Realized P&L (7d)
-$201.6K
Unrealized P&L
+$1.99K
Hit rate
67.1%
Resolved (7d)
13
Trades (7d)
322
5,836 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$1.21M
$9.28M lifetime
Avg / trade
$1.59K
Open exposure
$871.6K
19 positions
First seen
2026-01-16
last 10-29 13:40
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 135 days
Categories
Politics
74% 73% +$205,308
Other
25% 83% -$52,861
Sports
2% 67% -$7,389
Crypto
0% 100% +$21
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
70 active days in 12wk • peak 152 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -659,457 -$535,755 82¢ $-544052 -$8,297 10-26 17:25
US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +106,652 $101,173 98¢ $104.8K +$3,613 10-28 02:05
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +87,969 $80,752 96¢ $84.0K +$3,259 10-29 13:38
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +58,324 $54,675 94¢ $54.5K -$142 10-28 02:41
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in October? No +31,960 $30,827 100¢ $31.8K +$1,005 10-26 18:54
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +12,031 $11,131 94¢ $11.2K +$118 10-26 05:31
Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +8,759 $7,987 99¢ $8.7K +$684 10-28 03:04
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October? No +8,686 $7,665 100¢ $8.6K +$978 10-28 17:15
bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by december 31 983 117 No +9,497 $7,982 86¢ $8.1K +$138 10-26 17:18
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +3,436 $2,730 99¢ $3.4K +$683 10-29 13:39
Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats? Bibi +3,227 $3,098 99¢ $3.2K +$96 10-28 02:41
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms? Yes +3,156 $2,967 88¢ $2.8K -$174 10-29 13:40
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October? No +2,415 $2,357 100¢ $2.4K +$55 10-26 03:48
Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027? No -1,648 -$1,567 98¢ $-1611 -$44 05-22 01:58
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October? No +1,128 $1,039 60¢ $683 -$356 10-29 13:40
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in October? No +500 $478 100¢ $498 +$20 10-28 17:16
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in October? No +500 $492 99¢ $496 +$4 10-28 17:16
US x Cuba military clash in 2026? No +607 $136 80¢ $489 +$352 10-20 21:41
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No -110 -$102 98¢ $-107 -$5 05-21 16:56