Realized P&L (90d)
-$131.9K
Unrealized P&L
+$4.88K
Hit rate
83.2%
Resolved (90d)
129
Trades (90d)
1,508
5,764 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$3.91M
$9.14M lifetime
Avg / trade
$1.59K
Open exposure
$853.1K
14 positions
First seen
2026-01-16
last 10-27 04:29
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 134 days
Categories
Politics
74% 73% +$204,860
Other
25% 83% -$52,861
Sports
2% 67% -$7,389
Crypto
0% 100% +$21
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
71 active days in 12wk • peak 165 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -659,457 -$535,755 82¢ $-537458 -$1,702 10-26 17:25
US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +109,652 $104,140 98¢ $107.8K +$3,703 10-26 03:48
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +78,324 $72,875 92¢ $71.7K -$1,208 10-26 18:41
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +60,158 $54,190 94¢ $56.2K +$2,058 10-26 18:45
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in October? No +31,960 $30,827 97¢ $31.1K +$302 10-26 18:54
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 27? Yes +21,021 $19,901 98¢ $20.6K +$699 10-26 18:55
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +12,031 $11,131 92¢ $11.0K -$123 10-26 05:31
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? No +9,497 $7,982 84¢ $8.0K +$43 10-26 17:18
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October? No +4,989 $4,221 91¢ $4.5K +$319 10-26 18:53
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October? No +2,415 $2,357 98¢ $2.4K +$3 10-26 03:48
Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027? No -1,648 -$1,567 97¢ $-1597 -$30 05-22 01:58
US x Cuba military clash in 2026? No +607 $136 84¢ $513 +$377 10-20 21:41
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No -110 -$102 98¢ $-107 -$5 05-21 16:56
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24? Yes +0 -$447 100¢ $0 +$448 10-24 23:51