(anonymous) 0xe9e8e4…f27b51 Create alert
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Realized P&L
-$115
Unrealized P&L
+$31
Hit rate
60.8%
Resolved
221
Trades
1,261
lifetime
Volume
$3.33K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$42
17 positions
First seen
2026-01-22
last 08-13 14:13
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 78 days
Categories
Politics
40% 42% +$30
Other
35% 37% -$62
Crypto
15% 44% -$22
Sports
5% 30% -$15
Tech
4% 27% -$35
Pop-Culture
1% 25% -$10
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-08-13).
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes +32 $8 95¢ $30 +$22 08-13 14:13
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026? Yes +37 $2 14¢ $5 +$3 08-09 23:50
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? Yes -238 -$16 2¢ $-4 +$12 05-20 06:54
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.0% at the end of 2026? Yes +684 $12 0¢ $1 -$11 06-30 00:01
Will Snapchat be acquired before 2027? Yes +13 $3 4¢ $1 -$3 07-01 23:30
Ink FDV above $250M one day after launch? No +0 -$4 90¢ $0 +$4 07-15 00:31
Insurrection Act invoked by December 31? Yes +6 $1 7¢ $0 $0 07-14 13:09
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by december 31 Yes +2 $0 12¢ $0 +$1 07-10 05:27
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? Yes +2 $1 9¢ $0 $0 06-02 03:59
Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch? No +1 -$3 5¢ $0 +$3 07-01 14:03
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? Yes +1 -$1 3¢ $0 +$1 07-10 05:39
Yoon out of custody before 2027? Yes +1 $0 3¢ $0 +$0 07-18 12:30
Will Dreamcash launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes +0 $2 8¢ $0 -$2 07-07 23:57
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027? Yes +1 $0 2¢ $0 +$0 07-09 22:53
Will Bitcoin reach $180,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +1 $1 1¢ $0 -$1 07-10 23:25
Will GTA 6 cost $100+? Yes +1 -$2 0¢ $0 +$2 07-07 03:25
Will Loranne Ausley win the Tallahassee mayoral election? Yes +1 $0 0¢ $0 $0 06-04 01:26