Realized P&L
-$2
Unrealized P&L
+$17
Hit rate
0.0%
Resolved
2
Trades
285
lifetime
Volume
$4.87K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$17
Open exposure
$1.39K
26 positions
First seen
2026-01-15
last 06-11 17:15
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 1 day
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
69%
Politics
21%
Crypto
5% 0% $-2
Tech
4%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
21 active days in 12wk • peak 35 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? No +400 $372 94¢ $378 +$6 06-06 10:30
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? No +310 $305 99¢ $307 +$2 06-10 17:54
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026? No +120 $117 98¢ $118 +$1 06-06 10:45
MH370 underwater wreckage found by June 30, 2026? No +90 $89 98¢ $89 $-0 06-06 10:38
Epstein or Maxwell confirmed Mossad operatives by June 30? No +72 $71 100¢ $72 +$1 06-10 09:08
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T? Yes +60 $59 99¢ $59 +$0 06-09 22:58
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No +56 $51 92¢ $51 $-0 06-06 10:43
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +51 $38 90¢ $46 +$8 06-11 17:15
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? No -47 $-45 96¢ $-46 $-0 06-10 12:24
Hantavirus outbreak by June 30? No +30 $29 99¢ $30 +$0 06-03 01:20
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T? Yes +30 $29 98¢ $29 +$0 06-10 10:27
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? No -29 $-28 98¢ $-28 +$0 06-09 22:53
Will Michael Jackson be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island? No +20 $20 98¢ $20 +$0 06-01 22:30
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? No -20 $-19 94¢ $-19 $-0 06-06 22:41
Will Trump visit North Korea by June 30? No +10 $10 100¢ $10 +$0 06-06 12:21
Bill Clinton divorce by June 30? No +10 $10 99¢ $10 +$0 06-02 20:21
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? No +10 $10 99¢ $10 +$0 06-02 20:23
Trump out as President by June 30? No +10 $10 99¢ $10 +$0 06-01 22:29
Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30? No +10 $10 99¢ $10 +$0 06-01 22:27
Bill Gates charged by June 30? No +10 $10 99¢ $10 +$0 06-03 08:34
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026? No +10 $10 99¢ $10 +$0 06-01 21:11
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30? No +10 $10 97¢ $10 $-0 06-01 22:26
Will Elon Musk Testify to Congress about Epstein? No +10 $10 95¢ $10 $-0 06-01 22:27
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? Yes +10 $8 81¢ $8 +$0 06-06 23:39
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? No +5 $5 97¢ $5 +$0 06-01 22:29
Nothing Ever Happens: Satoshi Nakamoto Nothing +1 $1 92¢ $1 +$0 06-09 09:03