Realized P&L
-$32.7K
Unrealized P&L
-$186
Hit rate
61.2%
Resolved
8,109
Trades
17,087
lifetime
Volume
$1.43M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$83
Open exposure
$580
20 positions
First seen
2026-07-13
last 11-02 15:36
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 108 days
Categories
Other
81% 43% -$1,519
Crypto
12% 48% -$16,216
Sports
7% 49% -$15,396
Politics
1% 31% +$417
Tech
0% 25% -$15
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 247 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? Yes +179 $226 80¢ $143 -$84 11-01 07:54
Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Up — +108 $56 98¢ $106 +$50 11-02 16:58
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House Yes +452 $124 22¢ $97 -$26 11-01 12:23
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +650 $96 14¢ $94 -$2 11-02 14:06
iaea visits isfahan fordow or natanz nuclear site by december 31 128 No +38 $28 85¢ $33 +$5 08-01 13:06
Will the Republican Party hold 57 or more Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes +4,607 $10 1¢ $28 +$18 11-02 07:30
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Ohio? No +19 $19 99¢ $19 +$0 10-30 22:40
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +48 $21 32¢ $15 -$5 10-30 07:29
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +33 $10 28¢ $9 $0 11-01 12:21
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day? Yes +22 $3 34¢ $8 +$5 07-18 18:24
Will Dallas Mavericks win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +680 $5 1¢ $6 +$1 08-02 17:32
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +32 $19 16¢ $5 -$14 10-02 04:24
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 Under +7 $5 72¢ $5 +$0 10-30 04:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Up — +226 $90 2¢ $3 -$86 11-02 16:57
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +75 $19 4¢ $3 -$15 09-21 10:02
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? Yes +222 $21 1¢ $3 -$18 08-30 09:18
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? Yes +96 $16 3¢ $3 -$13 09-19 22:57
Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +78 $2 1¢ $1 -$1 08-22 01:48
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? Yes +6 $0 3¢ $0 $0 10-03 09:00
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Yes +0 -$2 100¢ $0 +$2 09-08 10:10