Realized P&L
+$102.5K
Unrealized P&L
-$8.79K
Hit rate
79.6%
Resolved
423
Trades
4,829
lifetime
Volume
$1.81M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$374
Open exposure
$123.2K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-26 20:21
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 85 days
Categories
Politics
73% 77% +$84,698
Other
17% 80% +$14,110
Sports
9% 65% +$3,727
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
75 active days in 12wk • peak 104 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +30,000 $27,000 94¢ $28.0K +$1,050 07-13 18:50
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +25,000 $19,005 82¢ $20.4K +$1,370 08-06 22:01
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? Yes +15,544 $14,300 92¢ $14.2K -$78 08-12 09:46
Iran Nuke before 2027? No +7,008 $6,434 96¢ $6.8K +$318 06-05 04:16
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -6,614 -$5,688 96¢ $-6353 -$665 05-15 12:48
Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026? No +8,281 $5,797 72¢ $6.0K +$166 10-27 06:15
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No -5,556 -$5,156 98¢ $-5436 -$281 08-25 19:48
Will the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026? Yes -5,544 -$4,879 90¢ $-4962 -$83 09-26 18:43
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +5,000 $4,600 92¢ $4.6K +$25 09-24 13:27
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? Yes +4,999 $3,459 72¢ $3.6K +$140 09-22 15:51
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Yes +2,882 $9,915 100¢ $2.9K -$7,040 10-10 14:10
Will the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026? Yes +3,000 $2,220 76¢ $2.3K +$45 10-22 17:56
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? Yes -2,083 -$1,620 99¢ $-2071 -$451 07-22 07:54
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? No +2,999 $2,189 68¢ $2.1K -$135 09-23 13:08
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? Yes +3,000 $1,693 58¢ $1.8K +$61 10-21 13:30
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +5,000 $1,940 34¢ $1.7K -$265 10-17 03:27
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -10,000 -$1,980 17¢ $-1655 +$325 09-15 16:37
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? Yes -2,130 -$1,474 69¢ $-1470 +$4 09-22 01:36
Will the Democratic Party win the WI-02 House seat? Yes +1,252 $1,180 98¢ $1.2K +$44 08-10 16:59
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes -815 $440 92¢ $-746 -$1,185 09-07 23:14
Will the Democrats win the Vermont governor race in 2026? No +939 $687 75¢ $709 +$22 10-07 19:00
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? Yes +1,649 $847 42¢ $693 -$154 09-23 04:05
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? No +4,000 $2,000 17¢ $680 -$1,320 08-14 08:06
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? No +2,000 $591 32¢ $630 +$39 10-23 09:00
Will the Republicans win the Georgia Senate race in 2026? No +539 $479 96¢ $517 +$38 08-11 21:57
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes -680 -$476 72¢ $-486 -$10 05-16 09:58
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +1,514 $733 26¢ $386 -$347 08-19 07:35
Will the Republicans win the Idaho Senate race in 2026? Yes +363 $336 96¢ $349 +$13 08-11 17:57
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No +1,299 $637 26¢ $344 -$292 08-19 06:20
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? No +803 $389 31¢ $249 -$140 07-10 10:16