Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.13K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

63.2%

Resolved

439

Trades

1,916

lifetime

Volume

$26.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-17

last 10-25 22:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 88 days

Categories

Other

81% 71% -$366

Politics

17% 22% -$794

Sports

1% 60% +$43

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Crypto

0% 60% -$13

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

55 active days in 12wk • peak 112 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	10	$1.4K	780	780	+0	Yes	+$189	07-29 18:02
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	58	$1.4K	1,008	1,008	+0	No	-$5	08-28 16:08
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-08-23?	15	$1.1K	612	612	+0	Yes	+$107	08-23 21:13
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	117	$906	754	351	+403	No	-$303	10-04 01:32
Will the Bank of Israel hold at the August 2026 meeting?	30	$826	481	481	+0	No	-$17	08-27 00:50
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the September meeting?	77	$815	445	445	+0	Yes	+$4	09-09 23:03
bun bay stu 2026 04 19 bay	4	$711	418	414	+4	Yes	+$118	04-19 16:52
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-08-23?	7	$579	329	329	+0	No	+$7	08-23 20:38
Will the Bank of Israel cut by 25 bps at the August 2026 meeting?	31	$525	315	315	+0	Yes	-$9	08-26 23:25
Will Sergio Moro win the Governor of Paraná election?	64	$468	289	289	+0	Yes	-$10	09-24 18:07
bun bay stu 2026 04 19 spread home 2pt5	1	$413	469	0	+469	VfB Stuttgart	-$413	04-19 16:55
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	4	$325	524	0	+524	No	-$325	10-25 22:40
fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	4	$311	220	220	+0	England	+$1	07-18 22:04
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the August meeting?	3	$303	154	154	+0	Yes	-$3	08-06 00:00
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-08-16?	4	$281	142	142	+0	Yes	+$1	08-16 15:52
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-08-23?	8	$258	410	35	+374	No	-$226	08-23 14:38
Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the September decision?	30	$250	212	97	+115	No	-$101	09-01 01:19
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	11	$242	182	182	+0	No	+$34	07-18 22:40
Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the September meeting?	24	$241	131	131	+0	No	-$3	08-31 19:57
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-07-22?	6	$232	124	124	+0	Yes	+$16	07-23 02:48
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-07-22?	4	$217	122	122	+0	Yes	+$27	07-23 02:48
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-08-01?	2	$200	108	108	+0	Yes	+$2	08-01 19:10
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	21	$192	104	104	+0	No	$0	09-11 23:04
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?	28	$189	104	104	+0	No	-$1	09-19 04:26
Will Girona FC win on 2026-08-01?	2	$189	108	108	+0	No	+$11	08-01 18:28
Will SC Internacional win on 2026-08-02?	6	$182	99	99	+0	Yes	+$2	08-03 02:25
Will Santos FC win on 2026-08-16?	3	$177	90	90	+0	Yes	+$3	08-16 21:30
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	2	$175	96	96	+0	Yes	+$12	04-12 18:52
Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?	20	$173	98	98	+0	Yes	-$1	08-18 13:27
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-08-01?	2	$173	98	98	+0	No	+$7	08-01 17:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-25 22:40:32	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	197	30¢	$59	0x1f7180…
10-25 03:08:35	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	101	79¢	$80	0xca3e05…
10-25 01:38:33	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	48	83¢	$40	0x1d2606…
10-25 01:32:06	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	178	82¢	$147	0x2a5cd6…
10-04 01:32:22	Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	24	63¢	$15	0xc7b743…
10-03 21:35:31	Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?	Yes	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x9cb92a…
10-03 20:49:29	Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?	Yes	BUY	21	72¢	$15	0x3b1874…
10-03 20:48:46	Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0x8857e5…
10-03 20:48:11	Will Spain win on 2026-10-03?	Yes	SELL	46	100¢	$46	0xe7bb1a…
10-03 18:49:41	Will Spain win on 2026-10-03?	Yes	BUY	46	93¢	$43	0x6d9c01…
10-03 18:49:06	Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?	Yes	SELL	60	72¢	$43	0xc765c2…
09-30 23:36:36	Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	6	69¢	$4	0x57bcfc…
09-28 16:13:42	Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xfcb37b…
09-28 08:34:48	Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?	Yes	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x716eee…
09-28 06:12:33	Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?	Yes	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xd3156f…
09-28 03:13:48	Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?	Yes	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0xe2f98c…
09-27 20:55:14	Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0xf4453f…
09-27 16:28:38	Will Netherlands win on 2026-09-27?	Yes	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x87ec46…
09-27 16:28:17	Will Netherlands win on 2026-09-27?	Yes	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0x490008…
09-27 16:07:30	Will Netherlands win on 2026-09-27?	Yes	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x919f96…
09-27 16:07:15	Will Serbia win on 2026-09-27?	No	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x5070c6…
09-27 16:00:17	Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?	Yes	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x50de8c…
09-26 16:32:14	Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?	Yes	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0x798ad4…
09-26 16:25:53	Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?	Yes	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0xfdc6fd…
09-26 01:39:24	Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?	Yes	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x4324de…
09-25 00:32:47	Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?	Yes	BUY	4	74¢	$3	0x28b8f7…
09-24 18:07:33	Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?	Yes	BUY	34	73¢	$25	0x84bfae…
09-24 18:07:15	Will Sergio Moro win the Governor of Paraná election?	Yes	SELL	60	80¢	$48	0x6b7b59…
09-22 01:45:45	Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?	Yes	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x1f44e8…
09-21 16:54:53	Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	66	68¢	$45	0x9e6a22…
09-21 16:53:50	Will Sergio Moro win the Governor of Paraná election?	Yes	SELL	58	80¢	$46	0x28aa22…
09-20 07:10:01	Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x7d5d48…
09-20 07:06:30	Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xebb154…
09-20 06:59:13	Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x062970…
09-20 06:57:42	Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	48	63¢	$30	0xe0b664…
09-20 06:57:25	Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?	Yes	SELL	42	70¢	$29	0xe0734d…
09-20 06:55:46	Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xe11510…
09-20 06:55:37	Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x79d6d6…
09-20 06:55:22	Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x77ccee…
09-20 01:22:27	Will Sergio Moro win the Governor of Paraná election?	Yes	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0xbf92e0…
09-19 21:15:48	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-19?	Yes	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x06daba…
09-19 19:07:54	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-19?	Yes	BUY	9	76¢	$7	0xfcae9b…
09-19 19:07:24	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?	No	SELL	10	70¢	$7	0xb23ac6…
09-19 15:45:09	Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?	Yes	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x28cf69…
09-19 04:29:25	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?	No	BUY	6	70¢	$4	0xe098e9…
09-19 04:27:09	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?	No	BUY	4	70¢	$3	0xfbeaff…
09-19 04:26:46	Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?	Yes	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0xabb99d…
09-19 04:26:18	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?	No	SELL	15	94¢	$14	0xadb99c…
09-19 01:10:06	Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x20e300…
09-19 01:00:10	Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	18	71¢	$13	0xf92680…
09-19 00:59:34	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?	No	SELL	15	94¢	$14	0xff9011…
09-17 04:58:43	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x6bb853…
09-17 04:57:45	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?	No	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x19ddb3…
09-17 03:55:36	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?	No	BUY	3	91¢	$3	0x53fe78…
09-17 03:16:36	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?	No	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0xabe66f…
09-17 03:15:31	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?	No	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0xa01b40…
09-16 23:32:16	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x9d5177…
09-16 02:10:51	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xa935dd…
09-16 01:25:13	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xb28043…
09-15 23:39:36	CR Vasco da Gama vs. Independiente Santa Fe: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x6c30f4…
09-15 23:32:55	CR Vasco da Gama vs. Independiente Santa Fe: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x585e08…
09-15 08:06:58	Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x24e6af…
09-15 08:06:40	Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xfbdf23…
09-15 05:53:07	Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xe5d0b3…
09-15 00:29:27	Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0xb9b9f0…
09-14 15:15:13	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?	No	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0x33d6bb…
09-14 02:39:43	Will Sergio Moro win the Governor of Paraná election?	Yes	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xb129f5…
09-14 02:39:12	Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xcd4e15…
09-13 23:57:21	Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xe4a992…
09-13 23:56:42	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x0b063b…
09-13 23:56:12	Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-09-13?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x122e0d…
09-13 22:22:04	Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-09-13?	Yes	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0xb1b50e…
09-13 22:19:58	CR Flamengo vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0xa1f8c3…
09-13 22:19:30	CR Flamengo vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0xca8617…
09-13 22:18:04	CR Flamengo vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xa2226d…
09-13 22:17:34	CR Flamengo vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x78d989…
09-13 22:17:06	CR Flamengo vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x50fd33…
09-13 22:10:42	Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-09-13?	Yes	SELL	19	37¢	$7	0x1edd39…
09-13 21:38:25	Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-09-13?	Yes	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x4544a0…
09-13 21:30:39	Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-09-13?	Yes	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0xb945f1…
09-13 21:29:54	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xc6cff4…
09-13 20:06:58	Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?	Yes	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x9c853e…
09-13 20:06:22	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-09-13?	Yes	SELL	32	85¢	$27	0xea614f…
09-13 19:47:30	Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?	Yes	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x1b7214…
09-13 19:47:16	Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?	Yes	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xdefac9…
09-13 18:51:24	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-09-13?	Yes	BUY	12	90¢	$11	0x0d7e74…
09-13 18:29:15	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-09-13?	Yes	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0x2c27f5…
09-13 18:29:04	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-09-13?	Yes	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x887368…
09-13 18:28:55	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-09-13?	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xd8d471…
09-13 18:23:18	Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?	Yes	BUY	4	77¢	$3	0x39e7bb…
09-13 17:40:33	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?	No	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0x6df815…
09-13 17:05:19	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-09-13?	Yes	BUY	9	93¢	$8	0x310776…
09-13 16:56:49	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-13?	Yes	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x1115f5…
09-13 16:55:34	Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?	Yes	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xeb45ab…
09-13 16:54:49	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-09-13?	Yes	SELL	11	66¢	$7	0x83d0f4…
09-13 16:52:01	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-13?	Yes	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xecabcb…
09-13 16:51:46	Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-09-13?	No	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0x131cba…
09-13 16:46:13	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-09-13?	Yes	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xbaf49d…
09-13 16:06:04	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-09-13?	Yes	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0xc7b6bb…
09-13 16:00:43	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-09-13?	Yes	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x63d74f…