(anonymous) 0xc1d4fa…9861a7
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Realized P&L
—
Unrealized P&L
-$1
Hit rate
—
Resolved
0
Trades
718
lifetime
Volume
$686
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$35
10 positions
First seen
2026-05-15
last 07-21 17:20
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
65% — —
Other
25% — —
Sports
9% — —
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
47 active days in 12wk • peak 85 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? No +10 $9 76¢ $8 $-1 07-13 12:22
Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15? Yes +5 $5 97¢ $5 +$0 07-13 20:23
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +6 $5 70¢ $5 $-1 07-13 11:59
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +6 $4 66¢ $4 $-0 07-13 12:08
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No +4 $3 85¢ $4 +$1 07-14 08:43
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? Yes +3 $3 93¢ $3 +$0 07-09 03:43
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31? No +2 $2 82¢ $2 +$0 07-13 12:06
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026? No +2 $2 82¢ $2 $-0 07-16 08:01
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? No +3 $2 70¢ $2 $-0 07-13 12:15
US x Cuba military clash in 2026? No +2 $1 70¢ $1 +$0 06-26 09:57