Realized P&L (90d)
-$13.5K
Unrealized P&L
-$99
Hit rate
62.2%
Resolved (90d)
7,001
Trades (90d)
14,278
16,830 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$1.25M
$1.42M lifetime
Avg / trade
$84
Open exposure
$1.59K
21 positions
First seen
2026-07-13
last 11-01 02:32
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 107 days
Categories
Other
81% 43% -$1,119
Crypto
12% 49% -$15,998
Sports
7% 48% -$14,895
Politics
1% 33% +$417
Tech
0% 25% -$15
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 247 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? Yes +1,359 $1,182 82¢ $1.1K -$68 10-30 15:02
Ohio State vs. USC USC +149 $97 98¢ $147 +$50 11-01 01:22
Will T1 win Worlds 2026? Yes +608 $97 20¢ $125 +$27 10-25 22:30
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House Yes +421 $117 24¢ $99 -$18 10-29 13:57
iaea visits isfahan fordow or natanz nuclear site by december 31 128 No +38 $28 82¢ $31 +$3 08-01 13:06
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +48 $21 42¢ $20 -$1 10-30 07:29
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Ohio? No +19 $19 99¢ $19 +$0 10-30 22:40
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day? Yes +22 $3 30¢ $7 +$4 07-18 18:24
Will Dallas Mavericks win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +680 $5 1¢ $6 +$2 08-02 17:32
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +32 $19 16¢ $5 -$13 10-02 04:24
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 Under +7 $5 62¢ $4 -$1 10-30 04:31
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +75 $19 4¢ $3 -$15 09-21 10:02
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? Yes +96 $16 3¢ $3 -$13 09-19 22:57
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? Yes +222 $21 1¢ $3 -$18 08-30 09:18
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? Yes +9 $5 26¢ $2 -$3 09-14 05:19
Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +78 $2 1¢ $1 -$1 08-22 01:48
UFC Fight Night: Renato Moicano vs. Tom Nolan (Lightweight, Main Card) Renato Moicano — +27 $19 2¢ $1 -$19 11-01 02:32
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? Yes +6 $0 4¢ $0 $0 10-03 09:00
Will Ethereum reach $2,700 in October? Yes +31 $15 0¢ $0 -$15 10-13 04:31
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Yes +0 -$2 100¢ $0 +$2 09-08 10:10
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October? Yes +6 $5 0¢ $0 -$5 10-02 18:19