Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
+$34
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
306
lifetime
Volume
$1.01K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$86
23 positions
First seen
2026-01-22
last 06-11 06:21
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
52%
Other
26%
Crypto
15%
Tech
5%
Sports
2%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
16 active days in 12wk • peak 69 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,800 by end of June? Yes +77 $6 14¢ $11 +$5 06-11 01:09
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,700 (LOW) in June? Yes +85 $6 12¢ $10 +$4 06-11 08:04
Iran coup attempt by June 30? Yes +161 $5 $8 +$3 06-11 11:51
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30? Yes +200 $6 $7 +$1 06-11 04:04
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June? Yes +750 $6 $6 +$0 06-08 15:46
Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027? Yes +85 $6 $6 +$0 06-09 14:15
Haiti elections delayed again? Yes +16 $6 37¢ $6 +$0 06-10 20:19
Bank of Canada Rate Hike in 2026? No +11 $6 53¢ $6 +$0 06-05 13:40
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June? Yes +13 $6 42¢ $5 $-0 06-11 01:03
No-Confidence Vote against Starmer by June 30? Yes +60 $6 $3 $-3 06-09 02:12
Starmer out by June 30, 2026? Yes +18 $2 16¢ $3 +$1 06-02 18:59
Will Snapchat be acquired before 2027? Yes +14 $3 20¢ $3 $-0 06-02 04:29
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? Yes +76 $1 $2 +$1 06-08 02:54
Will Iran Play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No -64 $-6 $-2 +$4 06-03 21:55
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30? Yes +134 $2 $2 +$0 06-10 06:43
Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting? Yes -14 $-2 10¢ $-1 +$1 06-02 10:46
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30? Yes -103 $-2 $-1 +$0 06-04 03:24
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? OpenAI +6 $1 18¢ $1 +$0 06-02 02:52
Iran closes its airspace by June 30? No +452 $-14 $0 +$15 06-07 23:02
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? Yes -22 $-1 $-0 +$0 06-05 01:52
Peru General Election invalidated by June 30? Yes +13 $0 $0 $-0 06-06 15:51
Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30? Yes -2 $-1 $-0 +$1 06-04 14:44
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026? Yes +1 $0 $0 $-0 06-04 13:37