(anonymous) 0xfd5979…300231
whale hot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$3.20K
Unrealized P&L
+$793
Hit rate
73.7%
Resolved
361
Trades
5,513
lifetime
Volume
$194.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$35
Open exposure
$25.4K
30 positions
First seen
2026-07-16
last 10-26 20:17
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 49 days
Categories
Politics
67% 59% +$690
Other
26% 58% +$2,175
Tech
7% 67% +$336
Sports
0% 50% +$2
Pop-Culture
0% 50% +$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
76 active days in 12wk • peak 681 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms? No +6,020 $5,905 99¢ $5.9K +$41 10-26 20:17
Will oil be at least $80 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate? Yes +7,553 $4,125 64¢ $4.9K +$739 10-25 23:57
Will oil be at least $85 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate? Yes +7,450 $1,934 30¢ $2.2K +$308 10-22 16:37
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +2,377 $1,546 66¢ $1.6K +$11 10-26 01:22
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +2,198 $1,354 66¢ $1.4K +$86 10-26 03:18
Will Andrey Gyurov win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by at least 30%? No +1,344 $1,314 100¢ $1.3K +$29 10-25 20:39
Will Andrey Gyurov win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 20%-30%? No +1,344 $1,005 100¢ $1.3K +$337 10-25 20:39
Will Andrey Gyurov win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by less than 10%? No +1,344 $1,451 99¢ $1.3K -$114 10-26 01:45
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? No +1,331 $1,185 90¢ $1.2K +$6 10-24 18:41
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 48 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? No +1,331 $1,103 84¢ $1.1K +$22 10-24 18:41
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? No +1,331 $770 57¢ $765 -$5 10-24 18:41
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House Yes +1,993 $518 26¢ $528 +$10 10-26 03:18
Will oil be below $85 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate? Yes +7,451 $620 3¢ $253 -$367 10-22 16:37
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? No +250 $222 96¢ $240 +$19 10-18 12:22
Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +224 $165 90¢ $200 +$35 10-18 10:44
Will oil be below $80 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate? Yes +7,554 $570 2¢ $125 -$445 10-25 23:57
Will oil be at least $85 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate? Yes +182 $77 64¢ $116 +$39 10-23 11:43
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House Yes +1,520 $122 8¢ $114 -$8 10-26 01:22
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? Yes +294 $130 38¢ $112 -$18 10-22 22:32
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026? No +143 $116 63¢ $90 -$26 10-26 18:48
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $800B? No +245 $47 27¢ $66 +$19 10-22 22:32
Will oil be at least $80 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate? Yes +182 $43 32¢ $58 +$15 10-23 11:43
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026? No +57 $25 98¢ $56 +$31 10-26 08:42
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026? Yes +67 $6 80¢ $54 +$48 10-23 13:53
Will there be no next Fable model (5.2+) release by October 31, 2026? No +143 $17 38¢ $54 +$37 10-26 18:48
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +473 $53 8¢ $40 -$13 10-26 03:18
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? Yes +294 $29 14¢ $40 +$11 10-22 22:32
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by October 31, 2026? Yes +39 $39 99¢ $39 $0 10-25 22:54
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? Yes +405 $72 8¢ $32 -$39 10-08 02:00
Will the Republican Party hold 57 or more Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes +6,023 $43 0¢ $30 -$13 10-26 20:17