Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
+$22
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
565
lifetime
Volume
$1.97K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$112
25 positions
First seen
2026-01-22
last 07-02 08:01
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
54%
Other
22%
Crypto
20%
Tech
3%
Sports
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
36 active days in 12wk • peak 69 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? No +77 $-1 22¢ $17 +$18 06-27 15:14
Haiti elections delayed again? Yes +14 $5 70¢ $10 +$5 06-29 19:02
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? Yes +59 $12 16¢ $9 $-3 06-26 20:35
RFK Jr. Out by December 31? Yes +25 $6 36¢ $9 +$3 06-30 07:27
Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +222 $6 $9 +$3 06-13 08:32
Metamask FDV above $2B one day after launch? Yes +75 $6 10¢ $7 +$1 06-29 16:25
Iran nuclear test before 2027? Yes +100 $6 $6 $-0 06-27 15:22
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? Yes +100 $6 $6 $-0 06-27 04:00
Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +273 $1 $5 +$4 07-01 22:35
Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027? Yes +85 $6 $5 $-1 06-09 14:15
Will Dreamcash launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes +48 $6 10¢ $5 $-2 06-29 15:05
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027? Yes +142 $2 $4 +$2 06-25 11:56
Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 by December 31, 2026? Yes +39 $6 10¢ $4 $-2 06-11 16:14
Will GTA 6 cost $100+? Yes +117 $2 $3 +$1 06-24 19:50
Will Snapchat be acquired before 2027? Yes +13 $3 20¢ $3 $-0 07-01 23:30
Will Donald Trump visit Turkey in 2026? No +186 $12 $3 $-9 06-17 19:47
Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026? Yes +13 $3 18¢ $2 $-1 06-26 03:35
Will Patrick Mahomes attend Taylor Swift's wedding? No +66 $2 $2 $-0 07-01 14:33
Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting? Yes -29 $-4 $-2 +$2 07-01 23:30
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? No +28 $2 $2 $-0 07-01 06:12
Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15? No +48 $5 $1 $-4 06-25 03:37
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +1 $-3 60¢ $1 +$3 06-27 11:05
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? Yes +21 $0 $0 +$0 07-01 11:20
Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch? No +1 $-3 45¢ $0 +$4 07-01 14:03
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026? Yes +1 $0 $0 $-0 06-04 13:37