Realized P&L
+$57
Unrealized P&L
+$2.86K
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved
3
Trades
3,481
lifetime
Volume
$4.18M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1.20K
Open exposure
$322.2K
15 positions
First seen
2026-01-16
last 06-29 21:56
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Politics
70% 100% +$16
Other
28% 100% +$41
Sports
1%
Crypto
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
51 active days in 12wk • peak 270 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -234,954 $-189,275 86¢ $-203235 $-13,960 06-26 10:03
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? No +44,045 $30,355 100¢ $43.8K +$13,492 06-29 17:32
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No +21,567 $16,852 86¢ $18.4K +$1,588 06-23 09:05
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? No +15,943 $13,764 90¢ $14.3K +$505 06-24 16:07
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? No +15,582 $12,176 84¢ $13.0K +$835 06-23 11:29
Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15? Yes +7,876 $7,019 93¢ $7.4K +$334 06-24 16:06
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +6,893 $5,239 84¢ $5.8K +$516 06-17 03:54
Will Brazil reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? No +6,303 $5,396 82¢ $5.2K $-196 06-29 19:06
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? Yes +3,802 $3,245 90¢ $3.4K +$196 06-16 01:06
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? No +2,784 $2,680 90¢ $2.5K $-161 06-16 12:37
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026? No -2,246 $-2,016 100¢ $-2235 $-219 06-08 13:48
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +2,624 $1,623 60¢ $1.6K $-48 06-26 10:04
US x Cuba military clash in 2026? No +1,465 $900 60¢ $872 $-28 06-26 09:57
Will Fernando Haddad qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? No +454 $421 94¢ $428 +$7 06-16 01:07
Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? Yes +102 $70 68¢ $69 $-1 06-16 01:07