(anonymous) 0xc1d4fa…9861a7
bot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$56
Unrealized P&L
+$1
Hit rate
71.3%
Resolved
174
Trades
1,441
lifetime
Volume
$1.30K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$39
13 positions
First seen
2026-05-15
last 10-28 03:42
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 68 days
Categories
Politics
67% 60% -$59
Other
26% 79% +$2
Sports
6% 59% -$6
Tech
0% 67% +$6
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
60 active days in 12wk • peak 83 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
will wti reach 110 in october 2026 No +9 $8 96¢ $9 +$1 10-26 18:53
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +9 $8 97¢ $9 +$1 10-26 03:49
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +24 $3 16¢ $4 +$1 07-29 04:03
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +3 $3 98¢ $3 +$0 10-28 00:49
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +15 $3 17¢ $3 $0 07-29 04:03
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +3 $3 82¢ $2 $0 10-26 17:25
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +4 $2 50¢ $2 $0 10-28 03:42
bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by december 31 983 117 No +2 $2 86¢ $2 +$0 10-26 17:18
US x Cuba military clash in 2026? No +2 $1 86¢ $2 +$0 10-20 21:41
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +8 $2 16¢ $1 -$1 09-14 15:07
Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +1 $1 97¢ $1 +$0 10-28 00:39
US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +1 $0 99¢ $1 +$0 10-28 02:05
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +9 $2 5¢ $0 -$2 10-01 17:31