Realized P&L
-$19.3K
Unrealized P&L
-$232
Hit rate
61.3%
Resolved
7,704
Trades
16,333
lifetime
Volume
$1.35M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$83
Open exposure
$605
27 positions
First seen
2026-07-13
last 10-28 18:51
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 103 days
Categories
Other
84% 42% -$4,692
Crypto
12% 49% -$16,103
Sports
3% 48% +$1,106
Politics
1% 33% +$417
Tech
0% 14% -$15
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 247 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? Yes +161 $224 80¢ $128 -$95 10-28 14:21
Will T1 win Worlds 2026? Yes +608 $97 16¢ $100 +$3 10-25 22:30
LoL: Movistar KOI vs T1 (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage T1 +115 $93 86¢ $98 +$5 10-28 07:30
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House Yes +255 $70 26¢ $68 -$2 10-28 05:57
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +42 $30 100¢ $42 +$12 10-24 00:51
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? Yes +376 $103 10¢ $36 -$66 10-27 16:06
iaea visits isfahan fordow or natanz nuclear site by december 31 128 No +38 $28 84¢ $32 +$4 08-01 13:06
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage Bilibili Gaming — +23 $18 76¢ $18 $0 10-27 12:16
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-28? Yes +65 $32 26¢ $17 -$15 10-28 19:05
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage Top Esports — +48 $12 24¢ $12 $0 10-27 12:21
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +32 $19 29¢ $9 -$9 10-02 04:24
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day? Yes +22 $3 37¢ $8 +$5 07-18 18:24
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-10-28? Yes +18 $10 29¢ $5 -$4 10-28 16:26
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +75 $19 6¢ $5 -$14 09-21 10:02
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs LYON (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage Invictus Gaming +7 $5 66¢ $5 $0 10-28 11:11
Lakers vs. Clippers Lakers +7 $5 52¢ $4 -$1 10-28 06:07
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? Yes +222 $21 2¢ $4 -$17 08-30 09:18
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? Yes +96 $16 4¢ $3 -$13 09-19 22:57
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027? No +4 $3 84¢ $3 +$0 10-24 15:50
Will Dallas Mavericks win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +680 $5 0¢ $2 -$2 08-02 17:32
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? Yes +9 $5 22¢ $2 -$3 09-14 05:19
76ers vs. Pacers Pacers +5 $2 30¢ $2 $0 10-28 06:03
Will Ethereum reach $2,700 in October? Yes +31 $15 3¢ $1 -$14 10-13 04:31
Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +78 $2 1¢ $1 -$1 08-22 01:48
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? Yes +6 $0 6¢ $0 $0 10-03 09:00
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October? Yes +6 $5 4¢ $0 -$4 10-02 18:19
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Yes +0 -$2 100¢ $0 +$2 09-08 10:10