-01 05:12
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? No -104 $-102 99¢ $-103 $-1 06-07 16:09
Netanyahu out by June 30? No -100 $-98 98¢ $-98 $-0 06-08 12:45
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? Yes +100 $75 82¢ $82 +$7 05-29 01:58
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30? No +50 $40 92¢ $46 +$5 05-28 20:07