Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
+$18
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
817
lifetime
Volume
$2.39K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$58
23 positions
First seen
2026-01-22
last 07-22 15:15
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
46%
Other
29%
Crypto
19%
Tech
4%
Sports
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
52 active days in 12wk • peak 69 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026? No -13 $-10 76¢ $-10 +$1 07-08 03:40
Ink FDV above $250M one day after launch? No -14 $-6 64¢ $-9 $-3 07-15 00:31
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027? No -8 $-9 67¢ $-5 +$4 07-06 02:00
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? No -16 $-3 26¢ $-4 $-1 07-05 16:57
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No -32 $-7 11¢ $-4 +$3 07-04 12:07
Will Bitcoin reach $180,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -148 $-3 $-3 $-1 07-10 23:25
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026? Yes -9 $-8 36¢ $-3 +$5 07-16 18:06
Will Geralt of Rivia die during "The Witcher: Season 5"? No -13 $-1 23¢ $-3 $-2 07-06 23:37
Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026? No -6 $-2 47¢ $-3 $-1 07-15 19:42
Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -181 $-6 $-3 +$3 07-10 12:55
Will Snapchat be acquired before 2027? Yes +13 $3 16¢ $2 $-1 07-01 23:30
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027? Yes -99 $-2 $-2 +$1 07-09 22:53
Will GTA 6 cost $100+? Yes +59 $0 $2 +$1 07-07 03:25
Will HYPE flip SOL by December 31? Yes -15 $-1 $-1 +$0 07-07 03:46
Insurrection Act invoked by December 31? Yes +6 $1 20¢ $1 +$0 07-14 13:09
Yoon out of custody before 2027? Yes +10 $1 10¢ $1 +$0 07-18 12:30
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? Yes +13 $0 $1 +$1 07-10 05:39
Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting? Yes -29 $-4 $-1 +$3 07-01 23:30
Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch? No +1 $-3 57¢ $0 +$4 07-01 14:03
Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -10 $-0 $-0 $-0 07-03 22:20
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? Yes +1 $-2 11¢ $0 +$2 07-09 18:30
Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026? Yes +1 $1 $0 $-1 07-06 09:03
Will Dreamcash launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes +0 $2 $0 $-2 07-07 23:57