Realized P&L
+$57
Unrealized P&L
+$31.9K
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved
3
Trades
3,872
lifetime
Volume
$4.79M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1.24K
Open exposure
$309.6K
13 positions
First seen
2026-01-16
last 07-20 14:25
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Politics
68% 100% +$16
Other
31% 100% +$41
Sports
1%
Crypto
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
50 active days in 12wk • peak 270 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -350,060 $-283,104 72¢ $-253793 +$29,311 07-13 11:59
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? No +21,041 $18,192 78¢ $16.3K $-1,885 07-13 12:22
Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15? Yes +14,489 $13,403 97¢ $14.0K +$593 07-16 08:03
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +11,827 $8,414 68¢ $8.0K $-431 07-13 12:08
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No +9,305 $6,264 86¢ $8.0K +$1,692 07-14 08:43
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? Yes +3,630 $3,080 93¢ $3.4K +$312 07-09 03:43
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +2,441 $1,374 88¢ $2.1K +$762 07-16 08:02
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? No +2,240 $1,621 70¢ $1.6K $-64 07-13 12:50
US x Cuba military clash in 2026? No +1,465 $900 68¢ $1.0K +$103 06-26 09:57
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31? No +1,064 $840 82¢ $878 +$38 07-13 12:06
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026? No +597 $494 86¢ $517 +$23 07-16 08:01
Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? Yes +102 $70 82¢ $84 +$14 06-16 01:07
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? No +2 $-1,473 86¢ $2 +$1,475 07-13 07:16