Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$184

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

13.5%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$224

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

5 positions

First seen

2026-09-25

last 11-03 20:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Politics

86% 13% -$185

Other

13% 100% +$1

Crypto

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (19) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	+2	$1	45¢	$1	+$0	10-05 08:03
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	+4	$2	24¢	$1	-$1	10-28 06:02
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?	No	+1	$1	88¢	$1	+$0	09-29 18:07
Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026?	Yes	+2	$1	52¢	$1	$0	10-05 08:04
US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027?	No	+2	$1	32¢	$1	$0	10-27 20:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-03 20:43:27	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 55 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	162	1¢	$1	0x842920…
11-03 20:43:19	Will the Republican Party hold 57 or more Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	290	0¢	$1	0xd8152d…
11-03 20:43:12	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 56 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	378	0¢	$1	0x7211a2…
11-03 19:52:04	Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x1d8447…
11-02 23:45:10	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xb6fb96…
11-02 23:41:33	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0xcf93ac…
11-02 23:41:12	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	333	6¢	$20	0x80a265…
11-02 23:34:37	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 53 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	30	3¢	$1	0x42dfae…
11-02 23:34:18	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 54 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	91	1¢	$1	0x119866…
11-02 23:34:04	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 55 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0x249ded…
11-02 23:33:54	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 56 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0x3942ef…
11-02 23:33:45	Will the Republican Party hold 57 or more Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0x1075ee…
10-28 20:59:04	Will the Republican Party hold 57 or more Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	143	1¢	$1	0x81105e…
10-28 20:58:44	US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?	No	SELL	2	74¢	$1	0x28807e…
10-28 06:02:38	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0xa0a38a…
10-27 20:50:38	US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027?	No	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x5043c0…
10-27 20:48:20	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	333	9¢	$30	0xc671b5…
10-27 20:47:38	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	59	34¢	$20	0x724a22…
10-06 11:01:30	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x372037…
10-05 08:04:47	Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x14bdb5…
10-05 08:03:49	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x80d13d…
10-04 13:30:13	Will the US announce a diesel export ban by October 31?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x092797…
10-02 06:05:38	us announces end of iranian blockade by october 15 2026	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x2d826d…
10-01 13:22:02	US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x98d536…
10-01 13:21:26	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 7?	Yes	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0xbefc87…
09-29 18:09:23	us x iran diplomatic meeting by march 31 2027 20260922	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x31782e…
09-29 18:07:53	US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x6ef050…
09-29 18:06:44	us x iran ceasefire continues through october 7	Yes	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xf9fd5e…
09-29 18:01:21	trump renames ai by september 30	No	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0xa6cd92…
09-29 18:00:54	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	11	98¢	$11	0xd7cf5f…
09-29 15:02:27	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 51 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	11	7¢	$1	0xf74e39…
09-29 15:01:41	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 51 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xdbb73a…
09-28 17:39:14	Will Trump meet with Javier Milei in September 2026?	No	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x93fce0…
09-28 11:11:41	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 28?	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xa5a6d9…
09-28 07:36:11	us announces end of iranian blockade by october 15 2026	No	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x9bbc5b…
09-26 23:16:54	will the us announce a diesel export ban by october 31	No	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x8ef190…
09-26 23:12:17	Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	No	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x85d3ae…
09-25 20:23:42	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0xdc3ddc…
09-25 20:15:09	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	1,000	8¢	$80	0x1e28aa…

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	3	$130	1,667	0	+1,667	No	-$130	11-02 23:41
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	3	$32	104	0	+104	No	-$32	11-02 23:41
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	2	$21	11	11	+0	No	+$1	09-29 18:00
trump renames ai by september 30	1	$10	22	0	+22	Yes	-$10	09-29 18:01
Will the Republican Party hold 57 or more Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	3	$3	766	0	+766	No	-$3	11-03 20:43
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	10-28 20:58
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 7?	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	+$0	10-01 13:21
Will the US announce a diesel export ban by October 31?	2	$2	1	1	+0	No	+$0	10-04 13:30
us announces end of iranian blockade by october 15 2026	2	$2	1	1	+0	No	+$0	10-02 06:05
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	1	$2	4	0	+4	open	—	10-28 06:02
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 55 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	2	$2	362	0	+362	No	-$2	11-03 20:43
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 56 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	2	$2	578	0	+578	No	-$2	11-03 20:43
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 51 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	2	$2	11	11	+0	No	$0	09-29 15:02
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 54 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	1	$1	91	0	+91	No	-$1	11-02 23:34
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	1	$1	2	0	+2	Yes	-$1	09-26 23:12
us x iran diplomatic meeting by march 31 2027 20260922	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	09-29 18:09
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	10-05 08:03
US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027?	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	10-27 20:50
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	1	$1	4	0	+4	No	-$1	11-02 23:45
Will Trump meet with Javier Milei in September 2026?	1	$1	6	0	+6	Yes	-$1	09-28 17:39
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 53 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	1	$1	30	0	+30	No	-$1	11-02 23:34
Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?	1	$1	11	0	+11	No	-$1	11-03 19:52
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 28?	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	09-28 11:11
Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026?	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	10-05 08:04
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	09-29 18:07