Immense-Stencil 0x02ae96…11bad5
new
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Realized P&L (30d)
-$4
Unrealized P&L
+$13
Hit rate
0.0%
Resolved (30d)
1
Trades (30d)
10
10 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$271
$271 lifetime
Avg / trade
$27
Open exposure
$231
9 positions
First seen
2026-05-06
last 05-07 03:53
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 1 day
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
45% 0% $-4
Politics
37% — —
Tech
18% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
2 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will SpaceX IPO by August 31, 2026? Yes +56 $50 90¢ $50 +$0 05-06 15:06
Will Trump visit China by May 15? Yes +54 $49 90¢ $49 +$0 05-07 02:08
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31? Yes -179 $-57 24¢ $-44 +$13 05-06 11:35
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026? No +115 $30 26¢ $31 +$1 05-06 15:10
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31? Yes -30 $-23 78¢ $-23 +$0 05-06 15:02
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31? Yes -30 $-14 48¢ $-15 $-0 05-06 15:12
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 14, 2026? No -14 $-11 76¢ $-10 +$0 05-06 15:15
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026? No +13 $10 66¢ $9 $-1 05-07 02:13
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of May 2026? Yes +15 $1 5¢ $1 $-0 05-07 03:53