Sane-Sprout — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$17

Unrealized P&L

-$376

Hit rate

61.8%

Resolved

Trades

907

lifetime

Volume

$2.66K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$545

3 positions

First seen

2026-02-10

last 06-28 01:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

57% 60% +$12

Politics

29% — —

Other

10% — —

Sports

4% 60% +$6

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 24 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027?	Yes	+685	$420	43¢	$294	$-126	06-28 01:08
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes	+910	$200	14¢	$127	$-73	06-25 02:37
RFK Jr. Out by December 31?	Yes	+482	$300	26¢	$123	$-177	06-28 01:09

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027?	5	$420	685	0	+685	open	—	06-28 01:08
RFK Jr. Out by December 31?	4	$300	482	0	+482	open	—	06-28 01:09
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	1	$200	910	0	+910	open	—	06-25 02:37
btc updown 5m 1771775400	12	$56	139	11	+129	open	—	02-22 15:54
btc updown 5m 1771775100	13	$42	167	31	+136	open	—	02-22 15:49
btc updown 5m 1771775700	5	$36	84	0	+84	open	—	02-22 15:57
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?	2	$35	46	0	+46	open	—	02-20 13:28
ufc aie sea1 2026 06 14	1	$30	130	0	+130	open	—	06-15 03:11
btc updown 5m 1771640100	6	$24	38	0	+38	open	—	02-21 02:20
btc updown 5m 1771794900	8	$23	16	16	+0	open	—	02-22 21:19
Solana Up or Down - May 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	3	$17	15	15	+0	Up	+$13	05-12 20:04
btc updown 5m 1771774800	11	$16	71	62	+9	open	—	02-22 15:44
btc updown 5m 1771774200	7	$16	17	9	+8	open	—	02-22 15:34
btc updown 5m 1771716900	7	$16	80	0	+80	open	—	02-21 23:39
btc updown 5m 1771633500	7	$16	24	0	+24	open	—	02-21 00:29
btc updown 5m 1772282100	4	$15	13	13	+0	open	—	02-28 12:37
another us government shutdown by february 14	1	$15	1,250	0	+1,250	open	—	02-14 21:00
ufc cir ale30 2026 06 14	1	$15	28	0	+28	open	—	06-15 02:37
eth updown 5m 1771775700	2	$15	34	0	+34	open	—	02-22 15:57
btc updown 5m 1771639800	8	$15	65	0	+65	open	—	02-21 02:15
btc updown 5m 1772282400	5	$15	14	11	+3	open	—	02-28 12:44
btc updown 5m 1771778700	4	$14	412	0	+412	open	—	02-22 16:49
btc updown 5m 1771884600	7	$14	16	9	+7	open	—	02-23 22:13
btc updown 5m 1772235300	6	$13	11	11	+0	open	—	02-27 23:39
btc updown 5m 1771859700	4	$13	8	8	+0	open	—	02-23 15:18
btc updown 5m 1771866000	5	$13	8	8	+0	open	—	02-23 17:05
btc updown 5m 1771867200	6	$13	12	12	+0	open	—	02-23 17:24
btc updown 5m 1771798800	4	$12	10	6	+4	open	—	02-22 22:22
btc updown 5m 1771885200	6	$12	15	4	+11	open	—	02-23 22:24
ufc der jos52 2026 06 14	1	$12	55	0	+55	open	—	06-15 02:37

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-28 01:09:10	RFK Jr. Out by December 31?	Yes	BUY	35	56¢	$20	0x4f7496…
06-28 01:08:38	Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027?	Yes	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x069e84…
06-26 10:53:59	Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027?	Yes	BUY	149	67¢	$100	0xf13025…
06-26 10:48:41	Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027?	Yes	BUY	324	62¢	$200	0x811c85…
06-25 13:51:11	Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027?	Yes	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x2a238b…
06-25 13:50:44	Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027?	Yes	BUY	176	57¢	$100	0x0f4048…
06-25 13:46:35	RFK Jr. Out by December 31?	Yes	BUY	163	61¢	$100	0xd54c90…
06-25 02:37:28	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes	BUY	910	22¢	$200	0x059598…
06-25 02:34:49	RFK Jr. Out by December 31?	Yes	BUY	154	65¢	$100	0x74c162…
06-25 02:30:10	RFK Jr. Out by December 31?	Yes	BUY	129	62¢	$80	0x96fc2a…
06-15 03:11:57	ufc aie sea1 2026 06 14	Aiemann Zahabi	BUY	130	23¢	$30	0x83f502…
06-15 02:41:00	ufc der jos52 2026 06 14 win by submission	Yes	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x8d65fd…
06-15 02:38:03	ufc cir ale30 2026 06 14 pereira win by ko tko	Yes	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xa02f89…
06-15 02:37:27	ufc cir ale30 2026 06 14	Alex Pereira	BUY	28	53¢	$15	0xd1cbe4…
06-15 02:37:00	ufc der jos52 2026 06 14	Derrick Lewis	BUY	55	22¢	$12	0x90e348…
05-12 20:13:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x317e06…
05-12 20:12:39	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x8195dc…
05-12 20:11:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x7289d6…
05-12 20:08:37	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xd95776…
05-12 20:08:36	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x5172bc…
05-12 20:08:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xe78306…
05-12 20:08:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x27d092…
05-12 20:08:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x57406b…
05-12 20:07:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xbafaa3…
05-12 20:04:46	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	SELL	15	96¢	$15	0x4bad2b…
05-12 20:03:22	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	13	7¢	$1	0xb09ff6…
05-12 20:02:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x0d3f06…
05-12 20:01:48	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xec1a39…
05-12 20:01:39	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x0bdfd0…
05-12 20:01:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x0c130b…
05-12 15:44:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xf01025…
05-12 15:43:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x037a0e…
05-12 15:43:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x220d8a…
05-12 15:38:53	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x4a78d8…
05-12 15:38:39	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x01226a…
05-12 15:38:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x1850ea…
05-12 15:37:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x146281…
05-12 15:37:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xf51b76…
05-12 15:37:10	UFC Fight Night: Song Yadong vs. Deiveson Figueiredo (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Deiveson Figueiredo	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x12e186…
05-07 10:07:15	UFC 328: Alexander Volkov vs. Waldo Cortes-Acosta (Heavyweight, Main Card)	Alexander Volkov	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x70cd92…
05-07 10:06:54	Will the fight be won by submission?	Yes	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xf33316…
05-07 10:06:40	UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	Sean Strickland	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x8f4808…
05-07 10:06:31	UFC 328: Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)	Tatsuro Taira	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x7548b1…
05-07 10:05:39	UFC 328: Yaroslav Amosov vs. Joel Álvarez (Welterweight, Prelims)	Yaroslav Amosov	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x87b503…
05-07 10:05:20	Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?	Yes	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x6a4aa2…
05-07 10:05:11	UFC 328: Grant Dawson vs. Mateusz Rebecki (Lightweight, Prelims)	Mateusz Rebecki	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x746abf…
05-07 10:04:55	UFC 328: Jim Miller vs. Jared Gordon (Lightweight, Prelims)	Jim Miller	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xfea952…
05-07 10:04:31	UFC 328: Pat Sabatini vs. William Gomis (Featherweight, Early Prelims)	Pat Sabatini	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xa42b5f…
05-07 10:04:03	UFC 328: Roman Kopylov vs. Marco Tulio (Middleweight, Early Prelims)	Marco Tulio	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x884ff6…
05-07 10:03:24	Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?	Yes	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xa5b1cc…
05-07 10:03:08	UFC 328: Clayton Carpenter vs. Jose Ochoa (Flyweight, Early Prelims)	Jose Ochoa	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x1aea47…
03-09 23:58:29	elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 60 79	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xe573b4…
03-09 23:54:19	will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	Yes	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0x0df553…
03-09 23:53:59	will crude oil cl hit high 180 by end of march 692	Yes	BUY	94	4¢	$4	0x1a9962…
03-09 23:53:53	will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	Yes	BUY	121	3¢	$4	0x83c3e8…
03-09 12:06:37	will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	Yes	BUY	22	5¢	$1	0x5ce470…
03-08 12:47:49	elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 80 99	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x987037…
03-08 12:47:39	elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 100 119	Yes	BUY	268	0¢	$1	0x589de2…
03-08 12:44:53	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	367	0¢	$1	0x5be42e…
03-08 12:44:13	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0xb30060…
03-08 12:44:05	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	83	1¢	$1	0xa362bb…
03-08 12:42:37	will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	Yes	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0x5b7fcb…
03-08 12:42:29	will crude oil cl hit high 180 by end of march 692	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x5b6454…
03-08 01:02:45	btc updown 5m 1772931600	Up	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x418d3c…
03-08 01:02:27	ufc rei1 cai2 2026 03 07 de ridder win by ko tko	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x4ef988…
03-08 01:01:59	ufc rei1 cai2 2026 03 07 totals 2pt5	Under	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x3a4154…
03-08 01:01:47	ufc rei1 cai2 2026 03 07	Reinier de Ridder	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x1b71a1…
03-08 01:00:17	btc updown 5m 1772931600	Up	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0xeb291f…
03-08 00:59:37	btc updown 5m 1772931300	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x566af7…
03-08 00:59:13	btc updown 5m 1772931300	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x0d576d…
03-08 00:58:15	btc updown 5m 1772931300	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x42a11e…
03-08 00:58:05	btc updown 5m 1772931300	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xec51c0…
03-08 00:57:53	btc updown 5m 1772931300	Up	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x22336d…
03-08 00:56:35	btc updown 5m 1772931300	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xb76bdd…
03-08 00:54:37	ufc cod3 don13 2026 03 07 johnson win by ko tko	Yes	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x370797…
03-08 00:54:07	ufc gre3 bru8 2026 03 07 ferreira win by ko tko	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x2560cb…
03-08 00:53:47	ufc gre3 bru8 2026 03 07	Brunno Ferreira	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xc556af…
03-08 00:52:57	ufc mic4 dre 2026 03 07	Michael Johnson	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xbb2b75…
03-08 00:52:25	ufc cha1 max1 2026 03 07 win by submission	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xde16c7…
03-08 00:52:13	ufc cha1 max1 2026 03 07	Charles Oliveira	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0x86946b…
03-03 15:26:09	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	Yes	BUY	15	19¢	$3	0x02327f…
03-03 15:25:57	will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x752ddc…
03-03 15:24:21	will trump say ice or border patrol during meetings with chancellor merz	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xfa976a…
03-03 15:24:07	will trump say stupid or low iq during meetings with chancellor merz	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x9cd28d…
03-03 15:23:39	will trump say ai or artificial intelligence during meetings with chancellor merz	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xbeb014…
03-03 15:23:35	will trump say greenland during meetings with chancellor merz	Yes	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x237114…
03-03 15:23:03	will trump say fake news during meetings with chancellor merz	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x5ae060…
03-02 14:43:57	us x iran ceasefire by march 2	Yes	BUY	430	0¢	$2	0x988345…
03-02 14:43:43	us x iran ceasefire by march 6	Yes	BUY	40	5¢	$2	0x9f0636…
03-02 14:43:39	us x iran ceasefire by march 2	Yes	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0x03d2e3…
03-01 01:15:49	btc updown 5m 1772327700	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x523e13…
03-01 01:15:47	btc updown 5m 1772327700	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x64c7a9…
03-01 01:15:35	btc updown 5m 1772327700	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x4af79a…
03-01 01:15:31	btc updown 5m 1772327700	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xcc3628…
03-01 01:14:47	btc updown 5m 1772327700	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xac3edd…
03-01 01:12:15	btc updown 5m 1772327400	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xd09264…
03-01 01:10:25	btc updown 5m 1772327400	Up	SELL	5	68¢	$3	0xb95f54…
03-01 01:09:39	btc updown 5m 1772327400	Up	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x70d289…
03-01 01:08:49	btc updown 5m 1772327100	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x4d52ff…
03-01 01:07:39	btc updown 5m 1772327400	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x55cd6f…