Dental-Liquid — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$144.6K

Unrealized P&L

+$10.6K

Hit rate

84.8%

Resolved

401

Trades

5,771

lifetime

Volume

$9.16M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$1.59K

Open exposure

$851.8K

15 positions

First seen

2026-01-16

last 10-26 18:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 134 days

Categories

Politics

74% 73% +$204,860

Other

25% 83% -$52,861

Sports

2% 67% -$7,389

Crypto

0% 100% +$21

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

71 active days in 12wk • peak 165 trades/day

Open positions (15) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	-659,457	-$535,755	80¢	$-530863	+$4,892	10-26 17:25
US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	+109,652	$104,140	99¢	$108.2K	+$4,032	10-26 03:48
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	+78,324	$72,875	92¢	$71.7K	-$1,208	10-26 18:41
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	+60,158	$54,190	92¢	$55.6K	+$1,456	10-26 18:45
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in October?	No	+31,960	$30,827	97¢	$30.9K	+$63	10-26 18:54
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 27?	Yes	+21,021	$19,901	97¢	$20.4K	+$489	10-26 18:55
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	+12,031	$11,131	92¢	$11.0K	-$123	10-26 05:31
bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by december 31 983 117	No	+9,497	$7,982	85¢	$8.1K	+$91	10-26 17:18
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in October?	No	+6,297	$6,207	98¢	$6.1K	-$65	10-26 17:15
will wti reach 110 in october 2026	No	+4,989	$4,221	88¢	$4.4K	+$194	10-26 18:53
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October?	No	+2,415	$2,357	97¢	$2.4K	-$3	10-26 03:48
Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027?	No	-1,648	-$1,567	97¢	$-1593	-$26	05-22 01:58
US x Cuba military clash in 2026?	No	+607	$136	84¢	$513	+$377	10-20 21:41
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	No	-110	-$102	98¢	$-107	-$5	05-21 16:56
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	Yes	+0	-$447	100¢	$0	+$448	10-24 23:51

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	340	$948.3K	247,071	906,528	-659,457	open	—	10-26 17:25
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	179	$696.7K	563,437	416,680	+146,757	No	+$10,963	10-26 03:04
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	58	$251.6K	371,846	0	+371,846	Yes	+$120,293	02-28 19:55
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	97	$217.5K	140,342	140,342	+0	Yes	+$44,992	04-21 19:50
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	32	$216.6K	131,722	131,722	+0	Yes	+$26,212	04-06 14:09
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	77	$193.8K	123,450	123,450	+0	Yes	+$41,609	04-21 18:27
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá?	53	$190.5K	235,825	34,721	+201,104	No	-$142,595	10-25 21:50
israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519 798 243	15	$185.1K	93,173	93,173	+0	Yes	+$966	08-03 15:22
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 21?	46	$181.9K	94,249	94,168	+81	Yes	+$5,300	10-22 05:59
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	64	$167.5K	161,321	161,321	+0	Yes	-$73,379	10-25 22:44
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	86	$151.4K	91,100	91,100	+0	Yes	+$23,257	04-21 19:03
US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31?	12	$148.2K	133,084	23,432	+109,652	open	—	10-26 03:48
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	31	$140.4K	79,409	79,409	+0	No	+$10,485	04-06 20:15
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?	121	$126.5K	75,670	68,843	+6,827	No	+$14,746	06-16 03:39
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	70	$125.3K	68,316	67,504	+813	No	+$9,815	03-31 18:34
will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	98	$115.2K	72,157	72,946	-789	No	+$8,584	03-31 22:00
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?	33	$108.1K	91,738	20,283	+71,455	Yes	+$3,917	10-15 21:04
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	46	$105.8K	94,883	57,857	+37,026	Yes	+$31,380	04-08 01:05
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?	44	$101.7K	56,125	55,834	+292	No	+$6,876	04-19 17:38
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	48	$98.7K	52,202	52,202	+0	Yes	+$5,402	08-10 01:23
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	300	$97.0K	196,439	0	+196,439	Yes	+$99,422	02-19 03:53
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	22	$92.9K	52,606	52,600	+6	No	+$768	04-30 00:16
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	129	$91.1K	71,062	43,967	+27,095	No	+$16,505	07-01 15:31
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	10	$90.4K	87,862	9,538	+78,324	open	—	10-26 18:41
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?	54	$87.5K	94,996	4,537	+90,459	No	+$11,549	07-31 02:45
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?	22	$87.2K	45,599	45,599	+0	Yes	+$3,925	09-02 00:26
will israel conduct military action against iran by april 14 2026	35	$83.0K	46,578	46,578	+0	No	+$8,952	04-15 18:22
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	157	$78.5K	103,411	124,488	-21,077	Yes	-$41,344	02-07 19:17
will israel conduct military action against iran by april 21 2026	30	$77.3K	42,558	41,901	+657	No	+$6,770	04-23 10:20
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	33	$76.1K	60,678	60,678	+0	Yes	+$12,293	04-08 00:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 18:55:41	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 27?	Yes	BUY	812	97¢	$792	0xab16b2…
10-26 18:54:17	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in October?	No	BUY	2,085	96¢	$2,000	0xb164cf…
10-26 18:53:51	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?	No	BUY	105	84¢	$88	0x1d3fa5…
10-26 18:45:27	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	1,051	92¢	$967	0xacab09…
10-26 18:42:38	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 27?	Yes	BUY	2,152	98¢	$2,100	0xa358b4…
10-26 18:41:59	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	3,055	92¢	$2,811	0x0c02de…
10-26 18:41:30	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	1,654	91¢	$1,505	0xa89810…
10-26 18:41:17	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	7,884	92¢	$7,253	0x21ad6c…
10-26 17:25:21	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	26,413	92¢	$24,300	0x666344…
10-26 17:25:05	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	30,000	81¢	$24,300	0x19b4d8…
10-26 17:18:27	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?	No	BUY	2,359	86¢	$2,029	0x191ce3…
10-26 17:18:08	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	2,505	81¢	$2,029	0xde4aac…
10-26 17:16:15	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?	No	BUY	1,270	83¢	$1,054	0x4077aa…
10-26 17:15:48	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in October?	No	SELL	1,080	98¢	$1,054	0x50ed9f…
10-26 17:08:08	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	738	92¢	$678	0xcb8a67…
10-26 17:07:50	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?	No	SELL	797	85¢	$677	0x8b8b15…
10-26 12:12:11	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 27?	Yes	BUY	470	97¢	$456	0xb007ab…
10-26 05:31:59	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	1,566	92¢	$1,441	0x44a2da…
10-26 05:31:42	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	2,111	92¢	$1,942	0x96551a…
10-26 03:53:15	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	26,032	93¢	$24,210	0x93d6ad…
10-26 03:50:41	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in October?	No	BUY	6,338	98¢	$6,242	0xe243cb…
10-26 03:50:09	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	21,505	93¢	$20,000	0x831720…
10-26 03:49:27	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	4,993	90¢	$4,490	0xbb0bed…
10-26 03:48:50	US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	584	97¢	$568	0xd1434b…
10-26 03:48:06	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October?	No	BUY	1,996	98¢	$1,948	0xbc1908…
10-26 03:47:12	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October?	No	BUY	419	98¢	$409	0x5c978b…
10-26 03:43:12	US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	51,020	98¢	$50,000	0xc72c91…
10-26 03:41:24	Israel military action against Iraq by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	21	91¢	$19	0xeff340…
10-26 03:40:12	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	631	89¢	$562	0x239c10…
10-26 03:39:32	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	10,753	93¢	$10,000	0xb613b9…
10-26 03:38:54	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in October?	No	BUY	1,017	98¢	$1,000	0x42d700…
10-26 03:36:20	US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	1,782	98¢	$1,746	0xa9500d…
10-26 03:36:11	US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	28,571	98¢	$28,000	0x517185…
10-26 03:05:45	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	6,274	93¢	$5,835	0x04425b…
10-26 03:05:15	US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	4,396	96¢	$4,220	0x2fd487…
10-26 03:04:14	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	10,000	100¢	$9,990	0x72c0c5…
10-26 03:02:41	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	20,430	93¢	$19,000	0x1cf481…
10-26 03:01:39	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?	No	BUY	305	87¢	$265	0x66e539…
10-26 03:01:12	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?	No	BUY	1,074	86¢	$924	0x32bb4c…
10-26 02:59:27	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?	No	BUY	1,022	85¢	$869	0x18a8f4…
10-26 02:57:06	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	4,190	92¢	$3,855	0x753efa…
10-26 02:56:50	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	3,299	92¢	$3,035	0x2dab86…
10-26 02:56:15	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	3,448	92¢	$3,185	0x96302a…
10-26 02:55:38	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	284	92¢	$261	0xad6bf4…
10-26 02:54:57	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in October?	No	BUY	408	96¢	$394	0x7f17f7…
10-26 02:53:38	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?	No	BUY	7,935	84¢	$6,665	0x036564…
10-26 02:53:00	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	34,786	100¢	$34,751	0xdd9501…
10-26 02:43:47	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in October?	No	BUY	21	98¢	$21	0xdeee3c…
10-26 02:43:27	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in October?	No	BUY	22,798	96¢	$22,000	0xc774a3…
10-26 02:43:12	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	20,000	100¢	$19,980	0x1fec5b…
10-26 02:42:47	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?	No	BUY	327	85¢	$278	0x63aaf6…
10-26 02:41:38	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	8,618	89¢	$7,670	0xbaa52a…
10-26 02:41:24	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	10,000	100¢	$9,990	0xb74299…
10-26 02:40:26	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	3,188	89¢	$2,837	0xa9ab7d…
10-26 02:39:02	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 27?	Yes	BUY	2,219	96¢	$2,130	0xa87ccf…
10-26 02:38:20	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 27?	Yes	BUY	30	95¢	$28	0xc7b7f3…
10-26 02:38:08	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	5,000	100¢	$4,995	0x0bf78f…
10-26 02:37:03	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in October?	No	BUY	6,669	96¢	$6,435	0xfe4114…
10-26 02:36:36	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?	No	BUY	520	84¢	$437	0xb74ba1…
10-26 02:35:38	US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	14,335	95¢	$13,618	0x71988e…
10-26 02:35:24	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	20,000	100¢	$19,980	0xcf420b…
10-26 02:34:51	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 27?	Yes	BUY	140	95¢	$133	0x7b4dbf…
10-26 02:34:41	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 27?	Yes	BUY	8,893	95¢	$8,448	0xc4651a…
10-26 02:34:23	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	156	88¢	$137	0xeddbfd…
10-26 02:34:09	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 27?	Yes	BUY	811	94¢	$762	0x769055…
10-26 02:33:56	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	10,000	100¢	$9,990	0xd33a0a…
10-26 01:30:27	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 27?	Yes	BUY	269	94¢	$253	0x6a62d1…
10-25 23:27:11	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	103	94¢	$97	0x458fd0…
10-25 23:13:36	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	726	13¢	$97	0xac31c6…
10-25 23:13:33	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	871	87¢	$755	0xf99053…
10-25 23:12:11	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	23,010	87¢	$20,000	0xfc8199…
10-25 23:12:02	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	22,879	87¢	$20,000	0x3cf6c7…
10-25 23:11:54	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	23,034	87¢	$20,000	0xe67faa…
10-25 23:11:44	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	23,268	86¢	$20,000	0xac802b…
10-25 23:11:36	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	23,280	86¢	$20,000	0xc1a6ae…
10-25 23:11:27	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	23,278	86¢	$20,000	0x3b6ad3…
10-25 23:11:18	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	11,628	86¢	$10,000	0xeba07b…
10-25 23:11:09	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	23,014	87¢	$20,000	0x1b6f2f…
10-25 23:10:59	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	21,983	86¢	$19,000	0x1723c1…
10-25 23:10:50	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	16,204	86¢	$14,000	0x046404…
10-25 23:10:38	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	16,191	86¢	$14,000	0x704aa5…
10-25 23:10:27	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	11,431	87¢	$10,000	0xd9c5fc…
10-25 23:10:15	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	11,468	87¢	$10,000	0x4baf68…
10-25 23:09:53	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	4,900	88¢	$4,306	0x38d295…
10-25 22:44:17	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	94	33¢	$31	0xb7b6d4…
10-25 22:43:11	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	1,100	30¢	$334	0xa4fcda…
10-25 22:41:53	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	20	30¢	$6	0x131c97…
10-25 22:41:44	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	1,259	30¢	$378	0x1a7d5b…
10-25 22:41:09	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	1,000	28¢	$284	0xc75b2e…
10-25 22:40:45	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	600	29¢	$175	0xcfb92d…
10-25 22:40:24	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	2,000	29¢	$582	0x044033…
10-25 22:39:41	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	2,000	30¢	$600	0x33842c…
10-25 22:38:21	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	2,000	31¢	$621	0xfe5c1d…
10-25 22:38:09	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	5,000	31¢	$1,555	0xb1f112…
10-25 22:37:44	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	4,197	31¢	$1,301	0x8d8453…
10-25 22:37:38	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	2,000	31¢	$620	0xbfb745…
10-25 22:36:27	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	3,000	33¢	$985	0x6d8c8f…
10-25 22:36:06	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	80	33¢	$26	0x89e78d…
10-25 22:35:53	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	2,672	32¢	$855	0x05518c…
10-25 22:35:20	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	10,000	33¢	$3,265	0x575e52…