Realized P&L (7d)
-$11.7K
Unrealized P&L
-$175
Hit rate
60.9%
Resolved (7d)
560
Trades (7d)
1,222
16,730 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$115.9K
$1.41M lifetime
Avg / trade
$85
Open exposure
$1.38K
19 positions
First seen
2026-07-13
last 10-31 05:53
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 106 days
Categories
Other
81% 43% -$2,316
Crypto
12% 49% -$15,981
Sports
7% 48% -$14,886
Politics
1% 33% +$417
Tech
0% 14% -$15
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 247 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? Yes +1,359 $1,182 80¢ $1.1K -$88 10-30 15:02
Will T1 win Worlds 2026? Yes +608 $97 16¢ $100 +$3 10-25 22:30
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House Yes +421 $117 24¢ $99 -$18 10-29 13:57
iaea visits isfahan fordow or natanz nuclear site by december 31 128 No +38 $28 82¢ $31 +$3 08-01 13:06
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +48 $21 42¢ $21 $0 10-30 07:29
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day? Yes +22 $3 32¢ $7 +$4 07-18 18:24
Will Dallas Mavericks win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +680 $5 1¢ $6 +$2 08-02 17:32
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +32 $19 16¢ $5 -$14 10-02 04:24
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 Under +7 $5 62¢ $4 -$1 10-30 04:31
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +75 $19 4¢ $3 -$15 09-21 10:02
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027? No +4 $3 82¢ $3 +$0 10-24 15:50
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? Yes +96 $16 3¢ $3 -$13 09-19 22:57
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? Yes +222 $21 1¢ $3 -$18 08-30 09:18
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? Yes +9 $5 25¢ $2 -$3 09-14 05:19
Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +78 $2 1¢ $1 -$1 08-22 01:48
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? Yes +6 $0 4¢ $0 $0 10-03 09:00
Will Ethereum reach $2,700 in October? Yes +31 $15 0¢ $0 -$15 10-13 04:31
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Yes +0 -$2 100¢ $0 +$2 09-08 10:10
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October? Yes +6 $5 0¢ $0 -$5 10-02 18:19